While some bets are better than others for the big game, there isn't really a bad side for this game. Considering the X's and O's, a wide spectrum of possible outcomes exist from the last second field goal to the "blow out". What's more, both teams are capable of either outcome. Let us explore.
Coaching:
Starts here with game planning and with two capable coaches, I give the nod to Andy and Spags. I fear a conservative clock control game from Shanahan to offset his past short comings and manage his teams very poor starts over the last few. Personally, with their weaponry the game plan should be guns blazing "we're scoring 40 try and keep up". I also think that should the game be close late, Shanahan is prone to the puckering butthole syndrome.
QB Play:
Comparable yards, touchdown passes, interceptions. Both quarterbacks mobile enough to manage and/or influence the game. Edge to Mahomes being the "proven" quarterback in this situation. This is one game, so stats can to some extent go out the window. Brock is a good quarterback fully capable of both managing and winning a game for his time. The fear here, the moment will be too big. We have seen a little of that in the last handful of weeks. He will however, not quit every. As to Mahomes, he is an exceptional quarterback well deserved of respect. If a one score game, he cane do it himself. The question will be, should SF really push and be successful early does he have the tools to overcome?
RB Play:
Edge to McCaffrey given a stronger duel threat prowess. However, both running backs will get theirs and have an impact on the game either yardage / time clock chewing.
WR Play:
Advantage to San Francisco with the caveat that Kelce will assuredly get his. For me keeping Kelce to around 100 and a TD would be a success.
Defense:
Both defenses can be formidable and take control of a game. However, as we have seen both are able to be exploited. Obviously some KC injury concerns, but for me this remains a push.
Form:
Pretty big subjective metric and I would give the edge to KC. While getting the job done, SF has taken an interesting approach to get here. KC has required a more adaptive approach in weathering very different styles and philosophies as road warriors. However, as mentioned earlier this is one game and they both have two weeks to prepare, so I would argue most of what we have seen over the last month will be rendered moot.
Line:
The line currently sits at 2 in favor of San Francisco. As I mentioned yesterday in last 33 Superbowl's we have not have a game land on anything less than 3. Further, the last two have landed on 3. To me this is interesting as sports betting has exponentially gained speed over the last couple of years. Not suggesting anything, just a curiosity that will be fun in retrospect. Line movement, especially very late line movement is important to my process and it is too early to comment.