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Cleveland @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-145
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-145
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-155
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-155
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Brennan today.

Will Brennan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Brennan today.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Naylor
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Josh Naylor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Bo Naylor usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Bo Naylor usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland

R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.

Estevan Florial Total Hits Props • Cleveland

E. Florial
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Estevan Florial will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Estevan Florial hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Estevan Florial

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Estevan Florial will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Estevan Florial hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brayan Rocchio pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brayan Rocchio pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Triston Casas will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Triston Casas will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Triston Casas will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Triston Casas will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Lively in today's game... and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Wilyer Abreu has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Lively in today's game... and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Wilyer Abreu has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Enmanuel Valdez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively in today's game... and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Enmanuel Valdez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively in today's game... and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's game.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pablo Reyes Total Hits Props • Boston

P. Reyes
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Pablo Reyes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Pablo Reyes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Pablo Reyes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gabriel Arias has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Gabriel Arias has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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