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Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Mervis
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Matt Mervis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski today. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Matt Mervis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski today. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+370
Projection Rating

Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has been hot recently, tallying a .432 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has been hot recently, tallying a .432 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

Michael Busch is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Michael Busch has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .362.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Busch is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Michael Busch has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .362.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+310
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Tauchman
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+295
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+295
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last 14 days, Mike Tauchman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .406.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Tauchman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last 14 days, Mike Tauchman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .406.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+185
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown today. Masataka Yoshida is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown today. Masataka Yoshida is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage today.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Dalbec will hold that advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Tyler O'Neill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage today.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Tyler O'Neill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage today.

Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Y. Gomes
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Yan Gomes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Yan Gomes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Yan Gomes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for righty batting average. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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