Completely missed the best number here but still like it under a TD. Think Penn St will run all over ole miss. Allar is a weakness but if there’s one thing that I’ve seen from him is that a bad D will make him look like prime Aaron Rodgers. Really like the Ole Miss offense but Penn St looks to be a full go on D minus Chop. Think Penn st has an advantage on both sides of the ball and James Franklin tends to beat everyone not named Michigan and OSU.
Completely missed the best number here but still like it under a TD. Think Penn St will run all over ole miss. Allar is a weakness but if there’s one thing that I’ve seen from him is that a bad D will make him look like prime Aaron Rodgers. Really like the Ole Miss offense but Penn St looks to be a full go on D minus Chop. Think Penn st has an advantage on both sides of the ball and James Franklin tends to beat everyone not named Michigan and OSU.
Thinking the FSU offense is going to look a lot like Ohio St last night - completely lost. UGA, as long as they show up with a point to prove as I expect they will, to dominate both sides of the ball and win this game by 24+
Thinking the FSU offense is going to look a lot like Ohio St last night - completely lost. UGA, as long as they show up with a point to prove as I expect they will, to dominate both sides of the ball and win this game by 24+
Have thought long and hard about this game. We have a season full of statistics, which unfortunately just don't do us much good here. Why? Well A) Alabama week 4 isn't Alabama week 13.. not even close. B) Michigan also has a season full of mangled stats because of playing nobody for 8 weeks then having an injured QB in the only games that mattered. So to try and be brief this game comes down to a few key areas for me. #1 is Alabama's offense vs the UM Defense, specifically Milroe. Young kid, tons of talent, great wheels. Tomorrow he's getting a very experienced D that runs a lot of NFL looks and they do it very well. I've harped ALL season on the depth of Michigans defensive line, the Wolves essentially have 2 starting DL's and the one major statistic that is an outlier when looking at these 2 teams is the offensive line play from Alabama. They're shockingly outside the top 100 in pass protection. I do think the Michigan pass rush is going to be a huge problem tomorrow. The next thing for Milroe is can Michigan do two things... contain him in the running game and defend the deep ball. If you watched him against UGA a few weeks ago, you saw that he either a) doesn't see receivers in the short/intermediate range or b) can't make that throw. There were dudes running free and he just couldnt get the ball there. Also has shown to be mistake prone and UM is fairly opportunistic there. Force him to make the short throws, I think Alabama is actually missing quite a few of the insane skill guys theyve had in years past. Michigan has definitely struggled to defend running QB's in the past so thats a major area of focus here.
Have thought long and hard about this game. We have a season full of statistics, which unfortunately just don't do us much good here. Why? Well A) Alabama week 4 isn't Alabama week 13.. not even close. B) Michigan also has a season full of mangled stats because of playing nobody for 8 weeks then having an injured QB in the only games that mattered. So to try and be brief this game comes down to a few key areas for me. #1 is Alabama's offense vs the UM Defense, specifically Milroe. Young kid, tons of talent, great wheels. Tomorrow he's getting a very experienced D that runs a lot of NFL looks and they do it very well. I've harped ALL season on the depth of Michigans defensive line, the Wolves essentially have 2 starting DL's and the one major statistic that is an outlier when looking at these 2 teams is the offensive line play from Alabama. They're shockingly outside the top 100 in pass protection. I do think the Michigan pass rush is going to be a huge problem tomorrow. The next thing for Milroe is can Michigan do two things... contain him in the running game and defend the deep ball. If you watched him against UGA a few weeks ago, you saw that he either a) doesn't see receivers in the short/intermediate range or b) can't make that throw. There were dudes running free and he just couldnt get the ball there. Also has shown to be mistake prone and UM is fairly opportunistic there. Force him to make the short throws, I think Alabama is actually missing quite a few of the insane skill guys theyve had in years past. Michigan has definitely struggled to defend running QB's in the past so thats a major area of focus here.
On offense - Michigan is extremely efficient offensively. No fireworks really and dropped a 30 spot on Ohio St, a very good defense. 24(?) against the #1 run D in their own barn with a one legged QB not even attempting to throw the ball. They just take what's there and thats pretty much that. I did pick up that JJ was nursing a much more significant injury than we were aware of ever since the Purdue game. Here's where I like Michigan the most. The interior of the Alabama DL has been picked on a little this year (again shocking), so I do think Michigan will run the ball well picking up those 3-5 yard chunks and slogging their way down field if that's the way Alabama plays it. The problem their defense poses is the edge rush and the secondary. The edges remind me of Penn St with Chop Robinson and the other stud I'm drawing a blank on his name. Anyway, Michigan had no answer for that and JJ was a sitting duck. I think Alabama probably has focused a lot of their game plan on that tape, except I do think JJ is much healthier for this game. He's a much better QB when he's on the move regardless, which is partly why Michigans O was so pedestrian the final few weeks. Get JJ outside the pocket throwing and also getting him picking up yards with his feet are two areas I think Michigan will succeed here. Think the middle of the field will be open for some big plays and the longer he can extend plays outside the pocket the more likely he is to find the big ones that Ewers and Texas seemed to find so easily early in the season vs Alabama. When you look at the pass D the studs are all on the outside. Michigans best weapons are Wilson (slot) and the TE's who will take a lot of the key players for the Bama secondary out of this quite a bit.
That's the long and short of it for me. The other things to think about are Michigan being phenomenal in terms of not turning the ball over and not taking penalties (#1 and #2 in those categories). Other side is Nick Saban with an extended prep time -- something like a 20 ppg marin of victory and 8-0 in his last 8? Wildly good.
On offense - Michigan is extremely efficient offensively. No fireworks really and dropped a 30 spot on Ohio St, a very good defense. 24(?) against the #1 run D in their own barn with a one legged QB not even attempting to throw the ball. They just take what's there and thats pretty much that. I did pick up that JJ was nursing a much more significant injury than we were aware of ever since the Purdue game. Here's where I like Michigan the most. The interior of the Alabama DL has been picked on a little this year (again shocking), so I do think Michigan will run the ball well picking up those 3-5 yard chunks and slogging their way down field if that's the way Alabama plays it. The problem their defense poses is the edge rush and the secondary. The edges remind me of Penn St with Chop Robinson and the other stud I'm drawing a blank on his name. Anyway, Michigan had no answer for that and JJ was a sitting duck. I think Alabama probably has focused a lot of their game plan on that tape, except I do think JJ is much healthier for this game. He's a much better QB when he's on the move regardless, which is partly why Michigans O was so pedestrian the final few weeks. Get JJ outside the pocket throwing and also getting him picking up yards with his feet are two areas I think Michigan will succeed here. Think the middle of the field will be open for some big plays and the longer he can extend plays outside the pocket the more likely he is to find the big ones that Ewers and Texas seemed to find so easily early in the season vs Alabama. When you look at the pass D the studs are all on the outside. Michigans best weapons are Wilson (slot) and the TE's who will take a lot of the key players for the Bama secondary out of this quite a bit.
That's the long and short of it for me. The other things to think about are Michigan being phenomenal in terms of not turning the ball over and not taking penalties (#1 and #2 in those categories). Other side is Nick Saban with an extended prep time -- something like a 20 ppg marin of victory and 8-0 in his last 8? Wildly good.
One last thing I forgot to add -- this opened UM -1.5 and like 80% of bets are on Alabama.. we're at -1.5. That speaks to me a little too. I like the matchup here.
One last thing I forgot to add -- this opened UM -1.5 and like 80% of bets are on Alabama.. we're at -1.5. That speaks to me a little too. I like the matchup here.
On offense - Michigan is extremely efficient offensively. No fireworks really and dropped a 30 spot on Ohio St, a very good defense. 24(?) against the #1 run D in their own barn with a one legged QB not even attempting to throw the ball. They just take what's there and thats pretty much that. I did pick up that JJ was nursing a much more significant injury than we were aware of ever since the Purdue game. Here's where I like Michigan the most. The interior of the Alabama DL has been picked on a little this year (again shocking), so I do think Michigan will run the ball well picking up those 3-5 yard chunks and slogging their way down field if that's the way Alabama plays it. The problem their defense poses is the edge rush and the secondary. The edges remind me of Penn St with Chop Robinson and the other stud I'm drawing a blank on his name. Anyway, Michigan had no answer for that and JJ was a sitting duck. I think Alabama probably has focused a lot of their game plan on that tape, except I do think JJ is much healthier for this game. He's a much better QB when he's on the move regardless, which is partly why Michigans O was so pedestrian the final few weeks. Get JJ outside the pocket throwing and also getting him picking up yards with his feet are two areas I think Michigan will succeed here. Think the middle of the field will be open for some big plays and the longer he can extend plays outside the pocket the more likely he is to find the big ones that Ewers and Texas seemed to find so easily early in the season vs Alabama. When you look at the pass D the studs are all on the outside. Michigans best weapons are Wilson (slot) and the TE's who will take a lot of the key players for the Bama secondary out of this quite a bit. That's the long and short of it for me. The other things to think about are Michigan being phenomenal in terms of not turning the ball over and not taking penalties (#1 and #2 in those categories). Other side is Nick Saban with an extended prep time -- something like a 20 ppg marin of victory and 8-0 in his last 8? Wildly good. Prediction: Michigan 31 Alabama 23Plays: Michigan ML JJ over 15.5 rush yards
Great analysis. I’ve looked the same way with a higher scoring game (than 44.5 at least) and toward Michigan. I’m glad you brought up McCarthy rushing yards. I think he will use his legs being the most crucial game of his career. He can be mobile when he wants, they just never need him too..
On offense - Michigan is extremely efficient offensively. No fireworks really and dropped a 30 spot on Ohio St, a very good defense. 24(?) against the #1 run D in their own barn with a one legged QB not even attempting to throw the ball. They just take what's there and thats pretty much that. I did pick up that JJ was nursing a much more significant injury than we were aware of ever since the Purdue game. Here's where I like Michigan the most. The interior of the Alabama DL has been picked on a little this year (again shocking), so I do think Michigan will run the ball well picking up those 3-5 yard chunks and slogging their way down field if that's the way Alabama plays it. The problem their defense poses is the edge rush and the secondary. The edges remind me of Penn St with Chop Robinson and the other stud I'm drawing a blank on his name. Anyway, Michigan had no answer for that and JJ was a sitting duck. I think Alabama probably has focused a lot of their game plan on that tape, except I do think JJ is much healthier for this game. He's a much better QB when he's on the move regardless, which is partly why Michigans O was so pedestrian the final few weeks. Get JJ outside the pocket throwing and also getting him picking up yards with his feet are two areas I think Michigan will succeed here. Think the middle of the field will be open for some big plays and the longer he can extend plays outside the pocket the more likely he is to find the big ones that Ewers and Texas seemed to find so easily early in the season vs Alabama. When you look at the pass D the studs are all on the outside. Michigans best weapons are Wilson (slot) and the TE's who will take a lot of the key players for the Bama secondary out of this quite a bit. That's the long and short of it for me. The other things to think about are Michigan being phenomenal in terms of not turning the ball over and not taking penalties (#1 and #2 in those categories). Other side is Nick Saban with an extended prep time -- something like a 20 ppg marin of victory and 8-0 in his last 8? Wildly good. Prediction: Michigan 31 Alabama 23Plays: Michigan ML JJ over 15.5 rush yards
Great analysis. I’ve looked the same way with a higher scoring game (than 44.5 at least) and toward Michigan. I’m glad you brought up McCarthy rushing yards. I think he will use his legs being the most crucial game of his career. He can be mobile when he wants, they just never need him too..
Now it just needs to play out. What I can’t see happen is last years start with a TO on the goal line and then down 14-0. Would be cooked immediately if that happens and JJ has to throw 35 times
Now it just needs to play out. What I can’t see happen is last years start with a TO on the goal line and then down 14-0. Would be cooked immediately if that happens and JJ has to throw 35 times
Shorter and to the point I have Texas as the highest rated team, favored by 9-10 here. Problem is the biggest weakness Texas has plays right into the hands of UWs biggest strength. Therefore I have no strong feeling on the side, guess I’ll lean Texas but my one play on this game is over 62.5 points. This should be an awesome, super entertaining game to cap off the day
Shorter and to the point I have Texas as the highest rated team, favored by 9-10 here. Problem is the biggest weakness Texas has plays right into the hands of UWs biggest strength. Therefore I have no strong feeling on the side, guess I’ll lean Texas but my one play on this game is over 62.5 points. This should be an awesome, super entertaining game to cap off the day
Just read your Alabama - Milroe vs Wolverines defense and concur completely....
Look what Mike MacDonald DC is doing in Baltimore to teams this year!!! He completely bottled up Tua yesterday as an example and that is someone who can release the ball quickly.
Milroe has an almost 3 second hut - throw time which is one of the slowest in college football. I saw keep him in front of you and get an arm up, surround him with a bowl pressure scheme and force him to throw on the run / take away his deep ball and force him to throw for a TD instead of running for one
Bama's receivers are not the best pattern runners...watched some film
Bama has only played Georgia and AM as their best defense. I personally think them scoring over 22.5 for a team total might be in jeopardy and Michigan wins an ugly one like 23-20 or 23-17
But I respect Saban and his coaching staff to find a way to unlock their talent and have Milroe ready for every scenario. Can Bama beat the team who beat the #1 and #2 defense in the nation....AND THEY ARE #3 DEFENSE in the nation???
Wow, you better have some talent all around to do that and I say no....I honestly thought my conclusion was going to lead to Alabama demonstrating they are the most improved team in football and can be beat by the talent of Bama.....but I think it leans Michigan in a one score kind of game
We will find out soon
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Just read your Alabama - Milroe vs Wolverines defense and concur completely....
Look what Mike MacDonald DC is doing in Baltimore to teams this year!!! He completely bottled up Tua yesterday as an example and that is someone who can release the ball quickly.
Milroe has an almost 3 second hut - throw time which is one of the slowest in college football. I saw keep him in front of you and get an arm up, surround him with a bowl pressure scheme and force him to throw on the run / take away his deep ball and force him to throw for a TD instead of running for one
Bama's receivers are not the best pattern runners...watched some film
Bama has only played Georgia and AM as their best defense. I personally think them scoring over 22.5 for a team total might be in jeopardy and Michigan wins an ugly one like 23-20 or 23-17
But I respect Saban and his coaching staff to find a way to unlock their talent and have Milroe ready for every scenario. Can Bama beat the team who beat the #1 and #2 defense in the nation....AND THEY ARE #3 DEFENSE in the nation???
Wow, you better have some talent all around to do that and I say no....I honestly thought my conclusion was going to lead to Alabama demonstrating they are the most improved team in football and can be beat by the talent of Bama.....but I think it leans Michigan in a one score kind of game
On offense - Michigan is extremely efficient offensively. No fireworks really and dropped a 30 spot on Ohio St, a very good defense. 24(?) against the #1 run D in their own barn with a one legged QB not even attempting to throw the ball. They just take what's there and thats pretty much that. I did pick up that JJ was nursing a much more significant injury than we were aware of ever since the Purdue game. Here's where I like Michigan the most. The interior of the Alabama DL has been picked on a little this year (again shocking), so I do think Michigan will run the ball well picking up those 3-5 yard chunks and slogging their way down field if that's the way Alabama plays it. The problem their defense poses is the edge rush and the secondary. The edges remind me of Penn St with Chop Robinson and the other stud I'm drawing a blank on his name. Anyway, Michigan had no answer for that and JJ was a sitting duck. I think Alabama probably has focused a lot of their game plan on that tape, except I do think JJ is much healthier for this game. He's a much better QB when he's on the move regardless, which is partly why Michigans O was so pedestrian the final few weeks. Get JJ outside the pocket throwing and also getting him picking up yards with his feet are two areas I think Michigan will succeed here. Think the middle of the field will be open for some big plays and the longer he can extend plays outside the pocket the more likely he is to find the big ones that Ewers and Texas seemed to find so easily early in the season vs Alabama. When you look at the pass D the studs are all on the outside. Michigans best weapons are Wilson (slot) and the TE's who will take a lot of the key players for the Bama secondary out of this quite a bit. That's the long and short of it for me. The other things to think about are Michigan being phenomenal in terms of not turning the ball over and not taking penalties (#1 and #2 in those categories). Other side is Nick Saban with an extended prep time -- something like a 20 ppg marin of victory and 8-0 in his last 8? Wildly good. Prediction: Michigan 31 Alabama 23Plays: Michigan ML JJ over 15.5 rush yards
Spot on and concur about the middle of the field which is where Michigan likes to operate in, however JJ can throw a sideline shoulder-outside pass with timing and on a rollout if needed and Bama rarely sees this from a QB which is why EWERS gave their secondary fits....EWERS and JJ are of the same mold with JJ having even better footwork and as good of accuracy!
Nice analysis. I think the score will be bit lower and that's because of Michigan's plodding offense and lack of rivalry juice in this one, although deep down Harbaugh has a rivalry with Saban
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
On offense - Michigan is extremely efficient offensively. No fireworks really and dropped a 30 spot on Ohio St, a very good defense. 24(?) against the #1 run D in their own barn with a one legged QB not even attempting to throw the ball. They just take what's there and thats pretty much that. I did pick up that JJ was nursing a much more significant injury than we were aware of ever since the Purdue game. Here's where I like Michigan the most. The interior of the Alabama DL has been picked on a little this year (again shocking), so I do think Michigan will run the ball well picking up those 3-5 yard chunks and slogging their way down field if that's the way Alabama plays it. The problem their defense poses is the edge rush and the secondary. The edges remind me of Penn St with Chop Robinson and the other stud I'm drawing a blank on his name. Anyway, Michigan had no answer for that and JJ was a sitting duck. I think Alabama probably has focused a lot of their game plan on that tape, except I do think JJ is much healthier for this game. He's a much better QB when he's on the move regardless, which is partly why Michigans O was so pedestrian the final few weeks. Get JJ outside the pocket throwing and also getting him picking up yards with his feet are two areas I think Michigan will succeed here. Think the middle of the field will be open for some big plays and the longer he can extend plays outside the pocket the more likely he is to find the big ones that Ewers and Texas seemed to find so easily early in the season vs Alabama. When you look at the pass D the studs are all on the outside. Michigans best weapons are Wilson (slot) and the TE's who will take a lot of the key players for the Bama secondary out of this quite a bit. That's the long and short of it for me. The other things to think about are Michigan being phenomenal in terms of not turning the ball over and not taking penalties (#1 and #2 in those categories). Other side is Nick Saban with an extended prep time -- something like a 20 ppg marin of victory and 8-0 in his last 8? Wildly good. Prediction: Michigan 31 Alabama 23Plays: Michigan ML JJ over 15.5 rush yards
Spot on and concur about the middle of the field which is where Michigan likes to operate in, however JJ can throw a sideline shoulder-outside pass with timing and on a rollout if needed and Bama rarely sees this from a QB which is why EWERS gave their secondary fits....EWERS and JJ are of the same mold with JJ having even better footwork and as good of accuracy!
Nice analysis. I think the score will be bit lower and that's because of Michigan's plodding offense and lack of rivalry juice in this one, although deep down Harbaugh has a rivalry with Saban
Sugar Bowl #2 UW vs #3 Texas Shorter and to the point I have Texas as the highest rated team, favored by 9-10 here. Problem is the biggest weakness Texas has plays right into the hands of UWs biggest strength. Therefore I have no strong feeling on the side, guess I’ll lean Texas but my one play on this game is over 62.5 points. This should be an awesome, super entertaining game to cap off the day
Completely agree with HORNS secondary being an X-Factor that could lose it for them but for sure give up a lot of points and therefore the OVER is attractive
I lean a cover by Washington there due to Huskies ability to come from behind and also knuckle down on defense when they need to, 2x vs an extremely good Oregon offense.
OVER seems easy
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.
Sugar Bowl #2 UW vs #3 Texas Shorter and to the point I have Texas as the highest rated team, favored by 9-10 here. Problem is the biggest weakness Texas has plays right into the hands of UWs biggest strength. Therefore I have no strong feeling on the side, guess I’ll lean Texas but my one play on this game is over 62.5 points. This should be an awesome, super entertaining game to cap off the day
Completely agree with HORNS secondary being an X-Factor that could lose it for them but for sure give up a lot of points and therefore the OVER is attractive
I lean a cover by Washington there due to Huskies ability to come from behind and also knuckle down on defense when they need to, 2x vs an extremely good Oregon offense.
Yes JJ is wildly underrated. Think he’s a great pro prospect. The narratives out there on him couldn’t be more wrong imo.
also agree on that over in the late game lol seems too easy but I can see this one just being a back and forth burner… even if it starts a little slow.
Yes JJ is wildly underrated. Think he’s a great pro prospect. The narratives out there on him couldn’t be more wrong imo.
also agree on that over in the late game lol seems too easy but I can see this one just being a back and forth burner… even if it starts a little slow.
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