HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 1-game-nil irrespective of site order (Ottawa) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 951-388 (.710)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 238-94 (.717)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 455-208 (.686)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 103-47 (.687)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 725-614 (.541)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 177-155 (.533)
Game 2 record, NHL only, all rounds: 359-304 (.541)
Game 2 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 80-70 (.533)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1339 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil @ V:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 1-game-nil with site order V (Ottawa) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 250-197 (.559)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 73-44 (.624)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 136-104 (.567)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 30-22 (.577)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 149-298 (.333)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 44-73 (.376)
Game 2 record, NHL only, all rounds: 91-149 (.379)
Game 2 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 19-33 (.365)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1339 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 1: The Ottawa Senators visited and topped the
Pittsburgh Penguins 2-goals-1 in overtime to take a best-of-7
MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1332 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a
best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Ottawa Senators
have a series record of 8-4 and a Game 2 record of 2-10. When trailing a
best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Pittsburgh
Penguins have a series record of 14-15 and a Game 2 record of 17-12 with
an active four-Game 2 winning streak. With the Ottawa victory in series
1332 Game 1 and the Nashville win in series 1333 Game 1, the road team
has won Game 1 in both NHL Semifinals series for the first time since
2006.
Pre-series assessment: In the 2016-17 NHL regular season, the
Pittsburgh Penguins finished 13 points ahead of the Ottawa Senators.
From 1939 through the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals round, when NHL teams led
their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 13 regular-season points,
they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 12-10 (.545) in
those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff
series 1332 is the 58th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Pittsburgh
Penguins, and the 27th for the Ottawa Senators. In best-of-7 NHL playoff
series, the Pittsburgh Penguins have an all-rounds series record of
35-22, a Semifinals-round series record of 5-4, and a Game 1 record of
28-29, while the Ottawa Senators have an all-rounds series record of
11-15, a Semifinals-round series record of 1-1, and a Game 1 record of
12-14. Series 1332 is the fifth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting
between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Ottawa Senators. Pittsburgh
defeated Ottawa in three of their four previous best-of-7 NHL playoff
series meetings, and in each of their last three best-of-7 NHL playoff
series meetings.
Whowins