Going the upset they smashed what's the matter last week the raiders were also carving up last week tough at home but I'm going the upset in a tight battle..
The mighty eagles:!!!!! The modern era's greatest and fierced rivalry the mighty eagles will want to prove a point after last week and what better way than to beat the arch enemy a great game in store come on boys rip into em!!!!!!!
Bulldogs!!!!! They look like they have turned the corner should be too strong here for the bunnies.
Tiger frollics!!!!!
This is my dud game of the round could not care less who wins but if pushed to choose than I'll go the tigers because I despise what's the matter parramatta eeeeeewwwww!!!!!!!!
Cowboys!!!!!! Yes the dragon Queen's are favourites but I have a hunch that there winning streak may come to an end here the cows will have nothing to lose and this could be where the drags go for a slide. no thurston.. no win
Going the upset they smashed what's the matter last week the raiders were also carving up last week tough at home but I'm going the upset in a tight battle..
The mighty eagles:!!!!! The modern era's greatest and fierced rivalry the mighty eagles will want to prove a point after last week and what better way than to beat the arch enemy a great game in store come on boys rip into em!!!!!!!
Bulldogs!!!!! They look like they have turned the corner should be too strong here for the bunnies.
Tiger frollics!!!!!
This is my dud game of the round could not care less who wins but if pushed to choose than I'll go the tigers because I despise what's the matter parramatta eeeeeewwwww!!!!!!!!
Cowboys!!!!!! Yes the dragon Queen's are favourites but I have a hunch that there winning streak may come to an end here the cows will have nothing to lose and this could be where the drags go for a slide. no thurston.. no win
Weather forecasts aside I must admit that my first thought was to go with the plus handicap given the Sunwolves have been delivering for “plus backers” in recent weeks but with the quality of the Crusaders in mind, the stake is conservative.
Weather forecasts aside I must admit that my first thought was to go with the plus handicap given the Sunwolves have been delivering for “plus backers” in recent weeks but with the quality of the Crusaders in mind, the stake is conservative.
Kings may be a harder fixture for a clueless Reds team based on last games of both. Reds by 7. Chiefs are playing with great style and speed. If they don’t rest Mckenzie or Lowe then I say Chiefs by 25. Bulls are starting to throw ball around a bit more but still too obvious. Bookies are undecided and I think Jags may run Bulls off their feet. Jags aren’t intimidated by force up front and all their backs love to run and offload. When I see the teams I may go Jags. You don’t get that luxury.
I really, really want the Kings to beat the Reds, just to prove to SANZAAR that they should be culling two or three Australian teams, and ZERO South African teams.
just helping guys.. thats all..
end of the day you dicide and its your money... dont follow anyone here...
Kings may be a harder fixture for a clueless Reds team based on last games of both. Reds by 7. Chiefs are playing with great style and speed. If they don’t rest Mckenzie or Lowe then I say Chiefs by 25. Bulls are starting to throw ball around a bit more but still too obvious. Bookies are undecided and I think Jags may run Bulls off their feet. Jags aren’t intimidated by force up front and all their backs love to run and offload. When I see the teams I may go Jags. You don’t get that luxury.
I really, really want the Kings to beat the Reds, just to prove to SANZAAR that they should be culling two or three Australian teams, and ZERO South African teams.
just helping guys.. thats all..
end of the day you dicide and its your money... dont follow anyone here...
What do you guys think of Sunwolves over 16.5 @ 1.90.
I was looking at the points but it seems about right and Im not sure about the total of 70. However in 6 games this year the Sunwolves have never scored less than 17 points. In fact they average 24 points per game and 3 trys per game.
From watching them their attack has spark, their defense is what will let them down they will get physically dominated by the crusaders. But I think with the win last week and their general play over the last couple of weeks they can dot down at least 2 times in this game.
What do you guys think of Sunwolves over 16.5 @ 1.90.
I was looking at the points but it seems about right and Im not sure about the total of 70. However in 6 games this year the Sunwolves have never scored less than 17 points. In fact they average 24 points per game and 3 trys per game.
From watching them their attack has spark, their defense is what will let them down they will get physically dominated by the crusaders. But I think with the win last week and their general play over the last couple of weeks they can dot down at least 2 times in this game.
I am going pretty hard on the Harlequins on Aviva tomorrow (odd is currently dropping fast), this team loves the Friday night game at the Stoop which will be packed. Big names are back and both pack and backline look strong to me. Chiefs are forced to rotate several key players such as JN, Waldroom or even CD on the bench and they are not in an amazing form recently. The Quins need a win to stay in the ERC race, I think they will do the job.
Betting Angle
Jaguares have had things their own way in home fixtures but they have battled to a large degree in South Africa, winning twice, once at the Cheetahs in their maiden appearance in 2016 and the other at the Kings early in the current campaign.
Like a stock exchange price that has been plummeting the key to the Bulls would seem to be finding the bottom and I’m glad a holiday led to me missing last weeks debacle in Tokyo. Scratching around for positives the Bulls have played just the one home game, admittedly it was a very average showing and much more would be needed to win this but the major rollicking that has reportedly being dished out could spark the sort of reaction that sees off Jaguares who are proving hard to win with on South African soil.
Bet. 3 units Bulls win
According to Metservice the rain stops about midday tomorrow so it won't rain during the game. Not sure how quick the field will dry up though. Should be wet underfoot. Wind picks up a bit during the afternoon and evening though.
Sunwolves made 8 changes, but two of those strengthen their team imo. The two players being Ad Quirck and Yu Tamura. Not sure it will be enough though. Also fancy the Crusaders.
I like Couch's Saders to win to nil. Just need the Crusaders to score two tries before the Wolves have a chance to kick at goal and the bet will be a runner. Anyone know who else offer that market, except WSB?
I am going pretty hard on the Harlequins on Aviva tomorrow (odd is currently dropping fast), this team loves the Friday night game at the Stoop which will be packed. Big names are back and both pack and backline look strong to me. Chiefs are forced to rotate several key players such as JN, Waldroom or even CD on the bench and they are not in an amazing form recently. The Quins need a win to stay in the ERC race, I think they will do the job.
Betting Angle
Jaguares have had things their own way in home fixtures but they have battled to a large degree in South Africa, winning twice, once at the Cheetahs in their maiden appearance in 2016 and the other at the Kings early in the current campaign.
Like a stock exchange price that has been plummeting the key to the Bulls would seem to be finding the bottom and I’m glad a holiday led to me missing last weeks debacle in Tokyo. Scratching around for positives the Bulls have played just the one home game, admittedly it was a very average showing and much more would be needed to win this but the major rollicking that has reportedly being dished out could spark the sort of reaction that sees off Jaguares who are proving hard to win with on South African soil.
Bet. 3 units Bulls win
According to Metservice the rain stops about midday tomorrow so it won't rain during the game. Not sure how quick the field will dry up though. Should be wet underfoot. Wind picks up a bit during the afternoon and evening though.
Sunwolves made 8 changes, but two of those strengthen their team imo. The two players being Ad Quirck and Yu Tamura. Not sure it will be enough though. Also fancy the Crusaders.
I like Couch's Saders to win to nil. Just need the Crusaders to score two tries before the Wolves have a chance to kick at goal and the bet will be a runner. Anyone know who else offer that market, except WSB?
Bulldogs - Yes, the Bunnies did knock off the Panthers last week but Penrith were a bit under-manned weren’t they? Not sure if they have what it takes to knock off a team that’s beaten the Broncos and an improved Knights. This might be close though but I’m still thinking the Doggies should be able to cover this one.
Bulldogs - Yes, the Bunnies did knock off the Panthers last week but Penrith were a bit under-manned weren’t they? Not sure if they have what it takes to knock off a team that’s beaten the Broncos and an improved Knights. This might be close though but I’m still thinking the Doggies should be able to cover this one.
Both sides are coming back to their home ground after losses on interstate trips in round 3. North could consider themselves unlucky in round 2 against Geelong though their effort after 3 quarter time last week cannot be excused. Brad Scott and his men will need to put that quarter of football behind them and find another gear to get over the Premiers this week. They have a great record of 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against the Dogs and if they can keep the ball away from the Dogs midfield they are in with a chance of getting the 4 points. If the Roos are to cause an upset here, they will need to keep the total low as a shoot-out will favour the fast paced Dogs offence. The Dogs are coming back from Perth with their tail between their legs, losing to a Fremantle side who were currently win-less for season 2017. They return to Etihad where they have won 7 of their past 9 and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against all opponents. Only 3 of the past 16 matches the Dogs have played at Etihad has gone over the game total, so the Wolf will be expecting a low scoring affair here.
Both sides are coming back to their home ground after losses on interstate trips in round 3. North could consider themselves unlucky in round 2 against Geelong though their effort after 3 quarter time last week cannot be excused. Brad Scott and his men will need to put that quarter of football behind them and find another gear to get over the Premiers this week. They have a great record of 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against the Dogs and if they can keep the ball away from the Dogs midfield they are in with a chance of getting the 4 points. If the Roos are to cause an upset here, they will need to keep the total low as a shoot-out will favour the fast paced Dogs offence. The Dogs are coming back from Perth with their tail between their legs, losing to a Fremantle side who were currently win-less for season 2017. They return to Etihad where they have won 7 of their past 9 and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against all opponents. Only 3 of the past 16 matches the Dogs have played at Etihad has gone over the game total, so the Wolf will be expecting a low scoring affair here.
Hay Brent, it's Brent from Christchurch here. Just a heads up on the weather here. It's 3 & half hours to kick off and the weather is fine now and no wind to speak of. Crusaders have a strong team this week so I'm going for the minus cap. Thanks for your fantastic forum, I really enjoy reading it. Good luck everyone this weekend.
Have gone a small punt on CRUS -18.5/CRUS -38.5 paying $2.75
Hay Brent, it's Brent from Christchurch here. Just a heads up on the weather here. It's 3 & half hours to kick off and the weather is fine now and no wind to speak of. Crusaders have a strong team this week so I'm going for the minus cap. Thanks for your fantastic forum, I really enjoy reading it. Good luck everyone this weekend.
Have gone a small punt on CRUS -18.5/CRUS -38.5 paying $2.75
It's only taken 7 weeks but the Reds and Rebels are both fielding their best teams finally!
No over the hill Stephen Moore and no horrid Nick Frisby for the Reds. Quade Cooper back from suspension. Tuttle/Cooper combo looked really dangerous in the short time they played together in week 1 vs Sharks (Quade set up that Tuttle game winning try). Think they should score 40+ here, Kings will probably score 20+ as well. I'm going for over 7.5 tries @ 1.75.
For the Rebels finally no horrid JGB @ 10! Everyone could see this guy is not cut out for Rugby at this level after week 1, hell most people could have told you this after his woeful Mitre 10 cup career...anyway finally the dangerous Jack Debreczeni returns to 10.
It sounds strange to say but I believe the Rebels cap is way too big and in fact I think they'll win...If you actually look at the team it's got the right balance and combos. Timani/Faingaa/Mafi is a very good loose trio. After wasting Timani @ lock early in the season then missing through injury he gets to play where he is best in the loose trio, him and Mafi will get them over the gainline all night and Mafi will make a million tackles, Faingaa will have free roam to steal ball.
The real exciting part is the backline which actually looks like the best backline in aus on paper...
Stirzaker/Debreczeni proven combo, Mitch Inman back from injury, Tom English one of their few form players, Hodge, Koroibete, Naivalu back 3 looks very dangerous.
Of course it is the Rebels and I could be very wrong but it does look a much better team to me. The Brumbies have had an easy schedule so far where as the Rebels have probably had the hardest schedule.
Brumbies played Saders week 1 (lots of new combos), Sharks @ home (lost), Force @ home, Tahs without Foley, Landers @ home with half the team injured (lost), Reds @ home without Quade/Hunt.
4/6 games at home and fortunate to play some banged up teams...it's pretty clear that Reds without Quade are a joke, McIntyre is a woefully inadequate player who probably won't be around much longer, same as Bryce Hegarty for the Tahs (playing 10 anyway).
I'm all over Rebels +9.5.
Also how bout Stormers/Lions over 52.5...is that a joke?! I did a little basic math and both teams have higher than average attack, Stormers have an average defense (literally) and Lions a little below.
I took the median points for/against for each team and also did the same for all the opponents they've played this season then divided the numbers to get a % with 1.00 being average
Here are the numbers
stormers for 39 against 24.5
lions for 37 against 27
stormers opp for 22, 30.5, 22.5, 22, 27.5, 26.5 (24.5) against 31, 21, 40, 37.5, 34.5, 16.5 (32.75)
stormers attack 1.19 defense 1.00
lions opp for 27.5, 22, 30.5, 15, 22.5, 27 (24.75) against 34.5, 37, 21, 26, 40, 22 (30.25)
It's only taken 7 weeks but the Reds and Rebels are both fielding their best teams finally!
No over the hill Stephen Moore and no horrid Nick Frisby for the Reds. Quade Cooper back from suspension. Tuttle/Cooper combo looked really dangerous in the short time they played together in week 1 vs Sharks (Quade set up that Tuttle game winning try). Think they should score 40+ here, Kings will probably score 20+ as well. I'm going for over 7.5 tries @ 1.75.
For the Rebels finally no horrid JGB @ 10! Everyone could see this guy is not cut out for Rugby at this level after week 1, hell most people could have told you this after his woeful Mitre 10 cup career...anyway finally the dangerous Jack Debreczeni returns to 10.
It sounds strange to say but I believe the Rebels cap is way too big and in fact I think they'll win...If you actually look at the team it's got the right balance and combos. Timani/Faingaa/Mafi is a very good loose trio. After wasting Timani @ lock early in the season then missing through injury he gets to play where he is best in the loose trio, him and Mafi will get them over the gainline all night and Mafi will make a million tackles, Faingaa will have free roam to steal ball.
The real exciting part is the backline which actually looks like the best backline in aus on paper...
Stirzaker/Debreczeni proven combo, Mitch Inman back from injury, Tom English one of their few form players, Hodge, Koroibete, Naivalu back 3 looks very dangerous.
Of course it is the Rebels and I could be very wrong but it does look a much better team to me. The Brumbies have had an easy schedule so far where as the Rebels have probably had the hardest schedule.
Brumbies played Saders week 1 (lots of new combos), Sharks @ home (lost), Force @ home, Tahs without Foley, Landers @ home with half the team injured (lost), Reds @ home without Quade/Hunt.
4/6 games at home and fortunate to play some banged up teams...it's pretty clear that Reds without Quade are a joke, McIntyre is a woefully inadequate player who probably won't be around much longer, same as Bryce Hegarty for the Tahs (playing 10 anyway).
I'm all over Rebels +9.5.
Also how bout Stormers/Lions over 52.5...is that a joke?! I did a little basic math and both teams have higher than average attack, Stormers have an average defense (literally) and Lions a little below.
I took the median points for/against for each team and also did the same for all the opponents they've played this season then divided the numbers to get a % with 1.00 being average
Here are the numbers
stormers for 39 against 24.5
lions for 37 against 27
stormers opp for 22, 30.5, 22.5, 22, 27.5, 26.5 (24.5) against 31, 21, 40, 37.5, 34.5, 16.5 (32.75)
stormers attack 1.19 defense 1.00
lions opp for 27.5, 22, 30.5, 15, 22.5, 27 (24.75) against 34.5, 37, 21, 26, 40, 22 (30.25)
Raiders by 14- Raiders have too many points in them compared to the Sea Eagles. Plus, there defence has improved immensely although Manly's attack has improved immensely. But, I think that the Raiders will win in a high-scoring affair.
Broncos by 8- Broncos just have more class than the Rabbitohs and will show it here by scoring the win. Though I think that the Rabbitohs will be gutsy but won't come away with the win.
Eels by 2- Panthers will get the wins that they dearly need. But, it won't come in this one, Parra to win in a classic.
Cowboys by 8- From what I saw in the second half from the Cowboys with all those players out, they proved that they can hang in there and still play with plenty of spirit. This will get them over the line over a valiant Knights side.
Sharks by 8- Titans will hang in this game as they have throughout the season but Sharks will be too good here at home to continue on their form.
Bulldogs by 10- Not sure if Moses is playing in this one. If he isn't though, it could have a big effect on their preparation and could possibly make plenty of changes which may not help. Bulldogs on the other hand, are in good form and will continue on with it with a win over the Tigers here.
Dragons by 4- Geez, that second half against the Cowboys. Let's hope it teached us a big lesson. At least we were good enough to hang on in this one. We've got to be more than good to hang on against the Roosters. We've got to play the full 80 in this one, not one half. I think that we did learn our lessen from that second half against the Cowboys and win in yet another ANZAC day classic.
Storm by 20- Storm to win convincingly over the Warriors here.
Raiders by 14- Raiders have too many points in them compared to the Sea Eagles. Plus, there defence has improved immensely although Manly's attack has improved immensely. But, I think that the Raiders will win in a high-scoring affair.
Broncos by 8- Broncos just have more class than the Rabbitohs and will show it here by scoring the win. Though I think that the Rabbitohs will be gutsy but won't come away with the win.
Eels by 2- Panthers will get the wins that they dearly need. But, it won't come in this one, Parra to win in a classic.
Cowboys by 8- From what I saw in the second half from the Cowboys with all those players out, they proved that they can hang in there and still play with plenty of spirit. This will get them over the line over a valiant Knights side.
Sharks by 8- Titans will hang in this game as they have throughout the season but Sharks will be too good here at home to continue on their form.
Bulldogs by 10- Not sure if Moses is playing in this one. If he isn't though, it could have a big effect on their preparation and could possibly make plenty of changes which may not help. Bulldogs on the other hand, are in good form and will continue on with it with a win over the Tigers here.
Dragons by 4- Geez, that second half against the Cowboys. Let's hope it teached us a big lesson. At least we were good enough to hang on in this one. We've got to be more than good to hang on against the Roosters. We've got to play the full 80 in this one, not one half. I think that we did learn our lessen from that second half against the Cowboys and win in yet another ANZAC day classic.
Storm by 20- Storm to win convincingly over the Warriors here.
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