Tennessee vs Alabama Odds, Picks and Predictions: Expect Offensive Explosion in Tuscaloosa

The two teams tied atop the SEC standings will clash on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa as the Tennessee Volunteers take on the Alabama Crimson Tide. 

The Volunteers have won five straight games and have a 12-3 record in the SEC with a 22-6 record overall. The Crimson Tide have won eight of their last 10 games and are also 12-3 in conference play with a 20-8 overall record.

Which team will take control of their own destiny in the SEC title hunt and cover in the college basketball odds this week? Read our college basketball picks for Tennessee vs. Alabama below to find out. 

Tennessee vs Alabama best odds

Tennessee vs Alabama picks and predictions

The first meeting between these two teams this season resulted in a 20-point home victory for the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols covered the spread and the total went Over with a final score of 91-71. The Alabama Crimson Tide made a season-low four 3-pointers and it was also their lowest-scoring offensive output of the year.     

Since that game, Alabama has scored under 90 points only three times and has scored over 100 points four times. They've also made double-digit threes in six games since then. The Tide are also a much more dangerous team at home than they are on the road. The Tide are 13-1 overall at home with a spotless 7-0 home record in SEC play. 

On the other end, the Vols' defense certainly steps down a lot on the road compared to at home. Tennessee has allowed only 67.2 points per game in all contests this season, but that number jumps to 77.2 in their nine road games. That includes allowing 100 to UNC, 92 to Kentucky, and 85 to Texas A&M. 

Both teams like to play fast, shoot threes, and allow their opponents to get plenty of shots off. The Vols rank 62nd in field goal attempts per game, 71st in 3-point attempts, and 278th in opponent 3-point attempts. The Tide rank 13th in field goal attempts, fourth in 3-point attempts, and 236th in opponent 3-point attempts. 

To add to all these attempts, both teams are also excellent on the offensive glass. Tennessee ranks 87th nationally, pulling in 11.5 offensive boards per game, and allows opponents to bring in 11.0 of their own misses (273^rd). Meanwhile, Alabama ranks 28th in offensive rebounding (12.8) and allows their opponents to get 11.6 offensive boards (326th). 

Both teams able to get up a ton of shots and want to play fast. I expect a very high-scoring game and there may be no total set high enough to talk me down from taking the Over. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams surpassed 90 points in this barn burner. 

My best bet: Over 169.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

Tennessee vs Alabama same-game parlay

Over 170.5

Aaron Estrada Over 5.5 rebounds

Alabama moneyline

+450 at DraftKings

Aaron Estrada is both the team’s leading offensive rebounder and total rebounder for Alabama. He had only three rebounds in the first matchup but has 25 boards in the last three games without Latrell Wrightsell Jr., who may not be available again. He averages over two offensive boards per game at home this season. 

Finally, we'll take the Tide to win this game at home. The Vols are 6-3 straight up on the road this season but have been favored in most of those. Tennessee is 1-3 SU as underdogs this season and the Tide have only lost twice as favorites this season and both of those games were back in November.     

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Tennessee vs Alabama spread and Over/Under analysis

The Vols have a fantastic SU record but are only 14-13-1 against the spread on the year. They're also 3-6 ATS in road games and 1-3 ATS as underdogs. Meanwhile, the Tide are 16-11-1 ATS in all games and 10-3-1 ATS at home.     

Alabama got destroyed in the first matchup because it didn't shoot well and turned the ball over 22 times. However, the Tide have only turned the ball over 100 times in 10 games since then. The Vols only force opponents to commit 10.1 turnovers per game on the road. The Tide will literally turn with Bama covering at home.

Tennessee has gone Over the total in 16 of its 28 games this season. The Over is 7-2 in the nine road games for the Vols. Alabama has gone Over the total in 21 of its 28 games and in 10 of 14 home games. This game could get closer to 200 points than the set total of 170 points. 

Tennessee vs Alabama betting trend to know

Tennessee has gone Over the total in 10 of its last 14 road games and Alabama has gone Over its team total in 23 of its last 36. Find more college basketball betting trends for Tennessee vs. Alabama.

Tennessee vs Alabama game info

Tennessee vs Alabama key injuries

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