Onewolf

11-3-2

t bay   -4.5

chi      -7.5

phil     -11.5

caro    -2.5

8-2-2

sea    -7

minn  +1.5

den     -7.5

rams   -8.5

5-2-1

t bay    -3

jax       -6

s fran.  -4.5

buff      -3.5

@Dolbron

 What drugs are you on?

I’d like to try them then maybe the saints could win the super bowl. 

@fact81

 Check your det line. You made me do a double take. 

11   3-0-1  ditto ytd

det   -10.5

sea   -13.5

cle    +3.5

atl    +1.5

Why even bet this game. Because it’s MNF and the only game in town?

It’s two junkyard dogs fighting over a skint bone. 

@djbrow

 Is it necessary to post individual weekly records or will an overall record do. 

Haven’t had a play in 3 weeks so I’ll entertain myself here. 

0-0

pitt     -5.5

gbay   -7

jax     +3

sfran   -2.5

Both of these teams have a .33 win percentage against contenders. Den is 1-2 and KC is 2-4. The difference is KC has played twice as many contenders. 

On the other side they are both 100 percent against ‘less than’ teams. Den is 7-0 and KC 3-0. 

With this comparison I’d give KC an edge, but, so do the books so the line mutes this point. 

Both teams are gonna make the playoffs. Going forward Den has 4 contenders and 2 less than teams left and KC has 3 contenders and 4 less than. They play again in week 17  

With that said I’m not betting the game. I lean KC -3.5. 

I haven’t had a play in 3 weeks and I’m squeezing my discipline as hard as I can. Wanted to throw out some thoughts to pacify myself. 

@Knollywood100

 Don’t mean to jinx. Live and let live. 

Football season doesn’t really start until week 12 and KC is a notch or so behind. They (and Balt) are teams I wouldn’t want to play right now. 

@NoFlyZone

 KC  no brainer

@emchu

 Ditto 

2-1

Phil  -2.5  2 units 

Minn hasn’t proved themselves this season. The schedule has leaned in their favor. They done good against ‘less than’ teams but not so much against contenders. They’re in a bad luck spot sandwiched between the Eagles 2 meetings against NYG and NYG won the first one. Their schedule has flipped on them. After this one they have a short week trip to LAC then to DET. After wk 9 we will all have a good idea what the Vikes are all about. 

Phil is a big dog. They had a brutal opening schedule. 2 div rivals (they all hate each other with passion in that div) and 4 ‘big’ contenders. Getting through that stretch 4-2 is commendable. They’re in a down trend but teams of this caliber don’t stay down long. That’s why they are ‘of this caliber’. 

I’m not going 2 units because I think Phil will walk away with it. I bet on them last week and they lost. Classic ‘keep doubling up till they win’ because they will win again. 

2-0

Chargers  -4

If any team could use a bye this week it’s LAC. Playing Mia is pretty well the next best option  

The Dolphins are mediocre. They lost to 3 contenders as expected, but, they lost those games by a combined 7 scores. Good indication of how far back in the ‘also ran’ pack they are. Their other loss was to a team of comparable class and the team they beat is currently standing @ ankle deep in the NFL ‘shit pit’. 

The Chargers are contenders. Any advantage they gained by sweeping their div evaporated with losses to Gia and Wash.          They are not looking past this game, they need it to keep pace and with Indy and Minn on the immediate horizon this game takes on a little more importance.

Packers need a break. 

I have experienced turf toe. It is not a minor injury.

Why bet this game? It’s hard enough to figure crap out and the line starts moving big. 

There is stuff going on beyond our knowledge capacity. 

Leave skid marks. Plenty other games. 

Thursday night. High line. 

@wallstreetcappers

 First 4 games? Now they have Minnesota in England and then in Pitt. Both are in the playoff hunt.

They never had a chance with any QB on their roster. 

I think you got to the right decision. Not sure about following ats records. 

Cinc has a lot of problems. Deeper than missing qb. 

Den stock is dropping. They go to philly next week then the Jets in England. They need this game and they know it.