Not super strong on Rice and kinda late to the party at this point .. hoping not too late ..
Might play Kansas for fun but nothing really for them or Duke .. Duke might be pretty rainy ..
I liked So.Bama under a TD hard to say what I'd do here maybe just for fun lotta points to lay in a road conf game but consider also ULL knows by now So Bama and Troy are the must wins to repeat the division so def getting their best game here .. Jags would be more than elated to walk outta there w a 1 pt W ... another way to look at it is SP+ woulda had So.Bama +14 if they played week 1 and this week it's a pick'em .. so my hangup taking them -5 was that we're like 3 games into the season and were betting into about 20 points of lost value and 5 pts better than the models have it .. which is an insane move but now taking a 23 point diff 8.5 better than models lol like yeah I wouldn't go overboard on it .. was thinking middle some of my bet if we got to like 10 .. I can't see that happen unless there's some mad degen rush before kickoff or some favorable injury, etc ...
Not super strong on Rice and kinda late to the party at this point .. hoping not too late ..
Might play Kansas for fun but nothing really for them or Duke .. Duke might be pretty rainy ..
I liked So.Bama under a TD hard to say what I'd do here maybe just for fun lotta points to lay in a road conf game but consider also ULL knows by now So Bama and Troy are the must wins to repeat the division so def getting their best game here .. Jags would be more than elated to walk outta there w a 1 pt W ... another way to look at it is SP+ woulda had So.Bama +14 if they played week 1 and this week it's a pick'em .. so my hangup taking them -5 was that we're like 3 games into the season and were betting into about 20 points of lost value and 5 pts better than the models have it .. which is an insane move but now taking a 23 point diff 8.5 better than models lol like yeah I wouldn't go overboard on it .. was thinking middle some of my bet if we got to like 10 .. I can't see that happen unless there's some mad degen rush before kickoff or some favorable injury, etc ...
SMU +3.5 RICE +10 SO.BAMA -5 MISS STATE -1.5 WEST VIRGINIA +10
SMALLER
CAL +4.5 WAKE +4.5 OLE MISS -5.5 MICHIGAN -10.5 MARYLAND +3.5 TEXAS STATE +22 GA SOUTHERN +10.5 BOWLING GREEN -6.5 NC STATE +10.5 (GOY) NORTHWESTERN +26.5 LIBERTY / ODU UNDER 47.5
SMU +3.5 RICE +10 SO.BAMA -5 MISS STATE -1.5 WEST VIRGINIA +10
SMALLER
CAL +4.5 WAKE +4.5 OLE MISS -5.5 MICHIGAN -10.5 MARYLAND +3.5 TEXAS STATE +22 GA SOUTHERN +10.5 BOWLING GREEN -6.5 NC STATE +10.5 (GOY) NORTHWESTERN +26.5 LIBERTY / ODU UNDER 47.5
Big time cross country travel not sure if we're getting the tail end of the hurricane weather doesn't quite look like it .. do have Fresno off a bye but had to get QB 2 in there sounds like Haener is out this game after high ankle sprain vs USC .. and with Boise on deck even if he was like nearly good to go why in the world risk it here .. anyway he's out and now news of Nathan Carter the absolute beast RB for Uconn injured last game season ending surgery and w ~450 yds safe to say he was Uconn's top offensive producer .. They have another good RB but Carter was legit tough to bring down and busted a few long runs .. Conn still with the Fr QB and maybe their most winnable game on deck idk im sure they'll put up some kinda fight but seems like Fresno might really just be going thru the motions here .. that still might be good enough to hit the TT or cover the spread.. seems like we can bank on at least one of these offenses not doing much, think Fres gets an hour or so of practice w the starters and then try out a few new faces couple score lead and its more/less time to melt that clock and get outta there not wait around for some rain delay just put the work in and get everyone back home healthy for the big game next week ... only thing I could see is if this backup QB is likely to be starting next week then maybe the starters gotta practice longer but idk can also just do that at home all next week vs better competition..
Big time cross country travel not sure if we're getting the tail end of the hurricane weather doesn't quite look like it .. do have Fresno off a bye but had to get QB 2 in there sounds like Haener is out this game after high ankle sprain vs USC .. and with Boise on deck even if he was like nearly good to go why in the world risk it here .. anyway he's out and now news of Nathan Carter the absolute beast RB for Uconn injured last game season ending surgery and w ~450 yds safe to say he was Uconn's top offensive producer .. They have another good RB but Carter was legit tough to bring down and busted a few long runs .. Conn still with the Fr QB and maybe their most winnable game on deck idk im sure they'll put up some kinda fight but seems like Fresno might really just be going thru the motions here .. that still might be good enough to hit the TT or cover the spread.. seems like we can bank on at least one of these offenses not doing much, think Fres gets an hour or so of practice w the starters and then try out a few new faces couple score lead and its more/less time to melt that clock and get outta there not wait around for some rain delay just put the work in and get everyone back home healthy for the big game next week ... only thing I could see is if this backup QB is likely to be starting next week then maybe the starters gotta practice longer but idk can also just do that at home all next week vs better competition..
Playing fairly small at the moment waiting for either 7 to show up or just play best odds at this number but meh for the record I'll post it now .. had my eye on this game as just a horrific spot or G.State, they maybe get the extra prep time from early game LW but also just off coastal and trip to west point sandwiched between in state rivalry w G.Southern and none of that triple option training is gunna help in any way next week like it might have used to .. Army 1-2 were competitive w UTSA and Coastal putting up pretty decent points in both and great lead in for this game w FCS Nova 2 weeks ago big win and now off a bye .. I can see how maybe G-State views this as a 'must win' but been a few games w that over their heads now and I mean if there was one game on the schedule you'd just tend to address last it seems like this would be this one.. Army at 1-2 is not where they wanted to be either and obvi gunna be a big effort here w likely loss on deck ..
Coastal found mismatches passing vs G-State last game that wheel route to the RB turned in multiple long TDs w slow LB trying to keep up .. also ran all over them with couple of their best RB's out all year and then add Reece to that list last game, didn't matter at all .. G-State D just really not good in space and McCall just pure magic w his option reads, Cadets are obvi masters of the pitch too .. could see G-ST maybe getting Army jammed up in the line the run D is not horrible but FB dive w Buchannan is their bread n butter play and when that's successful it just opens the rest of the offense way up .. Army D hasn't been great this year but have a few of their best DL's back and their D caused G-State many probs in the opener last year pressure from everywhere and they had at least 2 backup OL's starting last week and couldn't put drives together most of the game and caved to pressure up front just an ugly outting .. no idea if OL's are back but man great week to not get anyone else injured huh? .. also tough to imagin they show up with a great game plan this feels like a decent HFA for the cadets, and good spot to also prep for Wake where they'll no doubt use every play in the playbook to keep up again..
Like I said, smaller pick for now .. Was thinking over here too or Army TT but never know if weather could be impactful could just get nasty .. I would say if G-State is out of position or has any trouble tackling I could easily see cadets make some fairly quick house calls .. looking at Army H1 if anything if they're way ahead maybe keep rompin but could def see this be a game where G-State is happy to head for the exits quickly if they don't find some success early on .. Good luck!
Playing fairly small at the moment waiting for either 7 to show up or just play best odds at this number but meh for the record I'll post it now .. had my eye on this game as just a horrific spot or G.State, they maybe get the extra prep time from early game LW but also just off coastal and trip to west point sandwiched between in state rivalry w G.Southern and none of that triple option training is gunna help in any way next week like it might have used to .. Army 1-2 were competitive w UTSA and Coastal putting up pretty decent points in both and great lead in for this game w FCS Nova 2 weeks ago big win and now off a bye .. I can see how maybe G-State views this as a 'must win' but been a few games w that over their heads now and I mean if there was one game on the schedule you'd just tend to address last it seems like this would be this one.. Army at 1-2 is not where they wanted to be either and obvi gunna be a big effort here w likely loss on deck ..
Coastal found mismatches passing vs G-State last game that wheel route to the RB turned in multiple long TDs w slow LB trying to keep up .. also ran all over them with couple of their best RB's out all year and then add Reece to that list last game, didn't matter at all .. G-State D just really not good in space and McCall just pure magic w his option reads, Cadets are obvi masters of the pitch too .. could see G-ST maybe getting Army jammed up in the line the run D is not horrible but FB dive w Buchannan is their bread n butter play and when that's successful it just opens the rest of the offense way up .. Army D hasn't been great this year but have a few of their best DL's back and their D caused G-State many probs in the opener last year pressure from everywhere and they had at least 2 backup OL's starting last week and couldn't put drives together most of the game and caved to pressure up front just an ugly outting .. no idea if OL's are back but man great week to not get anyone else injured huh? .. also tough to imagin they show up with a great game plan this feels like a decent HFA for the cadets, and good spot to also prep for Wake where they'll no doubt use every play in the playbook to keep up again..
Like I said, smaller pick for now .. Was thinking over here too or Army TT but never know if weather could be impactful could just get nasty .. I would say if G-State is out of position or has any trouble tackling I could easily see cadets make some fairly quick house calls .. looking at Army H1 if anything if they're way ahead maybe keep rompin but could def see this be a game where G-State is happy to head for the exits quickly if they don't find some success early on .. Good luck!
Good morning Bridge, got a money management question for ya. How do you split your wagers for smaller vs Bridge Plays? 1% vs 3% ? Just curious. Thanks as always for all the great info man. GL today
Good morning Bridge, got a money management question for ya. How do you split your wagers for smaller vs Bridge Plays? 1% vs 3% ? Just curious. Thanks as always for all the great info man. GL today
Think generally you could call my minimum smaller plays .3 units and min BP is 1 unit .. Not following Kelly doing %'s off my total bankroll I really don't know the exact number I'd be willing to lose before hanging it up for the season yet .. the good news is that's not because I'm still exploring how far that abyss goes lol its because thankfully haven't had to think much about it, at least since I started betting amounts I might have to .. maybe one day but hopefully never lol ..
Think we could put smaller/BP into terms of how much I tend to have out every week just on straight wagers sides, totals, TT's, etc.... that obvi varies but generally say the absolute min smaller is prob 1% and that's like a GOY .. think we can say avg smaller I'd post about is 1.5-2% of weekly wagers and min BP is about 3.33% .. not sure what the max I'd go is but maybe fair to say BP's can go from 3.3-7% with very few going higher .. Smaller plays can easily end above the min I'd post as a BP too, sometimes just want to post it early and better line shows up or just like the game more as I'm going thru the week... and then never usually post any updates or track units etc .. nightmare .. try to make it easy for everyone BP/Smaller should make sense to anyone reading it easy for record keeping .. don't even track fun bets those are prob 0.3% a play maybe, can loose all and not notice ..
Can't say if this is consistent every week but think I'd say 60-70% of my full weekly card wagers are posted here .. plenty of stuff that's too small to post I usually regret betting on anyway lol .. also some the line moves so quick I don't bother posting it .. like happy to tell everyone I got AZ -10.5 in the FD look ahead line but was 17.5 like one min after I played it .. UGA -26.5 was 28 I think a min later just totally un-gettable for anyone .. maybe coulda posted UGA idk but try to post reasonably gettable stuff .. also have a few things I'm tailing and would never just tail anyone and post it here like its my play.. win or lose want to keep my record pure Bridge lol .. hope that helps sorta ..
Think generally you could call my minimum smaller plays .3 units and min BP is 1 unit .. Not following Kelly doing %'s off my total bankroll I really don't know the exact number I'd be willing to lose before hanging it up for the season yet .. the good news is that's not because I'm still exploring how far that abyss goes lol its because thankfully haven't had to think much about it, at least since I started betting amounts I might have to .. maybe one day but hopefully never lol ..
Think we could put smaller/BP into terms of how much I tend to have out every week just on straight wagers sides, totals, TT's, etc.... that obvi varies but generally say the absolute min smaller is prob 1% and that's like a GOY .. think we can say avg smaller I'd post about is 1.5-2% of weekly wagers and min BP is about 3.33% .. not sure what the max I'd go is but maybe fair to say BP's can go from 3.3-7% with very few going higher .. Smaller plays can easily end above the min I'd post as a BP too, sometimes just want to post it early and better line shows up or just like the game more as I'm going thru the week... and then never usually post any updates or track units etc .. nightmare .. try to make it easy for everyone BP/Smaller should make sense to anyone reading it easy for record keeping .. don't even track fun bets those are prob 0.3% a play maybe, can loose all and not notice ..
Can't say if this is consistent every week but think I'd say 60-70% of my full weekly card wagers are posted here .. plenty of stuff that's too small to post I usually regret betting on anyway lol .. also some the line moves so quick I don't bother posting it .. like happy to tell everyone I got AZ -10.5 in the FD look ahead line but was 17.5 like one min after I played it .. UGA -26.5 was 28 I think a min later just totally un-gettable for anyone .. maybe coulda posted UGA idk but try to post reasonably gettable stuff .. also have a few things I'm tailing and would never just tail anyone and post it here like its my play.. win or lose want to keep my record pure Bridge lol .. hope that helps sorta ..
Having fun today with the pointsbetting feature over at Points Bet, we'll see how it goes .. basically every point above / below is worth X whatever we're wagering, think the limit is 20 points for what we're doing today .. ugh no need for a new catagory let's just call it smaller for each and be good w that huh?..
SMALLER
ARMY TT H1 OVER 17
ARMY TT OVER 32
Looks like the actual rain weather is clearing up and I can't say that it won't affect Army here but wet field option team vs team that just got burned every which way by an option team last week and 500 yds last few games .. also this spot for G-State looks like nothing but trouble too, that's the main consideration along w Army being at home and loving to pile it on for their fellow Cadets if they can ..
Michie is Field Turf and sounds like water will drain quick but wet turf can apparently be more slippery than grass, no idea just read that somewhere I thought grass was usually a killer but idk .. the point is G-State slips out of position, safety off balance those can be quick house calls .. I would also count on Army coaches to maybe have at least skimmed thru Sun Tsu once before and maybe have considered in all their precision game planning how to best use their own terrain conditions to their advantage ..
Also like the idea of maybe seeing Cadets try a few passing plays here in anticipation of next week's matchup w Wake .. they threw 10/13 vs Wake LY for 179 and 3 TD's so definitely an arrow you'd want to be very straight in that matchup .. Army did get some passing reps in vs UTSA week 2, Cade Ballard was great hitting 11/15 for 220 and a TD and did the usual couple passes vs Nova 2 weeks ago .. can't say if Army already comfortable w the passing but Cade was not the passing QB LY and prob good to let him try a few att's this game .. LY we see Wisco was the game previous to Wake and while they did go 5/6 passing think much of that was in the very very latter stages and not a great comparable because it was such a clock grinding slug fest game .. game before that was @Ball State and while the final score wasn't great we can tell they were gearing up throwing 15 passes in that one .. when service academies can effectively pass the ball its a wonderful sight .. good luck!
Having fun today with the pointsbetting feature over at Points Bet, we'll see how it goes .. basically every point above / below is worth X whatever we're wagering, think the limit is 20 points for what we're doing today .. ugh no need for a new catagory let's just call it smaller for each and be good w that huh?..
SMALLER
ARMY TT H1 OVER 17
ARMY TT OVER 32
Looks like the actual rain weather is clearing up and I can't say that it won't affect Army here but wet field option team vs team that just got burned every which way by an option team last week and 500 yds last few games .. also this spot for G-State looks like nothing but trouble too, that's the main consideration along w Army being at home and loving to pile it on for their fellow Cadets if they can ..
Michie is Field Turf and sounds like water will drain quick but wet turf can apparently be more slippery than grass, no idea just read that somewhere I thought grass was usually a killer but idk .. the point is G-State slips out of position, safety off balance those can be quick house calls .. I would also count on Army coaches to maybe have at least skimmed thru Sun Tsu once before and maybe have considered in all their precision game planning how to best use their own terrain conditions to their advantage ..
Also like the idea of maybe seeing Cadets try a few passing plays here in anticipation of next week's matchup w Wake .. they threw 10/13 vs Wake LY for 179 and 3 TD's so definitely an arrow you'd want to be very straight in that matchup .. Army did get some passing reps in vs UTSA week 2, Cade Ballard was great hitting 11/15 for 220 and a TD and did the usual couple passes vs Nova 2 weeks ago .. can't say if Army already comfortable w the passing but Cade was not the passing QB LY and prob good to let him try a few att's this game .. LY we see Wisco was the game previous to Wake and while they did go 5/6 passing think much of that was in the very very latter stages and not a great comparable because it was such a clock grinding slug fest game .. game before that was @Ball State and while the final score wasn't great we can tell they were gearing up throwing 15 passes in that one .. when service academies can effectively pass the ball its a wonderful sight .. good luck!
SMU +3.5 RICE +10 SO.BAMA -5 MISS STATE -1.5 WEST VIRGINIA +10 CAL +4.5 - BUMPP'D ..
SMALLER
ARMY -7.5 WAKE +4.5 OLE MISS -5.5 MICHIGAN -10.5 MARYLAND +3.5 TEXAS STATE +22 GA SOUTHERN +10.5 BOWLING GREEN -6.5 NC STATE +10.5 (GOY) NORTHWESTERN +26.5 LIBERTY / ODU UNDER 47.5 ARMY TT H1 OVER 17 - fire points ARMY TT OVER 32 - fire points
SMU +3.5 RICE +10 SO.BAMA -5 MISS STATE -1.5 WEST VIRGINIA +10 CAL +4.5 - BUMPP'D ..
SMALLER
ARMY -7.5 WAKE +4.5 OLE MISS -5.5 MICHIGAN -10.5 MARYLAND +3.5 TEXAS STATE +22 GA SOUTHERN +10.5 BOWLING GREEN -6.5 NC STATE +10.5 (GOY) NORTHWESTERN +26.5 LIBERTY / ODU UNDER 47.5 ARMY TT H1 OVER 17 - fire points ARMY TT OVER 32 - fire points
CAL +4.5 - BRIDGE PLAY BUUUUUMP!!! .. note: Don't often go back and bump the plays but really did put considerably more on these guys, like the team and for an away game like this spot and the coaching ATS trend getting points on the road .. 4.5 was available this AM and prob find it somewhere now idk but mostly 4's I think .. But I think we prob see it again before kickoff wazzoo was impressive last week and a fun action packed team so think folks put money on them pre-kick and should see the line again if really nowhere now .. but yeah like this line basically make Wazzoo play for a TD at the 4.5 spot but 4 is a pretty good line too .. really do like Cal and think they can walk out w a W if Coogs dick around, that FR RB Ott is really legit and Plummer can get the ball on the spot and have quite a few other guys to like at WR ..
CAL +4.5 - BRIDGE PLAY BUUUUUMP!!! .. note: Don't often go back and bump the plays but really did put considerably more on these guys, like the team and for an away game like this spot and the coaching ATS trend getting points on the road .. 4.5 was available this AM and prob find it somewhere now idk but mostly 4's I think .. But I think we prob see it again before kickoff wazzoo was impressive last week and a fun action packed team so think folks put money on them pre-kick and should see the line again if really nowhere now .. but yeah like this line basically make Wazzoo play for a TD at the 4.5 spot but 4 is a pretty good line too .. really do like Cal and think they can walk out w a W if Coogs dick around, that FR RB Ott is really legit and Plummer can get the ball on the spot and have quite a few other guys to like at WR ..
Agggh Army what happened think they switched uniforms .. Ga-State looking exactly like I thought Army would look .. woof .. wow .. onto my next trick .. sheesh!!!
RR UDML
KU, ULM, TROY, CAL, CMU .. ~200-1
Have a couple parlays running with alot from those teams and mixed in a bit with RICE, NC.ST, WV as a big kicker .. Think any team off the main UDML who plays a good game today can pull a W without many big mistakes from their opponents .. we'll see on Kansas i do wonder if they might struggle vs the Clones but really have to take them as a home dog .. ROCK SHOCK!! .. think Rice and NC.State can't afford many mistakes and maybe need to be +1 TO's .. think WV could maybe just hang around in a shootout and give themselves a shot if the offense doesn't stumble, can't expect their D to do too much but if they play a good game that would be extra helpful lol .. we'll see .. good luck!
Agggh Army what happened think they switched uniforms .. Ga-State looking exactly like I thought Army would look .. woof .. wow .. onto my next trick .. sheesh!!!
RR UDML
KU, ULM, TROY, CAL, CMU .. ~200-1
Have a couple parlays running with alot from those teams and mixed in a bit with RICE, NC.ST, WV as a big kicker .. Think any team off the main UDML who plays a good game today can pull a W without many big mistakes from their opponents .. we'll see on Kansas i do wonder if they might struggle vs the Clones but really have to take them as a home dog .. ROCK SHOCK!! .. think Rice and NC.State can't afford many mistakes and maybe need to be +1 TO's .. think WV could maybe just hang around in a shootout and give themselves a shot if the offense doesn't stumble, can't expect their D to do too much but if they play a good game that would be extra helpful lol .. we'll see .. good luck!
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.