MLB, Bally Sports Network

Detroit @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Will Brennan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time. In today's matchup, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (90th percentile). Will Brennan's 2.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 4th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 5th percentile, Will Brennan's average exit velocity of 85.7 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

Will Brennan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Will Brennan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time. In today's matchup, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (90th percentile). Will Brennan's 2.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 4th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 5th percentile, Will Brennan's average exit velocity of 85.7 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100 mph or greater. Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial ability for batting average that Jose Ramirez has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 4th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score. By putting up a .275 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Ramirez is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air since the start of last season with a velocity of 100 mph or greater. Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial ability for batting average that Jose Ramirez has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 4th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score. By putting up a .275 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Ramirez is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Naylor
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-256
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-256
Projection Rating

In the majors, Progressive Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest. Josh Naylor's speed has dropped off this year. His 25.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.57 ft/sec now. Josh Naylor has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .301 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Naylor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In the majors, Progressive Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest. Josh Naylor's speed has dropped off this year. His 25.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.57 ft/sec now. Josh Naylor has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .301 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.

Wenceel Pérez Total Hits Props • Detroit

W. Pérez
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Wenceel Pérez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Cleveland

T. Freeman
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Matt Vierling has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Matt Vierling has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Ibanez
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Ibanez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. With a .228 wOBA over the last week, Andy Ibanez has been struggling at the plate.

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Ibanez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. With a .228 wOBA over the last week, Andy Ibanez has been struggling at the plate.

David Fry Total Hits Props • Cleveland

D. Fry
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

David Fry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today's game.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today's game.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Torkelson has had some very poor luck given the .061 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Torkelson has had some very poor luck given the .061 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Canha
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today's game.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today's game.

Estevan Florial Total Hits Props • Cleveland

E. Florial
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Estevan Florial has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Estevan Florial will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Estevan Florial

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Estevan Florial has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Estevan Florial will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Reese Olson in today's matchup. Bo Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Reese Olson in today's matchup. Bo Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.294) may lead us to conclude that Javier Baez has had some very poor luck this year with his .208 actual wOBA.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.294) may lead us to conclude that Javier Baez has had some very poor luck this year with his .208 actual wOBA.

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231. Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231. Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Colt Keith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's matchup. Despite posting a .190 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had bad variance on his side given the .107 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Colt Keith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's matchup. Despite posting a .190 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had bad variance on his side given the .107 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today. Zach McKinstry has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .285 figure is a good deal lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 88th percentile.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Progressive Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today. Zach McKinstry has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .285 figure is a good deal lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 88th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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