Model background: How long have you been betting short money favorites to parlaying heavy 3 teamers? To only see your research blown up by a single play, inning, or quarter. A while? Yeah, me too. So, I decided to flip the script. Instead of follow the ML favorite + public perception that Vegas forces onto from the very start - i’m playing the numbers game now. This is an original formula that sifts through the daily slate to identify the dogs who are the diamond in the rough. Using statistics around the foundational basis of ‘not every win (or loss) is created equal’ i’m able to identify games where +EV/dogs have significant opportunities to win. And while Vegas is consumed by hooking in the next Joe this formula identifies its shortfalls or what I like to call diamonds in the rough!
Model background: How long have you been betting short money favorites to parlaying heavy 3 teamers? To only see your research blown up by a single play, inning, or quarter. A while? Yeah, me too. So, I decided to flip the script. Instead of follow the ML favorite + public perception that Vegas forces onto from the very start - i’m playing the numbers game now. This is an original formula that sifts through the daily slate to identify the dogs who are the diamond in the rough. Using statistics around the foundational basis of ‘not every win (or loss) is created equal’ i’m able to identify games where +EV/dogs have significant opportunities to win. And while Vegas is consumed by hooking in the next Joe this formula identifies its shortfalls or what I like to call diamonds in the rough!
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