2022 MLB Cy Young Odds: Verlander, Alcantara Gaining Separation From Pack

In the latest Cy Young odds update, Miami right-hander Sandy Alcantara still stands as the favorite to win the NL award, while Houston's Justin Verlander has increased his lead as the solo betting favorite to win in the AL.

Last Updated: Aug 9, 2022 11:45 AM ET Read Time: 7 min
Sandy Alcantara Miami Marlins MLB
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We've now reached the dog days of August in the MLB season and we've got plenty of data to give us an informed look at the current MLB Cy Young odds races (as well as the MLB MVP odds and Rookie of the Year odds).

Justin Verlander and Sandy Alcantara remain the favorites by relatively wide margins in their respective races.

Here's a look at the latest odds to win the respective Cy Young awards in the 2022 MLB season.

Odds to win AL Cy Young award

Pitcher (Team) Odds
Justin Verlander (Astros) -155
Dylan Cease (White Sox) +300
Shane McClanahan (Rays) +650
Shohei Ohtani (Angels) +2,300
Alek Manoah (Blue Jays) +3,200
Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) +5,000
Shane Bieber (Guardians) +8,500
Gerrit Cole (Yankees) +10,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of August 9, 2022.

AL Cy Young favorites

Justin Verlander, Houston Astros (-155)

The American League now has a new betting favorite for the CY Young. Justin Verlander is still among baseball's best on the mound at age 39. The two-time Cy Young winner owns a league-best 1.73 ERA for the AL West-leading Astros. Verlander's strikeout numbers are down a bit from his career norm, but he's still pitching effectively while also suppressing the home run ball better than he has in ages.

He gives his team a chance to win every time he touches the mound and hasn't surrendered more than three runs in six straight starts. If Verlander wins the Cy Young, it'll be just the third time in Astros' history one of their pitchers has been honored with the award — Verlander (2019) and Dallas Keuchel (2015).

Dylan Cease, Chicago White Sox (+480)

Sitting in the second spot is the Chicago righty, who has been one of the few bright spots for an underwhelming White Sox team. In 22 starts, Dylan Cease stands with a 12-4 record and sports a 1.98 ERA over 122 2-3 innings. In his last five outings, Cease has gone a perfect 5-0 while surrendering just two earned runs, helping boost his odds to +300. In fact, he hasn't allowed more than one earned run in an outing over his last 13 starts — the longest such stretch since earned runs became a counting stat in 1913.

Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays (+210)

Shane McClanahan has been mostly great this season, providing the Rays with plenty of quality innings. He sits 10-5 with a 2.24 ERA and a very impressive strikeout count of 161 in just 128 1-3 innings. He was the betting favorite to win the AL Cy Young for much of the season, but he's hit the skids a bit since the All-Star break. The lefty has allowed 11 earned runs in 17 2-3 innings over his last three starts while striking out 14, which sits below his usual rate. There's very little margin for error, and his stumble, however brief it's been, has allowed Verlander and Cease to leapfrog him.

 

Odds to win NL Cy Young award

Pitcher (Team) Odds
Sandy Alcantara (Marlins)  -240
Corbin Burnes (Brewers) +800
Max Fried (Braves) +1,700
Zack Wheeler (Phillies) +2,500
Carlos Rodon (Giants) +2,500
Joe Musgrove (Padres)  +3,500
Tony Gonsolin (Dodgers) +3,500
Max Scherzer (Mets) +4,000
Aaron Nola (Phillies) +5,500
Edwin Diaz (Mets) +6,000
Julio Urias (Dodgers) +6,500
Spencer Strider (Braves) +8,000
Logan Webb (Giants) +10,000
Tyler Anderson (Dodgers) +10,000
Yu Darvish (Padres) +10,000
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers) +10,000
Brandon Woodruff (Brewers) +10,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of August 9, 2022.

NL Cy Young favorites

Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins (-240)

Alcantara is showing that you don't need to strike everyone out to be effective on the mound these days. The right-hander leads all pitchers with 158 1-3 innings pitched through 22 starts — the next closest is Aaron Nola with 144 2-3. Since May 11, a span of 16 outings, Alcantara has completed seven innings in all but two and has three complete games under his belt in that time (he also went nine shutout innings in a start vs. the Nationals that was ultimately decided in extra innings). He's 8-2 over that stretch and continues to pull away.

No Marlins pitcher has ever won the Cy Young and it's looking like that streak may finally come to an end.

Corbin Burnes, Milwaukee Brewers (+800)

The reigning NL Cy Young winner is a distant second on the odds board, but he's still having a strong season leading Milwaukee's rotation. He's 8-5 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 175 strikeouts in 136 innings. 

If he can mount a second-half surge, Corbin Burnes could join the likes of Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw as a back-to-back winner over the last decade. But that would also require Alcantara to start showing some cracks in the armor.

Max Fried, Atlanta Braves (+1,700)

Max Fried continues to have a stellar season with the Braves and, like Alcantara, isn't overly reliant on the strikeout pitch (8.26 K/9). Fried is currently 10-4 on the season and has surrendered just six homers in 138 1-3 innings. After opening his season by allowing five earned runs on eight hits to the Reds, Fried hasn't allowed more than four in a single outing since — and he's only done that twice. Fried's got a 2.18 ERA over his last nine starts and has finished six innings in eight of those outings.

Previous Cy Young Award winners

Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL Cy Young Award, with Cleveland and the New York Mets each leading the way with three. Overall, the Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers have the most Cy Youngs all time (12), followed by the Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox, and Mets with seven.

Year American League Winner National League Winner
2021 Robbie Ray (Toronto) Corbin Burnes (Milwaukee)
2020 Shane Bieber (Cleveland) Trevor Bauer (Cincinnati)
2019 Justin Verlander (Houston) Jacob deGrom (New York Mets)
2018 Blake Snell (Tampa Bay) Jacob deGrom (New York Mets)
2017 Corey Kluber (Cleveland) Max Scherzer (Washington)
2016 Rick Porcello (Boston) Max Scherzer (Washington)
2015 Dallas Keuchel (Houston) Jake Arrieta (Chicago Cubs)
2014 Corey Kluber (Cleveland) Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers)
2013 Max Scherzer (Detroit) Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers)
2012 David Price (Tampa Bay) R.A. Dickey (New York Mets)

Pitchers with multiple Cy Young Awards

There are 21 pitchers who have won multiple Cy Young Awards, led by Roger Clemens' seven trophies. Of those 21 winners, five are still currently active in the Majors.

Pitcher Number of Cy Young Awards (Years)
Roger Clemens 7 (1986, 1987, 1991, 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004)
Randy Johnson 5 (1995, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002)
Steve Carlton 4 (1972, 1977, 1980, 1982
Greg Maddux 4 (1992, 1993, 1994, 1995)
Six different pitchers 3
11 different pitchers 2

Understanding Cy Young odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Shane Bieber looked to have the AL Cy Young locked up in 2020, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number.

  • Shane Bieber -300

That means that a bettor in September had to wager $300 to win $100 by betting on Bieber. Before this year's race even began, every candidate had a (+) sign in front of their number.

  • Gerrit Cole +850

With Cole's current odds, a bettor stands to profit $850 for every $100 wagered on him.

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

MLB Cy Young Odds

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