bookieassassin

Who's the better QB right NOW?

Manning or Michael Hawkins?

The winner will have to throw, run/ convert on 3rd down.  Hawkins might be a better passer? Texas is bottom in the country in pressure rate allowed too...

IT'S A TRAP - DON'T FALL FOR IT FFS!!! ..........

It's (like always) - a math problem tweaked/fine tuned by oddsmakers / wagering

Before the Mateer injury - OU would be a 3-4 pt favorite probably.  He is worth a full 7 points to the spread. So you subtract - then adjust for how the game will be bet.

      * IF the Horns played well/won vs Fla - the line would be 4 or so - they didn't - so it's 2'/3.  simple   

@maxwagers781

 FASCINATING

FFS MAN, HE'S LOST 7 OF HIS LAST 11 GAMES, AND IS ABOUT TO LOSE TO UTEP (PROBABLY). He basically LOST THE TEAM last year week 5/6 > ugly loss to Kenn St, and hasn't recovered yet. 

He's on his way to getting fired (if not for buyout probably) at the easiest school in America to win at. Liberty has more resources than anybody in CUSA, and plays nobody. So let's give him a shot at PENN STATE?

My Sandusky hire made more sense - he's a better coach ha.    

Hugh Freeze's players - his own guys, he's #110 SP+ - right there with Tulsa and Mizzou St 

@maxwagers781

 His 3y at Liberty - they're in basically a pick-em game at UTEP? .....he's run that program into the ground.

Sandusky on work release?

MAYBE

Here he is vs Make A Wish team.... 

https://youtube.com/shorts/C6HHBr7YFWk?si=cDBI9QL1yZcdR2N3

Coaches - IN THE HEAT OF BATTLE - do not make decisions based on the spread....

WITH THE GAME CLEARLY AT HAND - have guys like Kiffin, Spurrier, Franklin - ever tried to get over a number?  SURE.  

I knew what happened immediately (been there) - he couldn't communicate with the officials (about the EARLY WHISTLE), so told QB to just keep running - all the way out.  You idiots are saying he should have paused - thought "oh shiit, this will cause some guys to lose their bet, we better take a knee, and risk : punting > losing the game"  WHAT?

KEY:  if he gets another early whistle - THEY HAVE TO PUNT - GET IT?

Why is this this so hard to grasp? - Check with Indy news, it's all right there ffs. 

Indy was the wrong side from start to finish....

A bad beat is when CLEARLY have the right side, but still lose.

Reddit discussion is practically Algonquinian.....compared to the dumbassery we see around here..........

Cignetti is looking at a big $$ move to the SEC/ better B10 school - QB Mendoza at a huge NFL contract.  How is it possible you could think they are now shaving points? The amount of payoff would be about 50X the amount of the bet FFS.

There is only ONE reason - it's because Cignetti was afraid they would have to punt.  The officials blew the whistle way early in that last possession - he protested, but couldn't get a good explanation.  Everybody's yelling and screaming all around him - he wants more time on the clock, but can't get it. So he tells Mendoza - " F it - just run out of the F'in end zone - let's get TF outta here with a W".  Mendoza knows he can probably go down earlier - but he's afraid to defy his HC - don't blame him myself.  Mendoza even apologizes for screwing up wagers .......

@Last2thirst

Print out linesheets from Northcoast or Scores and Odds...

On Monday/Tuesday - use SP+ to set a line for the following weeks games. In games of interest, note lookahead/letdown spots. Steele lists many series trends too. Use Oddsharks/database to see if a given team plays well in this spot, and head to head series trends.  

 >> week 7 - check out Iowa @ Wisky - Iowa off a loss, then BYE / Wisky in a Michigan/Ohio State sammich. Does Iowa play well off a loss? (yes) Do they play well off a bye? (yes). Do they play well vs Wisky, esp. on the road? (yes).

 * what should the line be? Iowa -6 or so ... NOW you have a week+ to check out match-up issues - can Wisky stop the run - can Iowa D stop Wisky O - is Iowa QB healthy?

When the lines open - know what you will do, what number you want - WHEN CAN I GET THE NUMBER I WANT?

 eg. maybe I say I'll take Iowa at 7 or less, for one unit - if above, I'll pass (or play smaller up to 8'). Maybe 1.25 units at 5/6. Maybe Wisky somehow plays Michigan tough - you see a crazy 3 - know in advance - you'll bet 1.5 units. Note- often the number moves (to) SP+.  Meaning if SP+ says 6 - line opens at 8' - it's probably dropping. If 4, it's going up.

For supplemental PR  - Sagarin not bad this year - Collin Wilson at Action Network is excellent / free. The pirated newsletters at the RR are a great source - use the updated schedules (for spots). Brad Powers' numbers are probably the best next to SP+.

I'll typically do the next week's numbers while I watch MNF. Then add notes as the week progresses. Staying a few weeks ahead is really the only way if you're serious about this stuff...

HOKIES - opened at 3'

NCST beat Virginia and ECU - Hokies dominated them on the road - outgained by 100 yds / 5 sacks- 8 TFL, and averaged 7.4/rush..... WF underrated, but a weak road team, off OT loss / physical game to GT - winnable game on deck. Line should close at 7 or more.  Firing the coach often helps - it takes oddsmakers a bit to catch up. See Okie St/UCLA.

Please stop posting ......

You're making everybody look bad ha (like me)

BOL today buddy ........

  >> playing dogs ML / live plays is the way this week, and probably next (maybe every week really)

Like those, looks like a tough week to handicap .......BOL this week man ...........

Ponies should get hammered - not much to suggest otherwise

BOL today buddy ..........

COVERS - getting dumber every year, too funny - got the nation's hottest cfb handicapper in the penalty box.....

BTW....

I'd like to introduce you to ODU - the nation's leading rusher (yds/rush) - they cover about 75% as dog, and win about 50% outright....

Ha - don't think I've seen them on your card? ..... BOL this week buddy .........

Was just about to send..."that UAB -8' is a LOCK"......I might pay his buyout just to get rid of that idiot ha 

@TD21

 TOO SOON !

ha - tough to judge - hopefully the Flashes score here

BOL today buddy .......... 

Looks good buddy, BOL ...........