NutinButtLove

@DopeBoy95s

I just wish you could explain why you post every time with this total over the top, cannot lose, im the man, i leave no stone unturned, puffing my chest out BS, and yet you lose WAY more often than not when you do this, yet you never chill out and humble yourself and start thinking, 'Hmmm, maybe I'm not actually some all knowing expert.'

I think you got one 9er game right the last 3 seasons lmao. 

You post like the most annoying coke up A-hole at every bar/party.

Oh it was bad luck? So what? You lost. The Texans kicking the crap out of the 9ers qas bad luck too I guess.

Another overly confident blowhard JG pick with the usual result. Absolute comedy

This won't be a blowout either way bro

When are you going to realize you cannot cap 9er games at all? Homerism clouds your judgement. I don't get how you're always so overconfident when you're wrong so many times

Oklahoma -5.5

Sooners are very tough at home and I think the comeback loss to UGA will haunt the Rebels as they go on the road again while Oklahoma comes back off a 2 game trip.

D2 transfer Trinidad Chambliss looked great until the 4th quarter where he went 1 for 10 in that loss and now has to face a defense with the highest sack percentage in the nation that allows the 5th least yards per attempt.

Once a hot backup hits the wall it can be tough to regain the winning thread. Also Ole Miss gave up 510 yards to UGA. The QB was the leading rusher. That kinda stuff is not sustainable and unlike last week I don't expect them to lead at the half as they lost a lot of momentum with that 4th quarter collapse.

Oklahoma also has revenge from a loss to Ole Miss last year when Dart was playing. This kid has looked good but he's not as good as Dart was and after facing a physical Bulldogs team the last thing you want is to face the best pass rush in the nation.

Have you also been writing like a schizophrenic on LSD for those 25 years or is that a new thing?

I know right. You will be hard pressed to find any winners with reasoning or not posted by OP so it's odd that he is talking all this mess.

Just stop doing props man every prop bettor I know is a loser and the reason they do props so much is they're not cappers at all they're just fantasy football dorks who migrated into betting once it became legal 

Just doing durrr... It's gonna be favorites today is a stupid way to cap. Some weeks are like that some aren't you can only know in hindsight. I do feel like dogs cover more early in the season. But the time to really focus on betting the best teams is often the last month of the season when they're locking up divisions and seeds while the bad teams are usually ones that are injured and have nothing to play for but pride.

@winddust

Indiana was the biggest sucker bet of the week last week. Every website and TV show was talking about how great they are after they beat Oregon. If you want to stop being a square you have to take note of that and realize when a line is inflated. Also it is very profitable to bet against teams off huge upset wins like that you don't play on them the next week esp when they're big favorites.

They'll probably cover this week.

I get wanting to use the Bengals because you want to use the sucky teams when they play an even suckier team but I wouldn't take the risk of one team tanking more than one entry.

I'd use the Bengals for one, Ravens for one, and Eagles for one.

Ravens are off a bye and Lamar coming back plus their record, I expect a very good effort. Only the best teams like SB contenders go on really long win streaks past 4 games and the Bears arent there yet even though I think they have potential. Baltimore tough place for young QBs to go into and win, plus it's an AFC opponent, not as big a priority while Ravens really need a win from anywhere. They beat 4 bad teams, maybe Washington isn't bad but that was a big revenge game and they only won because Was gifted them 3 turnovers including one in the red zone when they were looking likely to score.

The Eagles I don't think will lose to the Giants twice in 3 weeks. Last time was on the road off short rest after playing the physical Broncos. And who did the Giants just play? Plus the way they blew that game has to be deflating especially for a young team and especially because there's blame to go all around the coach the defense the kicker who they cut and now have to replace. Idc is Brown isn't playing Smith is having a great year and Saquon isn't but he's unlikely to have another bad game vs his former team. They come home after back to back road games and got back on track last week.

Definitely wouldn't use Denver I think a letdown is a huge possibility off that crazy comeback plus they really struggled on offense for 7 of the last 8 quarters. The Jets should have beat them. And the defense got burned for big plays last week and the week before, they were lucky the Jets couldn't score in the red zone. I think they're good but this isn't a great spot the Cowboys defense sucks but the offense is humming top in yards and again, NFC opponent not a priority for Denver. i always like to fade teams off huge comebacks next game.

I love when Jimmy is on the opposite side of me all super confident and blowhardy.

Speaking of no stone unturned have you guys been living under a rock? This is what he does. He goes overboard on every pick being an absolute lock and the more he does that the bigger it blows up in his face. The best is his posts on his hometown 9ers. Like most homers he has very little success predicting their ATS wins and losses.

I don't know why everyone is surprised at Minny's defense sucking. Like i said they gave up 7.4 yards per play to Philly's stagnant offense while the Chargers gave up less to basically the best offense in the NFL right now the Colts.

And on top of that backing Carson Wentz over Herbert. Not to mention Vikings have Detroit on deck. They decided to take a bye week, it was an AFC opponent after all.

Hit the side and both QBs threw a pick 

Yeah like you're really gonna figure out who took a dive by going back over all your stupid parlays and props. You're pointing the finger at the wrong person. You want to feel better about yourself for sucking and say it is all due to guys who 'sold.' (fkin hate the noobs who say this every time they lose)

Ever notice what bets are most frequently advertised? Yep, props and parlays. Why do you think that might be?

Just know if those are what you bet on, you are a bookmakers WET FKIN DREAM.

Never met a prop and parlay guy who wasn't a huge loser long term but they're all delusional. They not only do each, they parlay their props. You're gonna die broke doing that bro.

Ordell Robbie would probably be a prop bettor who would claim fix every time he lost. Max Cherry would be a moneyline dog type of guy who would take all wins and losses in stride with a minimum of expressed emotion.

I agree the Chargers have a lot of issues but I think you're (as usual) going overboard here, on how great Minnesota defense is. They played Cleveland and Cincinnati for starters.

If their defense is so elite and the Chargers so bad why did the Vikings just give up 7.4 yards per play to the 24th ranked ypp offense while the Chargers just gave up 6.9 to the 2nd ranked offense?

That's an unturned stone in my book. But I admit I will probably regret picking LA I always do and told everyone not to bet them last week.

I don't understand how they manage to have half their offense injured half the year every single fkin year. Usually it's the WRs now it's the RBs and OL.

Despite the bad OL situation for LA Minnesota has given up more sacks than they have. Only Jets and Titans gave up more. Vikings have a few more gotten on defense but not a ton more.

I do think both QB will struggle and Wentz has an advantage with his guys being better at bailing him out and with LA being decimated at RB how do you slow down the blitzing Vikings if you can't run can't screen and the 2 guys they elevated from the practice squad aren't good blitz protectors.

I dunno why i don't just take the Under. Gonna be a lot of sacks. Chargers suck in the red zone and the Vikings offense is pretty predictable force it to JJ all the time. Wentz will hold the ball and get sacked a few times too.

Were they flat or are they just not as good as the top scoring offense in the NFL (and 2nd in yardage)? Though a lot of teams do be flat the week before a Thursday game it's usually only if the TNF is in the division that they really look ahead.

But yeah it's basically going to be which team sucks less. I wish they never even brought in TNF the matchups are almost always ones I would skip right over for betting purposes if they were on Sunday's card.

It will be all about red zone. If the Chargers stop being absolute ass down there they will win. So if you see them actually get TDs instead of FGs in the first half they're probably the right side. If not, they're gonna lose again.

0-7 or 7-0 on certain nights or primetime, i don't care at all about that, it is the most overrated stats to cap off. Usually as soon as everyone knows about that stat then the pendulum swings the other way. That's why I don't watch any espn or broadcast shows any more i look up my own stuff because those trends are just cheese for noob bettors. I remember Kirk Cousins had this horrible primetime record he was 0-9 and everyone on here was saying he would lose 10 in a row then i think he won the next 3 MNF games he played in.

I am a little wary that I'm picking the Chargers based on Wentz last game, he could bounce back tonight maybe he wants to vanquish the memory of tearing his ACL there vs the Rams.

But the last thing he probably wants to see is Khalil Mack being activated off IR which is what he's getting.

I just hate the guy I never liked him in Philly he was known to be an arrogant pr*ck plus he hunts animals for sport. Holds the ball too long and makes And he's ginger.

Im also going to take a separate prop on each QB to throw a pick, they each usually do. Vikings haven't forced any type of takeaway in 3 games. And whichever one cashes I'll probably live bet the team that gets it. In 3 of 4 of LAC's wins they had zero INTs thrown they barely scraped by the Broncos by 3 when he did have one.

I think that amazing comeback pretty much iced it that they're going to not only make the playoffs but make some serious noise in it, barring major injuries. Nix is a tough guy.

I took them to win the division at the start of the year so hopefully we both cash. Mine will be a tougher one to win but it was like 2/1 odds or something. I don't usually do any futures but i did them and unfortunately the Eagles who I'm not sure won't tank at some stage and really should have known better as nobody repeats in the NFC East it seems but I just thought the rest of the division stinks and never thought the run game would fall off a cliff like this 

He's also had amazing luck in LA...

like when the Rams folded him up like a lawn chair. After that he got to watch Nick Foles win the Super Bowl and he became a career backup forevermore after that.

Well, Minnesota is not Indianapolis. All the strengths the Colts have the Vikings do not share. They're 19th in rush TDs. Indy is 1st in 3rd quarter points scored, Minny merely 15th, Chargers are 4th. (I also place a lot of weight on 3rd quarter offense and defense). Colts allow the least sacks in the league. Only the Jets and Titans have allowed more than Minnesota. The Colts are 3rd in turnover margin per game. Minnesota is 26th. LA isn't much better at 22nd but basically what I'm saying is many people cap off last week's game - shortest route to the poor house many times.

Similar to how many people wanted to bet the Falcons again after their MNF win over Buffalo and lost, this is a situation where now many won't want to lay anything with the Chargers let alone the hook. It's not as good a situation as Atlanta with a bunch of young guys all high and feeling themselves flying out the west coast to play CMC and the top passing offense, because this Charger team is truly struggling, but it's still a decent 'step down in opposition' play based on stats.

Unfortunately with both teams being bad rrd zone offenses and good red zone defenses it will probably be another TNF clunker. If I was a total player I'd bet the Under but I'm a spread/side guy. Yeah it's a bit iffy laying more than a FG with a team that kicks so many and often when they do win it's off the leg of Dicker the kicker but Minnesota really doesn't scare me. Wentz was awful vs Philly and their wins are vs the Bengals, Browns and Chicago in week 1 before the Bears found their mojo.

Chargers -3.5 @ -105

Ah, three things I love to avoid. Thursday Night football (so many clunkers), laying a hook with a FG spread and just betting on the Chargers in general. I did try to warn multiple people off them vs the Colts last week because not only are the Colts for real, the Chargers are just always overrated, always injured and always underachievers come the season's end.

Their main issue this season is they are awful in the red zone, last in the NFL in TD% and only crawled out of last place because the Raiders didn't even get into the red zone last game.. neither did the Titans.. can't remember seeing that happen to one team let alone two in a week.

And a big part of that is they're missing their tackles and as a result are in a 3 way tie for least rushing TDs in the league with Cincinnati and Tennessee and haven't scored on the ground in 3 games. Indy, as I tried to warn some, has the most rush TDs in the NFL. It was not a good matchup.

I place huge value on red zone numbers so why would I pick LA then?