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New York @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+850
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+850
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today. Juan Soto has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today. Juan Soto has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+600
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+600
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance this year. His .241 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .225.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance this year. His .241 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .225.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+550
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+550
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Tampa Bay Rays share his handedness.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage in today's matchup. Trent Grisham is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Tampa Bay Rays share his handedness.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has experienced some negative variance given the .075 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330. Using Statcast data, Gleyber Torres grades out in the 90th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has experienced some negative variance given the .075 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330. Using Statcast data, Gleyber Torres grades out in the 90th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+285
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+285
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. When it comes to his batting average, Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year. His .236 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. When it comes to his batting average, Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year. His .236 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233. Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

Harold Ramírez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramírez
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Harold Ramirez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Harold Ramirez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Harold Ramírez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Harold Ramirez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Harold Ramirez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Alex Jackson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

A. Jackson
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Alex Jackson will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alex Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Alex Jackson will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+195
Projection Rating

In MLB, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Oswaldo Cabrera has had bad variance on his side this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Oswaldo Cabrera has had bad variance on his side this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for righty base hits. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Since the start of last season, Amed Rosario's 3.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 11th percentile among his peers. Amed Rosario has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.4° mark is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (6th percentile). Amed Rosario has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for righty base hits. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Since the start of last season, Amed Rosario's 3.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 11th percentile among his peers. Amed Rosario has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.4° mark is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (6th percentile). Amed Rosario has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. In terms of his batting average, Giancarlo Stanton has been lucky this year. His .229 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .219.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. In terms of his batting average, Giancarlo Stanton has been lucky this year. His .229 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .219.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Jon Berti Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Berti
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jon Berti is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jon Berti

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jon Berti is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Austin Wells has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) implies that Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .211 actual batting average.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Austin Wells has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) implies that Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .211 actual batting average.

Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Díaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Yandy Díaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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