TJZags598

Daboll couldn't manage Gano. let alone Dart.

This is what happens when you play not to lose

Since 2014, current AFC head coaches with a Superbowl ring:

Andy Reid.

That's it; that's the list.

The Giants had better not fire this guy.

He is an ATM machine betting live (against). 

He is the gift that keeps giving.

These posts always amaze me.

The OP is smart enough to have a winning round robin, but cant figure out how to hedge?

I call BS

@TJZags598

 The packers were -1000 at my book. That gave them, according to the book, a 90.91% implicit break even Point. That is, in order for you, the gambler to break even, GB needed to win 90.7% of the time. to break even. Here is the math on $100 in bets:

Win 90.91% x 100= +9091

Lose 9.09% X -1000=-9090

Net=1

I calculated that Carolina had a 25% chance to win the game yesterday. They were 4-4 entering the game, and  not facing any major injuries to skew odds. I do detailed projections on probabilities, much like an Ai model.

Based on 25% chance to win, the money line should have been -300 on Green Bay. as follows:

Win 75% X100=+7500

Lose 25% x 300=-7500

Net=0

My book was offering Carolina +650. The Money line on Green Bay, SHOULD have been -300. You had to pay -1000. That a huge vig for the book. You had to pay up WAY too much to take Green Bay. As Titus said, the book is inflation the large ML favs to make you pay up.

It was a no brainer to take Carolina at +650, as i was getting TWO times the odds i should have to take them. The bet was too my advantage. This was just 1 piece of the 4 leg parley the OP presented. The parley, you are drastically OVER paying on odds for little return, and a recipe for long term failure.

ML parley only work to your advantage when you do your own calculations on odds, and look for an advantage, and the lowest multiple, or + money.. I have Carolina as a huge advantage to the offered odds. My projections had Green Bay winning by 6, which was lower that a TD, which meant you were over-paying by 8 points. The book cant fluff the money lines on pickem games too much because sharps will take advantage; when you get to bigger spreads, where sharps stay away from, the house loves to up the vig to enormous odds; make you "pay up" to take the perceived huge favorite.

This should be the post of the year.

Everything in this post is why most people dont win at gambling; they dont understand the odds, and the advantage that the house makes you pay up for huge ML favs.

I will look @ 1 game only, and while i cant explain it any better than Titus did, I will explain why i was on Carolina yesterday.

@JJWoods

@WedgieHunters

 @JJWoods

Why you guys hijacking a respected cappers  stream. Take your girl fight to a separate post

A team couldn't possibly play this bad if had tried.

The defense was non-existent after each TO.

No one could possibly say this was fixed

@Enfuego9

@brn2loslive2win

 Well, Sirianni has a career record of 53-22 71%. That makes him pretty good.

Only coaches with a better career winning %: Lombardi, Allen & Madden. Pretty good company.

The Philadelphia fan base wants everyone fired every year, lol.

P.S. no one comes close to Daboll. and he acts like a child on the sidelines, as well. But he does know how to develop QB's He worked with Hurts in Alabama.

Giants in bad spot; 3rd Rd game in past 4. NY to Denver, back to Phil, a big ask from any team.

Giants are a lot more competitive this year, but given their talent, especially of Defensive side of the ball, its expected.

Daboll is the worst in-game coach in the NFL, going against a Top 3 coach. ??

@ActionMagnet

 Will San Fran break 100 yards are those 40 carries?

They average 3.3 Y/C, now playing the # 6 ranked rush d

@games1

@games1

 Awesome record! better to sit out if you don't have a feel for the game! smart move

@games1

 Why would the line move? The line was based on this knowledge already.

You late to the game?

@brn2loslive2win

 Context is everything.

Denver just had the longest road trip ever to play an NFL game. Most teams take off the week after Europe games; Denver chose not to. they are the first Mountain or Pacific time zone team to not take a bye.

Now, that being said, I think the Giants are a lot better than most have them credit for. Their biggest downfall is Brian Daboll. NO ONE makes poorer in game coaching decisions than Daboll. His poor coaching hit Epic proportions yesterday. Play calling was ABYSMAL. Dart is the real deal. Didn't he learn from the Dallas game? Hasn't he been burned by Gano enough already? Gano has cost him 6 games already.

They should have fired Daboll, and signed Vrabel. This team would be in first right now.

@Mskeets

 I had Giants .

Broncos were the only west coast team ever to play in Europe, and not take the bye week after.  That's a 10 hour flight.

Athletes are human being too; they face jet lag and fatigue just like the rest of us

We are talking tennessee here. They have been auto fade for a year and a half.