Bigballer

Padres Whitesox 

How have his picks been doing as of late?

On the Reds and Mariners RL with you 

@ActionMagnet

thats also probably due to him having so many double digit 4th quarter leads in his career 

Had to turn it off after listening for a few minutes...these guys are terrible.

Though I always respected Vanzacks picks

@iceman2003

 Thanks, im well aware of Bassitt and his struggles. He does, for some reason pitch well against the Yanks. I think we can get a decent effort out of Bassit, and the Jays pen should be very well rested with Gausman pitching 8 innings tonight.

Chris Bassitt has a record of 5-1 with an ERA of 2.26 and 61 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Yankees in his career

Here are some recent specific game logs against the Yankees:

July 23, 2025: Won 8-4 against the Yankees, pitching 7.1 innings.
July 3, 2025: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.
April 27, 2025: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.
June 29, 2024: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.
April 15, 2024: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.

The Yankees landed at 5 am this morning, they mentioned during the broadcast today. 

Having to play another 1 pm day game on Saturday can't be a good spot either for the Yanks. Jays are fresh and had a nice warmup series with the reds looking ahead to this division series.

Jay's at +135 tomorrow sets up for good value 

Big series this weekend for both teams.

Yanks come into the series hot, but are coming off an intense series with Houston, and are travelling from another time zone with 0 days rest. I've heard reports that they arrived back into NY late last night after a night game.

I checked the Yank's record in this situation (travelling with 0 days rest), and they are 5-13 in this situation this year.

BJs on the other hand have had 1 day off after the Cincy series. I see a big situational advantage for the Jays here, but the poor bullpen pitching for the Jays is keeping me off for now as well, Gausman has some poor numbers against a few of the Yankee batters.

Leaning Jays here though. Open to the forum's thoughts.

Tigers Whitesox

Twins Chisox

**Bumping this thread from Aug. 14th which was an easy winner, Skubal finished with 3 Ks**

Why am I bumping this thread? Because he's on 5 days rest again tonight, rather than 4 days rest which Skubal usually pitches his best. This sets up a nice betting opportunity again on the Under 8.5 strikeouts, though at a heftier -145 juice. This still has value, if you look at Skubals stats on 5 days rest.

Skubal has gone over 8.5 Ks 1 out 11 times in 2025, when pitching on 5 days rest. He averages 6.4 strikeouts on 5 days rest. Well below 9.7 Ks which he averages on 4 days rest.

In 2024, Skubal went over 8.5 Ks, 2 out of 14 times on 5 days rest. That is a total of 3 overs in 25 appearances, on 5 days rest the past 2 years.

This bet is slightly worrisome, as the A's are a free-swinging team, and Skubal does own nice K numbers against guys like Langeliers (6 Ks in 9 at bats). But the A's still have a collective .304 average against Skubal, so I'm betting the A's can hit for contact tonight.

Texas is 6-1 at home in Game 3 after winning games 1 and 2. They have a track record of sweeping teams at home

Cleveland is 0-4 on the road in Game 3 after losing games 1 and 2. 

BJs -125

Jays are 9-1 this year, after scoring 10+ runs in their previous game.

Jays have been in 7 situations this year, where they won games 1 and 2 at home, they are 6-1 in Game 3

Berrios has had 25 starts this year, 8 of those have been on 4 days of rest, the Jays have gone 7-1 in those games

Taking the better team at home, with the hotter bats, at a relatively cheap price

Astros -130 

Orioles have had 18 away series this year, only on 2 occasions have they won Game 1 and Game 2. 

Astros have had 19 Home series this year, and have lost Game 1 and Game 2 on 3 occasions. 

Taking the 'stros to bounceback off a home shutout loss, Astros lineup have some nice numbers against Povich as well.

Throwing in an Altuve HR prop at +600 also 

Skubal did have his shortest outing of the year last game, but still liking the under 8.5 here

He's had more 9 or more vs Twins once out of 13 appearance against them

Dug a little deeper

Skubal has 6 games this year with 4 days rest, he's gone over 8.5, 3 of those 6 games. But he's had some of his best games on 4 days rest, with 11 Ks vs Bos, 13 Ks vs Cle and 13 Ks vs Minny.

He has 10 starts with 5 days rest, he's gone over 8.5 1 out of 10 times. That was a game vs the Brewers on April 14th.

Looks high to me, he averages 8.3 at home, and 7.9 on the road.

He's gone over this number 9 times in 23 starts. He did have 13 Ks against this Twins lineup on June 29th, but the lineup is a lot different tonight vs then.

Any thoughts on this? Looking at hitting the Under -145

Got roughed up last time posting going 0-2

Still up overall with a 6-3 record

Rolling with a doggie today Angels +120

Adding TB Rays -130

Pepiot has been stellar the last 2 months, and TB may be one of the best teams over the last month. 16-6 last 22 games, beating some good teams like the Tigers and Mets. I like this trend, TB 13-5 following a game where they gave up less than 1 run. Balt is also 3-7 following 1 day of rest. 

Some leans below. I do like the TB Under but rarely will I ever bet a side and an Under on the same game.

Mets ML
TB Under 8.5
SD Under 9
Yanks -1.5