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F*cking hell what a horrendous bad beat. |
ThePizzaman0 | 12 |
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What a great first half for your get right game. Kudos. The Okie qb plays a bit like Josh Allen. Bama's qb looks like Darnold...lol |
ThePizzaman0 | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Quote Originally Posted by Educated_Idiot: @undermysac Their special teams are utter shit and people wave it off beyond the missed fg because that's all people think when you say special teams. The kick returner can't even field a kickoff reliably and runs like a video game npc into tackles, the punter holds the ball too long when he punts, then shanks it off some poor girl wearing a lanyard on the sidelines, they can't cover kicks, the long snapper airmails his snaps. It's the first team I've seen I wouldn't consider the sb favorite because of their special teams because otherwise they're fairly clearly the best team in a rock paper scissors type year Good post. Special teams are the most overlooked part of football. At the same time the amount of special teams snaps per game compared to offense and defense is miniscule. That's what makes special teams so hard to predict.
I agree. I also believe that line of scrimmage dominance (LOS) is probably the most important metric for successful ROI. This index includes NET rushing yards differential, NET qb pressures, NET short yardage success, NET sacks differential, NET redzone success. Let the elite studs have the headlines, the squares' their recency bias, and auto betting streaking ATS teams. Give me the trench warriors and regression candidates.............Happy Xmas ALL! |
undermysac | 14 |
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ChOmP | 16 |
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Net qb pressures, sacks, plays per drive ALL favor Bears. Money line is my bet. |
undermysac | 67 |
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@SPark1
@chicubs09 |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2025 and tA(qb pressures)>oA(qb pressures) and team=Packers and total<48.5 (1-7) losing to the spread by 4.9 pts In play week 16 |
jowchoo | 6 |
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STRONG SEATTLE query: season=2025 and tA(qb pressures)>oA(qb pressures) and team=Seahawks and line>-13 (10-1) beating the spread by 10.8 In play week 16 and 17 |
jowchoo | 6 |
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Adding: DET -.5 / SEA +5.....based on (drives/plays) query |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2025 and tA(drives / plays)>oA(drives / plays) and team=Browns week 16 and 17....(0-5) losing to the spread by 12.0 pts |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2025 and tA(drives / plays)>oA(drives / plays) and team=Seahawks and line>-13.5 week 16 and 17....(8-1) beating the spread by 9.8 |
jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2025 and tA(drives / plays)>oA(drives / plays) and team=Jets week 16 & 17....(1-7) ATS losing to the spread by 9.3 pts
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jowchoo | 6 |
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season=2025 and tA(drives)>oA(drives) and team=Raiders week 17...LV (0-7) ATS losing to the line bu a whopping 15.0 pts |
jowchoo | 6 |
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Biggest wagers this year. DET -.5 / BAL +4 DET -.5 / WAS +13 DET -.5 / TB +4 DET -.5 / TEN under 44.5 DET -.5 / NYG under 50
ALL teasers -120 |
jowchoo | 6 |
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recency bias=bookmaker's ally, squares bankroll destroyer. Has a place in every line put out by Vegas. |
undermysac | 31 |
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Anchors: 1. DALL under 61.5 2. SF -6 3. NYG +4 Satellites: 1. NYG under 54 2. NYJ under 48 3. LAR under 62 4. ARZ under 49 5. SEA under 49 6. BAL under 58 7. KC +1 8. DEN +4.5 9. CLE +14 10. TB +2 11. LV +18 12. NO +9 13. MIN +12 14. KC over 35 15. HOU over 36 16. NO over 34 17. BAL +4 18. CHI -1.5 19. DEV over 36.5 20. PIT under 49 21. CLE under 45.5 |
jowchoo | 5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
@theclaw I had penis reduction surgery as well, the recovery time isn't that long... Good Luck this weekend
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theclaw | 65 |
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ALL dogs,I like it...woof woof |
spottie2935 | 28 |
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21. CHI +13 22. HOU +9.5 23. DAL +10 |
jowchoo | 4 |
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19. CLEV +3 20. NYJ +9.5 |
jowchoo | 4 |
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