slamspurs

I think some of us older folk are still stuck in the past with the prototypical white, pocket passing QB such as Drake Maye. I think he's very good, especially with the weapons they've given him the two seasons. 

Will pass on Caleb. Read the article about last season. Maybe he's a completely changed man, but an attitude like that is hard to shake. 

We've seen how bad Baltimore is without Lamar. 

Would take Daniels by a hair if healthy, but I think it's even with him and Drake when you factor in health concerns. Daniels is not a big guy, and he may run into injury issues in his career. Daniels is also a more exciting player to watch.

Caleb third by a mile. 

This also goes into the Patriots bias for this season. Other than beating Buffalo, they haven't played anyone this season. Wins over Miami (barely), Carolina, and Saints otherwise. 

As you can see, they could have scored whenever they wanted. Jordan Love has finger and foot injuries. They wanna keep him protected. Won't take much to win this game. 

Holy crap they got a first down. 11 yards. Only took til the 2 min warning of the first half 

Think the under live is a better play. Still getting value and extra pts on that compared to the game line. 

It’s because Seattle has won 8 road games in a row. And people who took KC on Monday are hating on Jacksonville for getting lucky and the trip fall TD. 

No, the easiest bet in board is the UNDER. 

If you take Denver you’re going to have to sweat out a backdoor, but it likely will not come. 

Don’t start. And if you do, NFL is the hardest of the main sports to win at. Because everyone bets it they have mix it up on you. 

Baseball is actually the best sport to bet. Even the best team in the league will win no more than 60% of the time. 

I believe it was Bovada/Bodog at the time. 4 team, 13 point teaser at -120 odds, no restrictions on totals. 

Another reason to love Peyton Manning at the time. I think he only lost outright like once when Colts were -13 or so. 

Looks like they're -140 now on Bovada. And -150 on Bet Online. 

I used to love 13 point teasers as well. The problem was that they were so favorable that the books started raising the juice on them. I was paying -120. Then I saw books raise to -130 and -140. And some books made it a rule that you could only tease 2 totals. I loved teasing totals to like over 24.5.

Figures though. When I was playing teasers, I think I saw the only time ever where there was 0 points scored in the second half. It wasn't snowing or anything either. 

I don't play teasers at all anymore. In fact, I actually try to put together teasers sometimes to see which game will bust them. 

GL Claw. I like Green Bay as well giving a good amount of points on the road and coming off a loss.

I really hesitate with KC though. Fading Baltimore off a SU loss seems like a bad idea. Ravens have only lost 2 in a row twice in the past 3 seasons, and one of those times was with Huntley at QB. 

A lot of people were calling for Chiefs regression this season. Maybe it's just Taylor Swift hate, but it's been happening. Yet people are still excited to grab them as a +125 at home. 

Only reason I see is that KC needs the game more in that division. Baltimore plays with Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and a Bengals team that will be missing Burrow for like 12 more games. So they could get into the hole 1-3 and still win the division. KC is cooked with a loss. 

I feel like there's a ton of live dogs this week, and it's very difficult for me to pick between them. 

The Green Bay line is because they’re playing in Dallas. If they were playing in Green Bay the line would be at least -10.5.

Does that sound any better?

Had Valkyries as well.

It's sad that GSV had to play absolutely lights out, especially from 3, and that Minn had to play terribly for GSV to even be up 14.

I was like I have +24.5 for the quarter, but WNBA is nuts I have a screenshot of a 21-2 quarter where I had the team with 2. 

11-0 I started getting a little queasy. 

Was leaning Charlotte as well, but disagree that a line movement that big "suggests value on the underdog." It actually suggests value on Rice, who you are giving 5 pts less with compared to the opening line. 

Honestly, I think Lynx -10.5 is still live. Seriously, I think it's a given that the Lynx are going to win at this point. Only down 5 with 7 mins left. 

This is the same Valkyries team that blew an 8 point lead with 3:30 and lost by 9. And because it's the last game of the season, the Valkyries will foul til the end. 

WNBA works in funny ways. 

Preseason was all underdogs and overs. If you did that you’d be getting killed in the regular season.

Thanks for the Ram notes. i forgot that they haven’t played anyone yet. While Philly is pretty battle tested having played KC already and Dallas the week before. 

I don’t really buy the lookahead for the Ravens. 

If the Ravens view the Chiefs like most of the public, it’s a team on the downfall. Injured, suspended, old. 0-2 and very beatable. Not a marquee win, but a game they should win.

Beating the Chiefs isn’t a signature win anymore.

Geno 

WOW 3 chances to backdoor! CAN U DO SOMETHING FOR ONCE IN UR LIFE?!

And here it is. You got 4 mins Geno. NO FIELD GOALS

Damnit GENO ANYTHING BUT THAT!

I have a feeling he'll get another chance though. Harbaugh will play conservative. The backdoor will be open one more time, but need a TD and a 2.