NFL WEEK 10 .............................2025

Beautiful ..................

Public dogs = kiss of death ........ 5-12

That works out perfect for my plays .

Thanks for posting that info............

One guy did report Lions biggest public play this week and your info does the same .......

According to PR II Colts did outplay Falcons and should of won by 6.45 pts.

Colts pounded Falcons in run game with over 300 yds rushing.

Colts pounded Falcons in total yards with over 500 total yards to less then 300 for Falcons.

Colts won ave gain per play big.

But ave per pass closer but Colts still won.

Colts were leading in ave per pass through 4th quarter untill last drive they got FG to tie then their ave per pass fell below Falcons.

But in OT Falcons dropped  from about 6 to 4.8.

Colts lost TO battle, lost penalties battle and sack battle as Colts get pounded again giving up 7 sacks a big problem last week VS Steelers.

I think it was a 14 yd sack at the end of regulation cause Colts to kick FG instead of scoring the TD to win in regulation and dropped their ave per pass below Falcons. 

We need to watch this in future games.

Danny Dimes did have a pretty high ave per pass but when adding in the 7 sacks dropped  to 5.9 which is below average.

Colts now off 2 ATS losses might be time to start taking a look at backing the Colts.

Another thing about the Colts.......

Total yds margin 1st half of season ........40 yds

2cd half Colts beating that pretty good. So they are at this point anyways peaking in the 2cd half which is what SB winners do.

Not that I think they'll  win SB but just saying.

Wait.......what's  this ......... Saints up 10-7......

As of now it is all dogs thus far in the early going.

What do we have here people......7 dogs leading at halftime out of 7 games.

Crazy but true ..............

GL  on your plays woof! woof! @theclaw 

Week --- 1-2, lost 1.45 units

Son of a gun, both Wash and Zona got rolled pretty good.

At one point Saehawks had 38 pts on only 35 plays run. More pts then plays run, crazy.

Next week we have the big showdown Seahawks VS Rams for the division lead.

Will have a play on Wash again next week and it sets up pretty nice with Dolphins off a big win VS Division rival Bills.

Seahawks will have a big  improvement in pts per plays margin I'd think this week . But not very likely sustainable over the long run.

Bounce Factor goes to 7-2 ATS

My other system with a loss on fading Seahawks goes to 6-6 ATS. And is now off back-to-back weeks with  losing record.

1st time this year and did not happen once last year. These are good soots to back this method. Some of the best records this method produces in a given year come in this spot.

This method will likely go on a nice run at some point if history is any indication.

Thanks Mac .............

Looking forward to your picks for week 11 

@theclaw

You have been on a roll recently, TC.  This is just a minor setback.

Week 11 should be better.

@theclaw

 Yes… I played them 2 weeks in a row… and not this week… I’m officially off the saints for rest of year… they zig when I zag…  something tells me Carolina’s offense played a part.  Their offensive stats were rather …offensive 

Next week looks like a number of strong plays . I will be upping my plays to 2 units on 2 games .

Could be a make ot break week.

Yes sometimes chasing a team to many games is frustrating when they keep losing ..........

Saints really dominated that game. Panthers didn't show up.

Tyler Shou crushed Byrce like 8.5 yds per pass to Byrce pathetic 3.8 . Where did all that come from ?

I think you nailed it Panthers were offensive for sure.

Looking at who might be the best team I'd have to side with the info I posted on each division with top 2 good teams.

Rams and Seahawks.

Looking at Seahawks Ave per pass attempt  margin I am astounded.

8.2 - 5.2 = 4 yards, oh my goodness 

Being over 2 yards is a strong year, being over 3 yards is rare. But 4 yards, never seen it that I can remember. 

But Rams seemed like the more balanced overall team and I think Seahawks are more in the "not sustainable"  territory then the Rams.

Still alot of football left....... one of these teams likely steps up.

I do have futures on Seahawks to win the division with nice odds, hoping they get it done but not sure they will.

@theclaw

 Sensing a Seahawks fade next week, which doesn’t bode well for our division winner future (tailed you on that). 

Great call on the Saints. They were certainly due. 

Watched part of rams/niners game… and stafford was playing a 7 on 7 type situation… he had all day…if you are going off this game… I do think one of these teams… rams or Seattle could represent NFC in bowl.   Honestly.. it would be great to me for the Seattle QB to go to Super Bowl…. He’s had a rough nfl career … be a very nice job well done patch for him.  I remember that draft… my friend was lifelong Cleveland fan… they had first and 4th picks… I said… take saquon with first pick.. then you get either Darnold or j Allen or mayfield … they took mayfield and the safety… while j Allen was considered last in that list at the time… but all 4 of those guys have turned out to be very good… not initially… but they are a very good class imo.    Ok… that’s all I got.   Appreciate your time n efforts claw… deer rut going now… time to be in the woods.  ????