Pittsburgh @ Colorado props

Elias Diaz's BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Because of Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Elias Diaz will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has been lucky this year, putting up a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .051 disparity. Ranked in the 25th percentile, Elias Diaz's average exit velocity of 87.9 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season. Elias Diaz is not very quick, ranking in the 6th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.69 ft/sec this year.

Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Ezequiel Tovar will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate given the .052 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294. By putting up a .302 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ezequiel Tovar finds himself in the 25th percentile for offensive ability. Ranked in the 23rd percentile, Ezequiel Tovar's average exit velocity of 87.8 mph ranks among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season. Ezequiel Tovar has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 2nd percentile with a 7.63 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Nolan Jones will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today's matchup. By putting up a 4.51 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 12th percentile.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today's game. This season, there has been a decline in Andrew McCutchen's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 26.85 ft/sec currently. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Andrew McCutchen and his 12.8% rank in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Nick Gonzales will not have the upper hand today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today. Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.190) implies that Nick Gonzales has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .256 actual batting average. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nick Gonzales grades out in the 9th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .238.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jack Suwinski's true offensive skill to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .068 gap between that figure and his actual .248 wOBA. Jack Suwinski's 15.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 94th percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 90th percentile, the hardest ball Jack Suwinski has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Adael Amador will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ke'Bryan Hayes today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's footspeed has dropped off this season. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.41 ft/sec now. Ke'Bryan Hayes and his 7.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 20th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

Luis Ortiz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Ortiz's large platoon split. Brenton Doyle's quickness has declined this season. His 29.9 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.16 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle's true offensive ability to be a .280, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .038 disparity between that mark and his actual .318 wOBA. Sporting a .262 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brenton Doyle is positioned in the 3rd percentile for hitting ability. Ranked in the 23rd percentile, Brenton Doyle's average exit velocity of 87.7 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Rowdy Tellez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today. Rowdy Tellez's quickness has gotten better this season. His 23.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

Charlie Blackmon's 5.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 21st percentile since the start of last season. Charlie Blackmon's 86.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 11th percentile.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Henry Davis has been unlucky this year, notching a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .067 difference.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Connor Joe ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) provides evidence that Connor Joe has had some very good luck this year with his .328 actual wOBA. Connor Joe's 16.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the league: 79th percentile.

Jake Cave's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Jake Cave will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Michael Toglia has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .162 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .203.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today. Checking in at the 91st percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Jacob Stallings demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key ability for achieving a high batting average.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yasmani Grandal's true offensive talent to be a .277, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .073 disparity between that mark and his actual .204 wOBA.

Greg Jones has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 6 games.

Hunter Goodman has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.