SNY, Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+650
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+650
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an advantage today. Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has been unlucky this year. His .305 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an advantage today. Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has been unlucky this year. His .305 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+550
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+550
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. J.D. Martinez has posted a .270 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. J.D. Martinez has posted a .270 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Michael Harris II will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast data, Michael Harris II ranks in the 96th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384. With a .326 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Harris II has performed in the 99th percentile.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Michael Harris II will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast data, Michael Harris II ranks in the 96th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384. With a .326 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Harris II has performed in the 99th percentile.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+320
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+320
Projection Rating

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.426) implies that Starling Marte has been unlucky this year with his .308 actual wOBA.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.426) implies that Starling Marte has been unlucky this year with his .308 actual wOBA.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .363.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .363.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that Brett Baty has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that Brett Baty has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

Tomas Nido Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Nido
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+360
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+360
Projection Rating

Tomas Nido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tomas Nido will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Tomas Nido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Tomas Nido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tomas Nido will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+265
Projection Rating

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 88th percentile.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Pete Alonso has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Pete Alonso has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 76th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jose Quintana today. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) provides evidence that Ozzie Albies has had positive variance on his side this year with his .344 actual wOBA.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ozzie Albies's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jose Quintana today. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) provides evidence that Ozzie Albies has had positive variance on his side this year with his .344 actual wOBA.

Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta

T. d'Arnaud
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have an edge in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has been hot recently, batting his way to a .368 wOBA over the past two weeks. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the elite in MLB at the 76th percentile. Travis d'Arnaud is in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season).

Travis d'Arnaud

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have an edge in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has been hot recently, batting his way to a .368 wOBA over the past two weeks. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the elite in MLB at the 76th percentile. Travis d'Arnaud is in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season).

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have an advantage today. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ronald Acuna Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .394, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .067 disparity between that mark and his actual .327 wOBA.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronald Acuna Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have an advantage today. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ronald Acuna Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .394, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .067 disparity between that mark and his actual .327 wOBA.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Francisco Lindor has had bad variance on his side given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Francisco Lindor has had bad variance on his side given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson's true offensive ability to be a .363, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .071 deviation between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson's true offensive ability to be a .363, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .071 deviation between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, notching a .310 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .048 gap.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, notching a .310 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .048 gap.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Adam Duvall will have an edge today. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 28.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 100th percentile.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Adam Duvall will have an edge today. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 28.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 100th percentile.

Omar Narváez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narváez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) suggests that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Omar Narváez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) suggests that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

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