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No, they list the full picks about two hours before the Sunday games.

Last year they finished 40-49 after 6-9 the first three weeks.

They nearly always finish under 50, it's why Vegas exists. The public blows.

The Westgate people went 2-3 with that card, but to be fair they got incredibly unlucky with the Rams.

The top five picks are now 3-12 through three weeks.

Both teasers lost (half unit each, fortunately).

Luckiest break ever on the Eagles that the dude didn't just fall on the ball, game over.

Packers lost after looking like they might cover, Chargers won when it looked like they'd lost the thread.

End of the day, a very fortunate 3-3 record.

Shoot me, more chalk

LA Chargers -2.5

I can't stand the Broncos, can't stand Nix

I'd be interested to see your alt lines before the games start.

Two pieces of chalk

Green Bay -7.5

Philadelphia -3.5

Two pieces of chalk

Green Bay -7.5

Philadelphia -3.5

Two teasers, +150 each

Eagles +2.5 Colts 0 Falcons +1.5

YTD: 1-2

My picks: 6-5

This week: Chicago Bears +1.5

YTD: 1-9 (favorites 0-5, dogs 1-4)

HOU 1.5
LAR 3.5
DAL -1.5
CLE 7.5
LAC -2.5

@jowchoo

I'm sorry, though, although I really find your takes insightful, I can't read your queries and understand them well. There's a reason I lost the thread of maths once I got to pre-calculus.

A good group; good luck.

I'm inclined to think that because Chicago are in complete and utter disarray, now is the time to take them.

I would have fired McDaniel with five minutes left in the game. I'd have sent state police out to rip the headset off him and escort him off the premises.

Another of my books has Houston -2, so I've taken it.

I'm not sure where this Russell Wilson was when I bet on them. I swerved today.

@theclaw

 For years, I've been backing teams the week after they lose by four touchdowns on the road. It has always done well, 55-58%. But a couple of years ago I split the data into three buckets: teams that lose by 4 TDs, teams that score single digits on the road (regardless of the final score), and teams that both lose by 4 TDs and score single digits on the road.

The one to throw out is those that lose by four TDs while scoring double digits (except for home dogs; they cover at 63%). 

Season: 3-1

Took Miami -1 (on Thursday; it's -2 now). Detroit is up to -6.5.

Gonna wait on the Texans...I suppose I'll take them without any hesitation if Det and Miami both lose. If they both win I'll for sure swerve on the Monday night game. NYG I just can't do, no matter what. It feels like setting money on fire.

The reason for the hesitance on Miami and Houston...home favorites in their situation are great in October, so-so in September. Although it's not a lot of chalk. Tampa has a second straight road game, and they should have lost in Atlanta. Texans looked pretty average in L.A., but had a shot to win late.

Last week: 2-1

First week of bounceback plays, but I'm not sure about playing any of them, because of who is favored and where they're playing.

The plays would be:

Miami -1 (v NE)

Houston -2.5 (v TB)

NY Giants +6 (@ DAL)

I like both favorites, which is usually a bad sign.

A couple of teams ripe to be faded: Indy off their thrashing of the Fins, Pitt after outlasting the Jets.

I have already taken:

GB -3.5 (homer play, but I honestly think a great defensive performance against Detroit is better than a great defensive performance against the Giants)

DET -5 (took it yesterday before the Bears imploded. The line actually dropped to -3.5; it's -6 now)

I'm kinda loving these results. I lost the Eagles -4 pick on a 53-yard FG when by all rights I might have pushed that one.

But the other bet is what's making me smile.

I play soccer every Thursday night, and we all look forward to the NFL season so we have something to watch at the after bar. When we came off the field, I checked my phone and saw the HT score of 21-20, and I said to my friend that, 'Gee, I should have taken this one straight rather than teasing it...it hardly ever happens where the teased bet wins where it wouldn't have just won outright.' And I added that, well, nothing was certain...the game could definitely still finish under 47.5.

And, in fact, it did. Three second-half points. It was my only rooting interest remaining (my teaser had survived by HT, but I wanted to see the under hit), and it was really fun to watch, after the weather delay. It really goes to show you just how random betting on sports is.