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Quote Originally Posted by The_Land17:
Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty: Better off taking Vandy ML vs LSU because if they lose that they are not winning SEC why would I take that when I think Vandy is winning and then the odds will change.
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The_Land17 | 7 |
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We are talking tennessee here. They have been auto fade for a year and a half. |
van1976 | 9 |
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Wizerguy | 12 |
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Wizerguy | 12 |
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replied to
Should the onside kick be a bit more simplified or do you believe an under 6% achievable rate suffice?
in NFL Betting @7272 |
justliketoplay | 7 |
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@undermysac Leaning?
You know a lot more about football than that!
Its Maye, by far |
undermysac | 47 |
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over 49.5 |
TJZags598 | 1 |
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Death, Taxes, and Josh Allen choking on Prime Time are the new constants in life
in NFL Betting @River_fish Wish i had that level of choke on my team. |
Way2Good | 13 |
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replied to
Death, Taxes, and Josh Allen choking on Prime Time are the new constants in life
in NFL Betting Josh Allen is 21-8 in prime time games career. |
Way2Good | 13 |
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TULSA +16.5 - ECU is a good team, but they are off a tough road loss at Tulane and Tulsa coming off extended rest after getting boatraced at Memphis. This is just a lot of points.
This is by far the best Defense Tulsa has faced all year; Tulsa Offense is closer to Coastal Carolina to anyone on East Carolinas schedule, who E Carolina beat 38-0 on road.
East Carolina will be ready to play, i see a score of:31-7 |
Yanasaur | 43 |
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@JimmyGape Great context & writeup. Let me offer an alternate perspective:
Relative performance.
Bills score .53 Points Per Play against defenses that give up.48 Points Per Play for a Relative Performance of 104.5% Falcons: .32 PPP versus a schedule of .38 PPP for a Relative Performance of 84.8%
Bills D: .356 versus a schedule of .402 for a RP of 97.9% Faalcons D: .47 versus .43 105.7%
So, Bills have been outperforming their opponents compared to Atlanta
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JimmyGape | 58 |
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NIL & the transfer portal is the problem with college football |
JJWoods | 5 |
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Jaguars are really banged up on the Ol as well....might be without 4 of them + Strange |
Ctownkb55 | 13 |
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@LB_Dirtbags Crwv is $400 2 years out. |
LB_Dirtbags | 13 |
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@getcarter Not at all! this is a football discussion board. Constructive discussion is the whole point of creating threads! I don't discount anything you have said; they are all legitimate points, that everyone needs to consider when taking a side. it will make me review all your points to consider if my side is right. I appreciate the feedback. I wish for a solid game, with no antics, and may the better side Sunday win.
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TJZags598 | 32 |
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@RUM151 Great angle, thanks |
RUM151 | 29 |
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@Oviewan "Besides why do analysis? Vegas all ready did it for you it's called a point spread.....duh."
You are right. and every football game lands right on that spread. Amazing the accuracy.
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TJZags598 | 32 |
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@brn2loslive2win LOL. Some people think that pro's just "know" football. casinos-" the book"-uses owns more data than anyone else, probably more than everyone combined, but gamblers shouldn't use it. |
TJZags598 | 32 |
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@Oviewan Data is the outcome of performance. How else do you compare?
As for "making the right play" I find myself on the right side a lot more than the wrong side. But hey, you be you!
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TJZags598 | 32 |
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@Oviewan On special Team Cleveland has a net 36 Yard punting average, which ranks 26 Cleveland is last in Field goal kicking.
Cleveland defense starting point is 23 in the NFL Pittsburgh is #7
All just data. Data give you "Potential" now you need to factor in things like spot, coaching, injuries, and SOS, all which i like in Pittsburgh's favor.
But, the football doesn't not bounce straight.
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TJZags598 | 32 |
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