Saywaht

They’re out of their minds if they put that guy back in, in a 1-run game. 

Damn. Well yeah when your pitcher walks FOUR people in one inning…. You’re trying to lose the game. 

That’s a great line if you think Dallas can win 

@Buffalobob89074

 Because the eagles barely beat Dallas, and KC - and KC isn’t what it used to be. 

Curious in the reasoning for this one, I’d trust verlander at lot more than pfaadt. 

@Sacramoni

Locked. Was going to think on it, but feel like some of these lines will get toned down later in the week. 

GL All

Still kicking the tires on this 13 pt teaser… but this looks like a week where the dogs could bounce back (with some help). 

Raiders +16.5

Raiders are playing reasonably well, and have to be looking for a bounce back after getting pummeled by the chargers. Geno or the OC made some terrible calls that they hopefully won’t repeat. Commanders got whalloped by GB. The Raiders certainly aren’t GB, but the commanders are overhyped and I think the raiders can keep this one reasonably close if Geno doesn’t implode.

Giants +19

The Giants are terrible, but KC isn’t much better. Edge goes to KC, and they need the win, but most of their wins are by 1 TD even when they are firing on all cylinders. Giants showed some signs of life against Dallas, hopefully they can keep that going.

Dolphins +24.5

Continuing the trend, the Dolphins have also been sucking, and the Bills are on fire. This is one I may yank before game day, but I think we see Tua start to play better at some point, and I’m not sure the Bills can put up third huge game in a row. This just feels like a regression game to me. 

Titans +16.5

Titans have been playing better than the dolphins, who booked a 8-33 loss against the colts in a horrific season opener. The Colts are a team to watch, but they faltered against the Broncos and that penalty really saved them, and turned the tide of the game. No illusions about who will likely win this game, but Tennessee is performing better out of the gate than most expected and I think the titans can keep it somewhat close.

Rams +16.5

The eagles barely edged out wins against Dallas and KC, which is not exactly the feat it used to be. Think this is probably anyone’s game, but if it’s anything like the eagles first two games, the Rams have a good chance of keeping it close, if not winning outright.

Lions +18

Lions are the same team they were last year, sans coaching staff. The ravens are the team to beat right now and I’m not sure the lions will have an answer to bulldozer-Henry, but it’s hard to pass on the lions in what could be one of their largest underdog spots of the season.

A lot of logistics for a +110, but I think this is a week to root for the dogs, with some insurance.

@unplucked_gem

 Yeah, these are the kinds of lines where there is very little room for upside. They basically need to execute perfectly, and Miami needs to flop. 

This is one where it feels like the only way you touch this game is with a 10 point teaser. 

@Zman55

That’s not untrue, but I still think the line is suppressed. 

they finished within 3 of the eagles, who is obviously a much better team than the giants.

The giants showed some signs of life against the cowboys, but they got absolutely smoked by the commanders.

I still think these teams are not in the same stratosphere, and I am not a fan of KC in general. 

I know the chiefs are banged up, and are off to a bad start - but they only have to beat the Giants by 1 TD?

This seems like a freebie leg for a 6pt teaser at pk. 

If KC can’t beat this giants team after an 0-2 start, they might as well hang it up for the season. 

@GottaWinItAll

 Eh. I’m on them too, but I don’t love it. 

Really the only reason the Bills almost got dusted was because they didn’t have a solution for Henry - he had an insane amount of rushing yards. 

Their offense was firing pretty well, and they were lights-out for most of Q4. 

The Jets barely kept up with Aaron Rodgers. This game could be a total blow out if the bills play like they did against the ravens. 

@Onewolf

 Baltimores defense was abysmal and their coaching decisions were even worse.

They’ll win this one but I wouldn’t be remotely surprised if they don’t cover 11.5. 

I should have stuck with my gut. Washington playing terrible. 

beating up on a garbage team and then transition to face a good one is almost always a death knell. 

@SPark1

 Generally agree with that, but hard to say when Washington’s game was not a good reference point. 

@LVRaiders335i

 I honestly think Washington +8.5 and under 54 is the play, but I’ve been getting smoked on unders and teasers lately. 

it’s probably this or no play from me tonight. 

@bucknut5

Because they were completely irredeemable last week, it was exceptionally bad. Why would you want to back a garbage team when there are so many higher EV options?

Lions also got trounced in week 1, at least that bounce back play has some rational reason why it could happen. 

The Dolphins lost their last game by almost 4 touchdowns. The patriots are having their own issues, this is going to be a slop fest where anything could happen but at -1.5 I’d be more likely to fade the dolphins, than back them. 

your money though, anything is possible. 

@SPark1

Not sure if you are being sarcastic. These are probably two of the better teams in the NFC this year, so you’d think it’d be close either way. 

I’d tend to lean GB and by more points, but I think this would be a no-bet game at 7+

@Interstellar

 Washington beat the giants by about the same amount that GB beat the lions. 

The Giants are absolutely horrible, and the lions are almost entirely the same team they were last year - but obviously didn’t get a great start. 

you can make a case either way but Washington had it easy last week and they still had some issues.

@Interstellar

 Idk this is another hard one. GB clapped the lions who are a powerhouse of a team that is largely unchanged YOY. 

The commanders beat the giants by the same amount, and the giants are god-awful. 

GB is set up for a letdown game, but Washington is running headfirst into a wall after a freebie.