Sunday’s games NC State vs Duke (-6.5) (@ Dallas) NC State (25-14) ranked #49 by KenPom Tempo: #148 Experience: #14 Continuity: #244 NC State won its last eight games, after a 2-7 skid. Opponents are shooting 33.5% on the arc (#156) Wolfpack is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT NC State is 11-7 ATS as an underdog this year. Wolfpack is 11-3 in non-conference games. NC State is 6-8 against teams ranked in the top 50. NC State’s schedule, to this point: #39 bench minutes: #289 Under Keatts, NC State is 3-2 in NCAA Tourney games. Last time Wolfpack made the Final Four, 1983.
Duke (27-8) ranked #5 by KenPom Tempo: #254 Experience: #197 Continuity: #24 Duke won its first three NCAA games, giving up 51 ppg. Duke played three starters 38:00+ in Friday’s win. Duke is 17-11 ATS as a favorite this year. Blue Devils have #19 eFG% in country. Duke is #56 team on defensive boards. Blue Devils are 6-5 vs teams ranked in top 50. Duke’s schedule, to this point: #50 bench minutes: #282 Since 2013, Duke is 2-3 SU in regional finals.
This is teams’ third meeting in last 27 days. March 4, Duke (-6) won 79-64 at NC State March 14, Wolfpack (+11) upset Duke 74-69 in ACC Tournament. Since 2000, in regional finals between conference rivals, underdogs are 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS. Since 2016, #9 or lower seeds are 6-3 ATS in regional finals.
Tennessee vs Purdue (-3.5) (@ Detroit) Tennessee (27-8) ranked #6 by KenPom Tempo: #78 Experience: #29 Continuity: #67 Tennessee won 10 of its last 12 games. Vols have #5 eFG% defense in country. Vols are 13-3 in non-conference games. Tennessee is 10-7 against teams in the top 50. Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #10 bench minutes: #287 Since 1997, Coach Barnes is 1-2 SU in Elite 8 games. Tennessee is in Elite 8 for first time since 2010.
Purdue (32-4) ranked #3 by KenPom Tempo: #198 Experience: #67 Continuity: #11 Purdue won its first three NCAA games, by 28-39-12 points. Boilers made 29-57 shots on the arc in those games. Boilers are shooting 41% on the arc (#1) Purdue has #10 eFG% in country. Boilers are 14-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #11). Purdue is #6 team on offensive boards. Boilers are 14-4 vs teams ranked in top 50. Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #4 bench minutes: #241 Coach Painter is 0-1 SU in regional final games.
SEC teams are 10-5 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents this season. Last 6+ years, #1-seeds are 7-5-1 ATS in regional finals.
Sunday’s games NC State vs Duke (-6.5) (@ Dallas) NC State (25-14) ranked #49 by KenPom Tempo: #148 Experience: #14 Continuity: #244 NC State won its last eight games, after a 2-7 skid. Opponents are shooting 33.5% on the arc (#156) Wolfpack is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT NC State is 11-7 ATS as an underdog this year. Wolfpack is 11-3 in non-conference games. NC State is 6-8 against teams ranked in the top 50. NC State’s schedule, to this point: #39 bench minutes: #289 Under Keatts, NC State is 3-2 in NCAA Tourney games. Last time Wolfpack made the Final Four, 1983.
Duke (27-8) ranked #5 by KenPom Tempo: #254 Experience: #197 Continuity: #24 Duke won its first three NCAA games, giving up 51 ppg. Duke played three starters 38:00+ in Friday’s win. Duke is 17-11 ATS as a favorite this year. Blue Devils have #19 eFG% in country. Duke is #56 team on defensive boards. Blue Devils are 6-5 vs teams ranked in top 50. Duke’s schedule, to this point: #50 bench minutes: #282 Since 2013, Duke is 2-3 SU in regional finals.
This is teams’ third meeting in last 27 days. March 4, Duke (-6) won 79-64 at NC State March 14, Wolfpack (+11) upset Duke 74-69 in ACC Tournament. Since 2000, in regional finals between conference rivals, underdogs are 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS. Since 2016, #9 or lower seeds are 6-3 ATS in regional finals.
Tennessee vs Purdue (-3.5) (@ Detroit) Tennessee (27-8) ranked #6 by KenPom Tempo: #78 Experience: #29 Continuity: #67 Tennessee won 10 of its last 12 games. Vols have #5 eFG% defense in country. Vols are 13-3 in non-conference games. Tennessee is 10-7 against teams in the top 50. Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #10 bench minutes: #287 Since 1997, Coach Barnes is 1-2 SU in Elite 8 games. Tennessee is in Elite 8 for first time since 2010.
Purdue (32-4) ranked #3 by KenPom Tempo: #198 Experience: #67 Continuity: #11 Purdue won its first three NCAA games, by 28-39-12 points. Boilers made 29-57 shots on the arc in those games. Boilers are shooting 41% on the arc (#1) Purdue has #10 eFG% in country. Boilers are 14-0 in non-conference games (NC schedule #11). Purdue is #6 team on offensive boards. Boilers are 14-4 vs teams ranked in top 50. Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #4 bench minutes: #241 Coach Painter is 0-1 SU in regional final games.
SEC teams are 10-5 SU/ATS vs Big 14 opponents this season. Last 6+ years, #1-seeds are 7-5-1 ATS in regional finals.
TENNESSEE (27 - 8) vs. PURDUE (32 - 4) - 3/31/2024, 2:20 PM Top Trends for this game. TENNESSEE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. TENNESSEE is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997. PURDUE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season. PURDUE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997. PURDUE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season. PURDUE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season. PURDUE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season. PURDUE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. PURDUE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. TENNESSEE is 147-110 ATS (+26.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997. TENNESSEE is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997. TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season. TENNESSEE is 154-120 ATS (+22.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997. PURDUE is 95-129 ATS (-46.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997. Head-to-Head Series History PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE (25 - 14) vs. DUKE (27 - 8) - 3/31/2024, 5:05 PM Top Trends for this game. NC STATE is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. DUKE is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season. DUKE is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season. DUKE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season. DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season. NC STATE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. Head-to-Head Series History NC STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons DUKE is 3-2 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (27 - 8) vs. PURDUE (32 - 4) - 3/31/2024, 2:20 PM Top Trends for this game. TENNESSEE is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. TENNESSEE is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997. PURDUE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season. PURDUE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997. PURDUE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season. PURDUE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season. PURDUE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season. PURDUE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. PURDUE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. TENNESSEE is 147-110 ATS (+26.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997. TENNESSEE is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997. TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season. TENNESSEE is 154-120 ATS (+22.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997. PURDUE is 95-129 ATS (-46.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997. Head-to-Head Series History PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE (25 - 14) vs. DUKE (27 - 8) - 3/31/2024, 5:05 PM Top Trends for this game. NC STATE is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. DUKE is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season. DUKE is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season. DUKE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season. DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season. NC STATE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. Head-to-Head Series History NC STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons DUKE is 3-2 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
North Carolina State @ Duke North Carolina State The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games when playing Duke North Carolina State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Duke Duke The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games when playing North Carolina State Duke is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina State
North Carolina State @ Duke North Carolina State The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games when playing Duke North Carolina State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Duke Duke The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games when playing North Carolina State Duke is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina State
Sunday: 31 March 24 | 14:20 Little Caesars Arena FEATURED PICK INFORMATION
The Boilermakers have a 62.4% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Boilermakers have a 23-4 record (winning 85.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter. Tennessee has been underdogs in five games this season and won two (40%) of those contests. The Volunteers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten Conference. Dunkel's Pick: Purdue (-3.5).
Sunday: 31 March 24 | 14:20 Little Caesars Arena FEATURED PICK INFORMATION
The Boilermakers have a 62.4% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Boilermakers have a 23-4 record (winning 85.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter. Tennessee has been underdogs in five games this season and won two (40%) of those contests. The Volunteers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten Conference. Dunkel's Pick: Purdue (-3.5).
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