Home favorites in game 2 of more than 7 points (-7.5, -8, -8.5, etc.) off a home favorite loss have gone 25-12-1 ATS (+6.54), 38-0 straight up (+15.39).....Celtics
HF and series game=2 and p:HFL and line<-7
NHL.....
Home favorites game 2 that lost their previous game as home favorites in round>2....9-5 straight up +2.02% ROI, 11-1-2 o/u......OVER Hurricanes/Panthers
HF and p:HFL and series game=2 and round>2
Plays:
1) Two team parlay..................Celtics moneyline/Hurricanes OVER....1 unit to win 1.25 units
2) Golden Knights game 1....... -122 risking 1 unit to win .83 units
Home favorites in game 2 of more than 7 points (-7.5, -8, -8.5, etc.) off a home favorite loss have gone 25-12-1 ATS (+6.54), 38-0 straight up (+15.39).....Celtics
HF and series game=2 and p:HFL and line<-7
NHL.....
Home favorites game 2 that lost their previous game as home favorites in round>2....9-5 straight up +2.02% ROI, 11-1-2 o/u......OVER Hurricanes/Panthers
HF and p:HFL and series game=2 and round>2
Plays:
1) Two team parlay..................Celtics moneyline/Hurricanes OVER....1 unit to win 1.25 units
2) Golden Knights game 1....... -122 risking 1 unit to win .83 units
Lakers line last game was +6, and today they are -5.5ish....that sets up the following angle.
A team whose last game line was at least 10 points greater than their present line in game 3....18-10-2 ATS (+4.63), 25-5 straight up (+9.30)......Lakers
If we eliminate round 1 games this moves to 13-4-2 (+7.89), 17-2 SU (12.79), including 8-0-2 ATS, 10-0 straight up (+15.40) if they are down 0-2 in the series.
average line/total -4.9 197.6
average score 105.8-93
playoffs = 1 and p:line - line > 10 and HF and series game = 3 and round>1 and series wins
Lakers line last game was +6, and today they are -5.5ish....that sets up the following angle.
A team whose last game line was at least 10 points greater than their present line in game 3....18-10-2 ATS (+4.63), 25-5 straight up (+9.30)......Lakers
If we eliminate round 1 games this moves to 13-4-2 (+7.89), 17-2 SU (12.79), including 8-0-2 ATS, 10-0 straight up (+15.40) if they are down 0-2 in the series.
average line/total -4.9 197.6
average score 105.8-93
playoffs = 1 and p:line - line > 10 and HF and series game = 3 and round>1 and series wins
Indigo what’s your opinion on that over? Obviously very long last game, my thoughts maybe tired legs, harder to score and goalies I know playing long game too but not doing all that skating! Thanks
Indigo what’s your opinion on that over? Obviously very long last game, my thoughts maybe tired legs, harder to score and goalies I know playing long game too but not doing all that skating! Thanks
The angle I gave in the top of this thread is 11-1-2 to the OVER. However, this was with just three home favorite overtime losses the previous game in the sample...those post-overtime games the home favorites went 3-0 (+1.33) straight up, and 2-1 OVER (+1.33), so certainly the results off an overtime home loss is not as strong as off of any non-overtime games.
Personally, I don't think the goalies will be as strong and just random puck luck that kept the puck out of the net last game will see a reversion to the mean.
The angle I gave in the top of this thread is 11-1-2 to the OVER. However, this was with just three home favorite overtime losses the previous game in the sample...those post-overtime games the home favorites went 3-0 (+1.33) straight up, and 2-1 OVER (+1.33), so certainly the results off an overtime home loss is not as strong as off of any non-overtime games.
Personally, I don't think the goalies will be as strong and just random puck luck that kept the puck out of the net last game will see a reversion to the mean.
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