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Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 59.5% chance to win. Los Angeles has a record of 69-49 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -147 on the moneyline. LA is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road. The Dodgers are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games overall. Dunkel's Pick; LA Dodgers (-146) & UN 7 |
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The Ravens enter this matchup as one of the NFL’s most complete teams — boasting a top-five defense and a balanced offensive attack led by Lamar Jackson. Baltimore’s run game, paired with its efficient third-down execution, allows them to dictate tempo and wear down opponents over four quarters. Miami’s offense, while dangerous at home, has struggled to sustain drives against physical, press-heavy defenses like Baltimore’s. The Ravens’ secondary has the athleticism to limit Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, while their front seven should generate enough pressure to disrupt Tua Tagovailoa’s rhythm. Unless Miami finds success running the ball early, this one could tilt quickly toward Baltimore. Expect the Ravens to control possession and pull away late with a couple of short-field touchdowns. Final Score Prediction: |
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The implied probability of a win by the Dolphins based on the moneyline is 22.7%. Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the AFC North Division. Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games. Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games. Dunkel's Pick: Miami (+7.5) |
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LAD 1ST 5 -0.5 -135 |
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By Sean Zerillo I modeled the Dodgers as -205 favorites for the first five innings (F5) and -187 favorites for the full game on Wednesday; and as a result, I don't project value on either side of the moneyline in either half of Game 5. However, I projected the total at 8.5 runs, and I would bet Over 7.5 to 8 at -110. FanDuel opened its total exactly at that price target before moving down to 7.5, after the remainder of the market opened at 7.5 (-115), but the juice has started to move toward -120 as of writing. First pitch temperatures should be in the high 80s (near 87 degrees) with the weather remaining warm into the late innings (78 degrees at 8 p.m. local) as these shaky bullpens enter the fray. |
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The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 36.9?cording to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 48 times (57.8%) in those games. Toronto is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the National League West Division. Dunkel's Pick: Toronto (+172) |
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GOING ON TOR +1.5 GAME 4 |
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Sides and Totals
Game 4 Player Props
Series Props and Futures
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The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. Los Angeles has a record of 39-21, a 65% win rate, when favored by -192 or more by sportsbooks this season. Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers. LA is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: LA Dodgers (-199) |
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Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 87.1%. Kansas City is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home. Washington is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games against Kansas City. Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games. Dunkel's Pick: Kansas City (-10.5) |
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The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. This season Los Angeles has won 37 of its 52 games, or 71.2%, when favored by at least -201 on the moneyline. Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers. LA is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games. Dunkel's Pick: LA Dodgers (-201) |
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The implied probability of a win by the Cowboys based on the moneyline is 39.4%. This season, the Cowboys have won one out of the three games in which they've been the underdog.Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games. Dallas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games played in October. Dunkel's Pick: Dallas (+3.5) |
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The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win. The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (58.8%) in those contests. Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Toronto (+117) |
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The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win. The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (58.2%) in those contests. Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Toronto (+131) |
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The Hilltoppers have a 40.0% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. Western Kentucky is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games against an opponent in the Conference USA. Louisiana Tech is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games played in October. Western Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games. Dunkel's Pick: Western Kentucky (+3.5) |
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The Chargers have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.8% in this contest. The Chargers have a record of 3-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter (60%). LA is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games played in October. Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against LA. Dunkel's Pick: Minnesota (+3) |
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The moneyline for this contest implies a 29.9% chance of a victory for Houston. Last season, Houston was the underdog 28 times and won 11, or 39.3%, of those games. Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Oklahoma City. Dunkel's Pick: Houston (+7.5) |
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The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 49?cording to the moneyline set for this matchup. This season, Seattle has been victorious 17 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline. Seattle is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the American League. Dunkel's Pick: Seattle (+112) |
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The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 25.0% chance of a victory for the Giants. Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games played in week 7. The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Dunkel's Pick: NY Giants (+7) |
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Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 49% chance of pulling out a win. The Mariners have been underdogs in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (52.8%) in those contests. Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road. Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle. Dunkel's Pick: Seattle (+104) |
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