MLBN, SDPA, Bally Sports Network

San Diego @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zack Short Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Z. Short
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+650
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+650
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Zack Short hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zack Short will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 20.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Zack Short hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zack Short will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 20.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+275
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .068 deviation.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .068 deviation.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Manny Machado has had some very poor luck this year. His .271 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Manny Machado has had some very poor luck this year. His .271 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Luis Campusano's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Luis Campusano has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .264 mark is inflated compared to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Campusano's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Luis Campusano has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .264 mark is inflated compared to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Campusano ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.67 ft/sec now.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.67 ft/sec now.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck this year with his .212 actual batting average. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.3 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 92nd percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck this year with his .212 actual batting average. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.3 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 92nd percentile.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Luis Arraez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Luis Arraez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's matchup. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #7 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's matchup. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Orlando Arcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck this year. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Orlando Arcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck this year. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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