Bigballer

Schneider has made a lot of poor decisions, but this isn't one of them 

Further, these are regular season stats, but the Jays are 12-3 after scoring double digit runs, and 11-4 to the over as well after scoring 10+ runs. Their lowest run output is 4 runs scored. Take from that what you will, as I know the ALCS is a far different beast from the regular season. But I do think, its far more likely that the Jays score runs tonight, after exploding for 13 runs, rather than getting shut down by Luis Castillo, a pitcher the Jays are familiar with.

Scherzer will likely have a short leash and get pulled after pitching once through the order, so there is a possibility for Scherzer to come out of this unscathed, after having several weeks of rest. With that being said, I lean over, with the Jays bats waking up

I disagree in this particular situation. You have a Seattle team that played IN Detroit on Wed, and had to fly back home to play one do-or-die game in Seattle for a Friday game, that ended up lasting 15 innings. It was emotionally exhausting just to watch, let alone play in the game. Seattle then had their post-game celebration, and ON TOP of that they had to fly back 5 hours to EST time zone (in another country). They arrived around 8 pm ET time last night in Toronto. That is a lot of miles, with a 15 inning game and a post game celebration thrown in there. They now get to face a Jays team that has been rested at home for the last 3 days. Tough task for Seattle to win here, that dome will be rocking tonight. Jays homer here btw

As a Jays fan with a Jays futures ticket, I'm loving every minute of this. I don't see how either of these teams turn around for a game 1 in Toronto on Sunday

I like it 

Mine works still, but when you click on the username, you can no longer see their most recent posts

You've been on point with Brewers bets this year. What are your thoughts on their playoff outlook?

Padres Whitesox 

How have his picks been doing as of late?

On the Reds and Mariners RL with you 

@ActionMagnet

thats also probably due to him having so many double digit 4th quarter leads in his career 

Had to turn it off after listening for a few minutes...these guys are terrible.

Though I always respected Vanzacks picks

@iceman2003

 Thanks, im well aware of Bassitt and his struggles. He does, for some reason pitch well against the Yanks. I think we can get a decent effort out of Bassit, and the Jays pen should be very well rested with Gausman pitching 8 innings tonight.

Chris Bassitt has a record of 5-1 with an ERA of 2.26 and 61 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Yankees in his career

Here are some recent specific game logs against the Yankees:

July 23, 2025: Won 8-4 against the Yankees, pitching 7.1 innings.
July 3, 2025: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.
April 27, 2025: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.
June 29, 2024: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.
April 15, 2024: Allowed 3 hits against the Yankees.

The Yankees landed at 5 am this morning, they mentioned during the broadcast today. 

Having to play another 1 pm day game on Saturday can't be a good spot either for the Yanks. Jays are fresh and had a nice warmup series with the reds looking ahead to this division series.

Jay's at +135 tomorrow sets up for good value 

Big series this weekend for both teams.

Yanks come into the series hot, but are coming off an intense series with Houston, and are travelling from another time zone with 0 days rest. I've heard reports that they arrived back into NY late last night after a night game.

I checked the Yank's record in this situation (travelling with 0 days rest), and they are 5-13 in this situation this year.

BJs on the other hand have had 1 day off after the Cincy series. I see a big situational advantage for the Jays here, but the poor bullpen pitching for the Jays is keeping me off for now as well, Gausman has some poor numbers against a few of the Yankee batters.

Leaning Jays here though. Open to the forum's thoughts.

Tigers Whitesox

Twins Chisox

**Bumping this thread from Aug. 14th which was an easy winner, Skubal finished with 3 Ks**

Why am I bumping this thread? Because he's on 5 days rest again tonight, rather than 4 days rest which Skubal usually pitches his best. This sets up a nice betting opportunity again on the Under 8.5 strikeouts, though at a heftier -145 juice. This still has value, if you look at Skubals stats on 5 days rest.

Skubal has gone over 8.5 Ks 1 out 11 times in 2025, when pitching on 5 days rest. He averages 6.4 strikeouts on 5 days rest. Well below 9.7 Ks which he averages on 4 days rest.

In 2024, Skubal went over 8.5 Ks, 2 out of 14 times on 5 days rest. That is a total of 3 overs in 25 appearances, on 5 days rest the past 2 years.

This bet is slightly worrisome, as the A's are a free-swinging team, and Skubal does own nice K numbers against guys like Langeliers (6 Ks in 9 at bats). But the A's still have a collective .304 average against Skubal, so I'm betting the A's can hit for contact tonight.