jowchoo

Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

sounds about right. the art of picking the dog is an unique skill to have.    @DogbiteWilliams  im suprised ats is 50.7%, last season must have dropped those percentages big time huh

Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:

Quote Originally Posted by garbagetime: @jowchoo   Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: covers sure is shit for posting these days almost not worth it. I'm sorry, though, although I really find your takes insightful, I can't read your queries and understand them well. There's a reason I lost the thread of maths once I got to pre-calculus. No problem. #9 translate into: When you opponent scored more than 42 points in their last game AND where you won (ats) your last game AND your opponent will be favored in their next game, AND your upcoming game is at home.In 2024 when these conditions were met the home favorite FAILED to cover all 5 times. The impressive trend is that the dogs covered by an average of 12.3 points Good Luck.

Quote Originally Posted by garbagetime:

@jowchoo   Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: covers sure is shit for posting these days almost not worth it. I'm sorry, though, although I really find your takes insightful, I can't read your queries and understand them well. There's a reason I lost the thread of maths once I got to pre-calculus.

Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:

4-7 STD....-7.55 units   Obviously not a great start....we'll give this one or two more weeks for things to turn around.   a)  A week 3 winless underdog since 2009 that is playing a 1 win team who will be an underdog their next game......31-13 ATS (+4.3), 21-23 straight up (-1.8)....ON Texans, Bears, Saints, Panthers (careful with Panthers as Falcons are right on the line of being a favorite or dog next game). t:wins=0 and t:losses=2 and line>0  and season>2009 and o:wins=1 and week=3   b)  A divisional home favorite of less than 7 points before week 8 that won their two previous games, both on the road....9-17-1 against the spread (-2.7), 16-11 SU, (+1.1), VERSUS 49ers p:AW and pp:AW and HF and line>-7 and DIV and week<8    c)  A week 3 away dog whose present opponent will be an underdog their next two games.....49-24-3 ATS (+4.6), 41-34 (+0.5)....ON Saints, Texans   d)  A week 3 away underdog who will be a favorite their next two games....58-33-1 (+5.0), 49-48-1 (+0.8)....ON Rams, Lions, Cardinals   e)  AFC West teams as away dogs in the first five weeks of the season playing in the Eastern time zone....47-31 ATS....ON Raiders   f)  A week 3/4 home favorite off an away loss,...89-147-9 ATS (-2.2).....VERSUS Jaguars, Commies.............. (and Dolphins week 4).....this moves to 34-71-6 ATS in week 3 if their present opponent has less than two wins....and to 10-30 ATS if their opponent will be favored next week.....VERSUS Jaguars, Commanders   g)  A week 3 away dog that has an average scoring margin or -5/game or worse, playing a team that will be a home dog 10-0 ATS (+11.2), 9-1 straight up (+7.5)....ON Jets   Plays all for 1.5 units: 1)  Panthers +5' 2)  Jets +6' 3)  Texans +105 4)  Raiders +3' 5)  Saints +7' 6)  Cardinals +3, -120 7)  Patriots +105

Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:

covers sure is shit for posting these days almost not worth it.

Quote Originally Posted by Jfish87:

Seattle -1 is an anchor but your on NO ML ?

Quote Originally Posted by SexyChoc:

Hello Football Fans,   Someone axed me if bad beats like Denver losing last week bother me.   Not anymore as I have played the stock market, poker and gambled on football for so long now it is just part of speculation/gambling.     I was up 15% on a stock the other day and a secondary announcement is made and those gains instantly vanished.        Some days you get good beats too.    It's just all part of it.   Week 3 Selections with a few notes...   1 Unit Each Bears +1  --  Cowboys Center is out -- I consider that the 2nd most important position on offense.   Fumbled snaps, penalties,  blown assignments.   Always happens.    Chicago gets it going at home this week. Texans +1.5 --    Houston wins this week after close tough losses against two good playoffs teams. Patriots  +1.5 -- Steelers SUCK and Aaron Rogers will get eaten alive this week.   Feeling good about these so ...    2 Units Each Seahawks -7  -- Hawks win by at least 2 TDs at home.   Saints may be worst team in the league. Rams +3.5 --  This is your under rated NFL team and I expect them to go deep in the playoffs,  baring key injuriesRavens -4.5 -- Lions no good on the road in outdoor grass stadiums against a team like Baltimore.   Wipe out !     2025 NFL Record Week 1 (2-1) Week 2 (1-3) Good Luck to us.

Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

DALLAS -1 @ BEARS Thoughts?