New York Yankees slugger Juan Soto was held hitless on Friday for the first time in 10 games but can get back on track this afternoon for the MLB odds favorite Yankees against Detroit Tigers righty Casey Mize.
Can Soto begin a new hitting streak today? Join me as I break this one down with MLB picks and Tigers vs Yankees for Saturday, May 4.
Tigers vs Yankees prediction
My best bet
Juan Soto Over 1.5 total bases (+140 at bet365)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
New York Yankees OF Juan Soto has been a welcome addition since joining the roster in an offseason trade with the Padres.
Soto is hitting everything on the button with the highest barrel percentage of his career. The 25-year-old slugger leads the Yankees in multiple offensive categories and is on pace to have a career year in numerous statistical categories.
Friday night was the first time Soto was hitless in 10 games, but he has a great chance to begin a new hitting streak with a tasty matchup against Detroit Tigers righty Casey Mize.
Mize boasts a four-seamer/slider combo that has been tough on left-handed hitters, but his advanced numbers tell us his 4.45 xFIP against left-handed lumber is nearly two points higher than his FIP, which could mean Mize has likely been more lucky than good.
Being lucky against lefties is less than ideal when facing Soto; the Yankees OF has been just pure good, and he will make Mize pay today at Yankee Stadium.
Soto is crushing four-seamers, sliders, and everything else hurled his way. He’s batting .320 on the season but has also been unlucky; his .445 wOBA and 12.5 barrel rate suggest the best is yet to come for the Yankees OF. Soto boasts the highest pull rate of his career, which could improve as left-handed bats pull 35% of Mize’s pitches.
Soto has an edge here and should have a big day at the plate.
Tigers vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)
Juan Soto 2+ total bases
Anthony Rizzo 1+ total bases
Aaron Judge to get a hit
Our three-leg same-game parlay features two additional Yankees in line for big days.
Yankees 1B Anthony Rizzo is heating up. Rizzo bats .237, but his .330 wOBA suggests he’s also been unlucky. The veteran first-baseman has cleared 1+ total bases in two of his last three and six of his previous 10.
Yankees OF Aaron Judge is hitting only .200 thus far but his .323 wOBA suggests he’s also been unlucky. He loves hitting at Yankee Stadium; the 32-year-old slugger has recorded one hit in three of his previous five in the Bronx and across five of his last 10 matchups overall.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Tigers vs Yankees odds
Tigers vs Yankees live odds
Tigers vs Yankees opening odds
- Run line: Detroit + 1.5 (-155) | New York Yankees -1.5 (+130)
- Moneyline: Detroit +130 | New York-155
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-102)
Tigers vs Yankees spread and Over/Under analysis
- Money came in on Detroit, driving the moneyline markets from +136 to +130 at DraftKings and industry-wide odds trading from +130 to +142.
- The most movement has occurred in total markets. 8.0 runs opened across the industry, but we have Over 7.5 (-118) to Over 8.0 (+100).
- Under markets are the juiciest, with Under 8.0 trading from -115 to -120 across the US betting industry.
- Run line markets report +1.5 at odds from -152 to -161, while -1.5 runs are trading from +125 to +135.
Tigers vs Yankees trend
Juan Soto has cleared 1.5 total bases in six of his previous 10 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Yankees
Tigers vs Yankees game info
| Location: | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date: | Saturday, 5-4-2024 |
| First pitch: | 1:05 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Detroit, YES |
| Tigers starting pitcher: | Casey Mize (1-0, 3.08 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher: | Clarke Schmidt (2-1, 3.19 ERA) |
Tigers vs Yankees latest injuries
Tigers vs Yankees weather
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