Group F action gets underway on Tuesday and my Turkey vs. Georgia predictions will leave you wanting more.
Turkey enters this vital Group F game as the favorite, but our Euro 2024 picks for this fixture go in a different direction. Find out why as I break down Turkey vs. Georgia for Tuesday, June 18.
Turkey vs Georgia picks, predictions, and betting tips
My best bet:
Under 2.5 goals (-143 at Betano)
My analysis
Regarding Group F, Turkey and Georgia are considered outsiders to win the group, but Turkey is given a better chance at progressing to the knockout stage. However, I'm not entirely sure what the odds see that I don't.
Turkey enters this opening match in poor form — going winless over their last five fixtures in all competitions — and their scoring has taken a massive hit, with just three goals scored over that span. Kenan Yildiz will be relied upon to lead the line, but he's largely unproven on the international scene at just 19 years old.
Vincenzo Montella will have his tactics set up in a way that Turkey does not get burned on the counter, and because of that possession-based style of play, the slow burn of the clock will be in our favor as we hold an Under ticket.
As for Georgia, this is a team making its debut at a major international tournament, and while many consider them a bit of a dark horse in the group, they'll have to find a way to win low-scoring fixtures.
Georgia play a 3-5-2 formation that essentially turns into five at the back when out of possession. They're tough to break down, but more importantly for us, they don't commit many bodies forward, even when on the ball.
In a game where both teams will fancy their chances at picking up three points, I believe we'll see both teams play 'not to lose.'
Give me the Under in a 1-0 or 1-1 type game.
Turkey vs Georgia same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 2.5
Under 9.5 corners
Georgia/Draw — Double Chance
In addition to the Under, this game is likely to be played in the midfield as opposed to the final third.
With very little by way of attacking threat, 10 corners is a lot to ask in a game where chances are going to be hard to generate with plenty of bodies behind the ball.
And to boost it, I'll take Georgia/Draw on the double chance. Turkey's poor form is too much to overlook, while Georgia may benefit from their first venture into the unknown.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Turkey vs Georgia odds
| Turkey | Georgia | |
|---|---|---|
| -128 | Moneyline | +420 |
| Over 2.5 (+118) | Total | Under 2.5 (-143) |
| +270 | Draw | +270 |
Odds courtesy of Betano on 6-16
Turkey vs Georgia game info
| Location: | BVB Stadion, Dortmund, Germany |
| Date: | Tuesday, June 18, 2024 |
| Time: | 12:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX, FS1 |
| Weather: | Cool and rainy conditions |
Not intended for use in MA.
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