NFL WEEK 10 .............................2025

My Other System  ............6-5 ATS

Zona +7.5 (-120) over Seahawks --- 1.2 units

we have a fade on Seahawhs

Power Rating II Bounce Factor ...............9-4 ATS

Saints +5.5 over Panthers --- 1.1 units

Saints in the 2cd game of the regression method.

Teams in games 2 & 3 are 2-1 ATS

Saints are in a unquie spot, coming off a beat-down they re-qualify as a PR BF Play on team.

Generally these are very good spots. Have to take it. Saints day is coming .............

these look like the best lines I could get. Based on lines and line movements in my other books.

Good luck Claw.  

Early dis week !!

@theclaw

 Yes sir…. Gonna have to see one first on the saints.   Just don’t think those making decisions… qb and coach… are nfl caliber.     Other than that… appreciate your analysis… did me well Sunday.    

Yes catching the best lines I hope anyway .......

Saints look pretty pathetic for sure ................

How bout those Titans ? ............maybe this will be Saints next week.

At least they have a more beatable opponent this week. And off a big upset win, they must be feeling pretty good about themselves.

Seahawks rolled Wash, Darnold was spectacular. And they keep my futures play for a division title alive.

Rams playing 9ers and only -3.5 favorite possible upset in the making ??

Good luck.

Do you still like ARZ after that big road dog win vs. a DIV rival?  That big upset was preceded by 5 losses, so maybe ARZ could continue positive regression even off a huge effort.

Currently there is no ARZ-SEA line at Heritage, but Scores and Odds has SEA at only +6.5.  Congratulations on grabbing a great line; is +6.5 still worth a wager?

I have several queries that like NO and NONE that like CAR, so I am on board.

Yes +7.5 looks like a great line as of this morning.

I had no thoughts on the game but had Zona won especially  by 10 or 14 which is possible then no possibility I could get +7.5.

And maybe not even +7 and that is what happened.

All 4 of my books line is +6.5 but juiced for Seahawks which means at this time line is more likely to go up.

I'd wait keep an eye on line try to get +7 but I have a fade on Seahawks so I'd take Zona at +6.5 or even +6 .

Do your best to try and get the best line you can.

That's awesome news dog on Saints.

Line was +5 or even +4.5 at my books with only 1 book at +5.5, that is why I took the +5.5 early.

Seems the line was going down not up but this morning each book is +5.5 . So now I'd wait and try for 6. Or 6.5 depending.  Doubt it gets to 7 but you never know.

I did see guys on you tube talking this morning take Panthers in survivor. Oh boy ............. just say no !!

The Saints are bound to win again in the 2025 season but who has the testicular fortitude to bet them? 

@theclaw

 you like Seattle In survivor or see a possible upset ?  TIA

@theclaw

 So Saints have two more games to cover, but they have a bye next week. How does that affect the system if they don't cover this week? 

@theclaw

 BOL this week, great info  

Yes I can feel the pain of playing on them. But in the long run it is the right play according to my Power Ratings BF...............

Bye week don't affect things, 2 more games I will back Saints unless they cover this week ..............

Well, any time the dog covers they have a chance to win SU, I am not sure if Zona can win SU but if the game is close then luck plays a bigger role down the stretch..

It could be Zona with a late TD and backdoor cover as well then they may not be close at the end.

It is difficult  to say whether Zona wins SU as the method does not predict that. Seahawks likely win more then 50% of the time  but they wont win not as often as the line would suggest...........

Think about this ..........

Panthers 5-4 but with a (-3.9) margin of victory.

A 4-4 or 5-5 team should be around 0. So a 5-4 teams should be above 0.

And Panthers rank 26th in pts per plays margin (-.101) but have a winning record.

A 26th ranked team  who is now a 5.5 favorite, OK makes alot of sense, just say no !!!!