Oviewan

5-1-1???

Respect the spread!

One more post for TGZ.....I'm on your side, I'm not the dealer.....ha.

I just posted this in NCAAF.

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7 games in NCAAF have spreads under or around 3 Saturday with "ranked teams" where the higher seed is either a dog or not much of a favorite. 

Analysis would tell you that the higher ranked teams statistics would suggest they win.

Why are the spreads so low for the higher ranked team or why is UN-ranked team favored?

#8 Alabama -3 #14 Missouri

#6 Oklahoma - 1 1/2 Texas (unranked)

#2  Iowa State - 2 1/2 Colorado (unranked)

#10 Georgia -3 Auburn (unranked)

(unranked) USC -2 1/2 #15 Michigan

#18 BYU - 1 1/2 Arizona (unranked)

(unranked) Utah - 5 1/2 #21 Arizona State

7 Plays

Missouri +3

Texas +1 1/2

Colorado +2 1/2

Auburn +3

USC (ml)

Arizona +1 1/2

Utah -5 1/2  

I here you get Carter. Why are we posting?? Ha. I just hate the time people spend to figure things out.

7 games in NCAAF have spreads under or around 3 Saturday with "ranked teams" where the higher seed is either a dog or not much of a favorite. 

Analysis would tell you that the higher ranked teams statistics would suggest they win.

Why are the spreads so low for the higher ranked team or why is UN-ranked team favored?

#8 Alabama -3 #14 Missouri

#6 Oklahoma - 1 1/2 Texas (unranked)

#2  Iowa State - 2 1/2 Colorado (unranked)

#10 Georgia -3 Auburn (unranked)

(unranked) USC -2 1/2 #15 Michigan

#18 BYU - 1 1/2 Arizona (unranked)

(unranked) Utah - 5 1/2 #21 Arizona State

7 Plays

Missouri +3

Texas +1 1/2

Colorado +2 1/2

Auburn +3

USC (ml)

Arizona +1 1/2

Utah -5 1/2  

I am 60 years old. Not even sure how you wrapped me into this. I lived in Vegas for 10 years. I have gambled on sports my entire life. I am hardly clueless to this world. The Casinos always win. Once you figure out what side is the best analysis let me know I will take the other side and win more often. Obviously they want action on both sides. No one can make a living off sports gambling. Keep your analysis going if it makes you feel bettor.

6 games in NCAAF have spreads under or around 3 Saturday with ranked teams where the higher seed is either a dog or not much of a favorite. That's how I play games. Your analysis would tell you that the higher ranked teams statistics would suggest they win. My theory is to play the point spread. Why are the spreads so low or the higher ranked team favored?? 

Philly +3 (At - a full TD, coming off a loss, expected to win this divisional game)  

Philly/Giants UNDER 50 1/2  (currently at 40 1/2 expected to be a low scoring game. Lets add 10 points to that total)

South Florida + 11 1/2 (As a ranked underdog, surely North Texas can't win by double digits)

 $ 185.00 at -120 to pay $340.00

Divisional Nationally televised game and off a loss as a 7 point favorite. Lets expect Philly to win the game and make them a dog.

Vegas making this total tonight at 40 1/2 is expecting a low scoring game. Adding 10 more to that and going Under. 

Win tonight and roll on to tomorrow expecting the ranked team as a dog making it double digits expecting them not to get blown out by North Texas.

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1st Post WINNER

Patriots +17 1/2 (2 TD's, FG and the hook) Come on now. WON

Pats/Bills OVER 39 1/2 (currently 49 1/2 and juiced to the OVER) Certainly we can reach 40 together. WON

Chiefs/Jags OVER 35 1/2 (17 to 17 gets us there and to bed early) WON

 $ 287.00 to pay $ 527.00 = (WON $ 240.00)

I played at this post:

You are right. and every football game lands right on that spread. Amazing the accuracy.

Just shows you what a waste of time it is. Not that it's correct, its that it doesn't matter. 

Just like it's fixed when you lose. It's a crap shoot but you keep doing your Data and analysis.

We all have access to the same shit. 

Anyway have fun.

CLEVELAND to the Bank. Ha. Move that number to for me.

Waste of time.

You win more than you lose based on what team has more yardage on punt returns and where the defense is ranked compared to the other team, etc.

Not to argue anymore but you win more than you lose? 

Like I said it's called a point spread. Have fun doing all your homework. Vegas all ready did it.

Anyone....Bueller, Bueller, Bueller.

What professional bettors?

Can't even listen anymore to any of the shows. They all have a bet now.

The so called professional bettors have their own analysis also to make you think they know something and then they lose.

There are no professional bettors anymore. You can't make a living off this shit.

Besides why do analysis? Vegas all ready did it for you it's called a point spread.....duh. 

Sorry - but that data never matters when betting on sports.

Ranking defenses against offenses and all that info is a waste of time.

Sorry but if that's what makes you feel like you are making the correct play.

Data Projections oh brother

Thanks Kapthat should be Tapthat with that pic.....

Philly +3 (At - a full TD, coming off a loss, expected to win this divisional game) 

Philly/Giants UNDER 50 1/2  (currently at 40 1/2 expected to be a low scoring game. Lets add 10 points to that total)

South Florida + 11 1/2 (As a ranked underdog, surely North Texas can't win by double digits)

 $ 185.00 at -120 to pay $340.00

Divisional Nationally televised game and off a loss as a 7 point favorite. Lets expect Philly to win the game and make them a dog.

Vegas making this total tonight at 40 1/2 is expecting a low scoring game. Adding 10 more to that and going Under. 

Win tonight and roll on to tomorrow expecting the ranked team as a dog making it double digits expecting them not to get blown out by North Texas.

____________________________________________________________________________

1st Post WINNER

Patriots +17 1/2 (2 TD's, FG and the hook) Come on now. WON

Pats/Bills OVER 39 1/2 (currently 49 1/2 and juiced to the OVER) Certainly we can reach 40 together. WON

Chiefs/Jags OVER 35 1/2 (17 to 17 gets us there and to bed early) WON

 $ 287.00 to pay $ 527.00 = (WON $ 240.00)

3-0 to bed early as predicted. Night all.

Patriots +17 1/2 (2 TD's, FG and the hook) Come on now. 

Pats/Bills OVER 39 1/2 (currently 49 1/2 and juiced to the OVER) Certainly we can reach 40 together.

Chiefs/Jags OVER 35 1/2 (17 to 17 gets us there and to bed early)

$ 287.00 to pay $ 527.00 = (win $ 240.00)

Win both tonight and have a play still for tomorrow.

Lose tonight and deserve to take tomorrow off.

Certainly looks good before the games begin.

Surprised not much love.

To bed early just as predicted before the end of the 3rd quarter.

Have fun sweating out your winners.

3-0 $ 527.00 

Thank you. 

Tonight we are still IN with the OVER 35 1/2 for our MNF Play.

Hoping for a 17-17 score at some point to hit the pillow early as a Winner.

At -120 our $ 287.00 will turn into $ 527.00.

Yes Sir....see you tomorrow night!

Patriots +17 1/2 (2 TD's, FG and the hook) Come on now.

Pats/Bills OVER 39 1/2 (currently 49 1/2 and juiced to the OVER) Certainly we can reach 40 together.

Chiefs/Jags OVER 35 1/2 (17 to 17 gets us there and to bed early)

$ 287.00 to pay $ 527.00 = (win $ 240.00)

Win both tonight and have a play still for tomorrow.

Lose tonight and deserve to take tomorrow off.

Certainly looks good before the games begin.