fts1409

Sweet. Nice winner w these two dogs. 5-2 on teasers here. All posted. 

Sweet. Nice weekend w these two dogs. 5-2 on teasers now. All posted.

29 %Tix, 47 handle. Positive divergence. Sharp?

Got em +12.5 in teaser w Gators. With Penix and London both returning,hopefully the recent dismal O will show some life.  As of yesterday pm, capturing 25% of Tix yet 42% of handle. Which in trading jargon, is a positive divergence . GL...

Falcons line drops a point this evening.  Stastically significant? Who knows. Put more credence on moves right before kickoff 

Down to 4.5 now I see. ?? 

Good start. Can the putrid Falcons show some life? What happened to the team that beat Buffalo recently?  Don't think HC  Morris is the ticket. 

Gators +13.5. Posted. KS ats record not too hot.

Now,can the putrid Atl offense find some life?

Looking good so far. Yet,you never know.

Never any certainty, only probabilities.  I am willing to speculate,small, Falcons surprise.  Covering or better, this wide margin.

FL +14.5 teaser.GL

Per Sagarin....FL played toughest schedule in country so far. Liking my edge here.

 Atl...25% Tix yet capturing 42% of handle.Possible positive divergence . Two teams currently opposite ends of mkt valuation,sentiment perspective. Don't let recency bias cloud your decision making. No certainties,only probabilities. Yet,no big deal if I lose. Expected and normal. The key...how good is my impulse control,money MGMT? Dopamine influence under financial stress. Look it up. 

Two teams opposite ends of the mkt valuation,sentiment perspective. This is a team that beat Buffalo recently.

Atl....25% of Tix yet 42% of handle.  In trading,we refer to this as a possible possible divergence. Hence,they do have somewhat of a bid in the marketplace . Smart money?  Stastically significant...guess we'll have to find out. Could mean nothing. Yet, I do like my additional margin for error pts wise and sentiment wise. Gotta watch that recency bias.  No certainties,only probabilities. 4-2 prior NFL teasers. No expert.

+12.5 in teaser. Rock bottom mkt perception,valuation. Possibly. Recency bias 

+12.5, 14.5. Penix,London others back. Awful last two games hence,mkt perception couldn't be much lower. Expecting rebound w better offensive output( wouldn't take much).  NE possibly overvalued,confident after four wins in a row. 

UGA in dangerous spot. New HC,schemes,etc...Nothing to lose setting,..in Huge rivalry game. Everything to gain. Gonna open O up,pace. A win makes their season. 

GL to all.   Buy em when no one wants em. No recency bias. 

@Base_Knocks

 Thx. They r very erratic,aren't they? Bad karma for throwing the Super Bowl vs NE. 

Btw...I live in Ga, hence the interest. Moreover,was watching David Pollock and he thinks this is dangerous spot for Ga.  You can't really scheme,plan with this new HC  and they have nothing to lose. Would probably make their season in  this bitter rivalry.