ESPN

Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+1200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+1200
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jordan Wicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilyer Abreu in today's matchup.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jordan Wicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilyer Abreu in today's matchup.

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+1000
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+1000
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+750

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tyler O'Neill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tyler O'Neill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+320
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+320
Projection Rating

Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+300
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+300
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+287
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+287
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+208
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+290
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+290
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jordan Wicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Enmanuel Valdez in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jordan Wicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Enmanuel Valdez in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Mervis
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+252
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+252
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Matt Mervis will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Matt Mervis will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-160
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-160
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tanner Houck) in this game.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tanner Houck) in this game.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Tauchman
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Wicks throws from, Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Wicks throws from, Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bobby Dalbec will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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