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Vladieee | 2 |
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@tvigilante2020 While any single bet can't win or lose regardless of the closing line, your long-term success is highly correlated with your ability to consistently beat the market's final price. Tracking your CLV over hundreds of bets is considered a superior metric for gauging your skill as a bettor than a simple win/loss record. |
Vladieee | 4 |
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Hi friends! Wow! Look at the super smart people in our basketball contest! People like mollydog and skunty4 are really, really good at it. You know how sometimes you see a super cool toy, but if you don't grab it right away, it gets taken away? That's what they are so good at! They have a special robot friend on their computer. This robot friend watches all the basketball numbers for them. When it sees a really, really good number, it goes BEEP! BEEP! and tells them, Quick, grab it now! And because our contest has a special rule that says you have 15 whole minutes to pick, they have plenty of time to click the button and get the best, best number. It's like they have a super-fast helper that lets them get the best toy before anyone else even sees it! Pretty cool, huh? It's a different way to play the game! To truly appreciate the human effort involved, here is a timeline of pick activity from a single day. You can almost feel the intense focus and constant vigilance radiating from these timestamps, a pattern that is consistent with their past efforts: Friday November 28, 2025 Timeline - mollydog 7:35 AM So, a genuine tip of the hat to mollydog and skunty4. It is a powerful reminder that in today's competitive landscape, winning is not just about picking winners it is about perfectly gaming the system you are in, and doing so as a premeditated, repeat strategy. It certainly sets an interesting bar for what constitutes a victory. Best of luck to everyone. |
Vladieee | 4 |
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Hello, I'm writing to ask about something I've noticed regarding making picks without being logged in. The general understanding I've found is that an account needs to be actively logged in to make picks, but I've seen a few cases where this doesn't seem to be the case. For example, one individual makes a Survivor pick almost every day without fail, but their profile shows they haven't logged in since January 25th. I was wondering if someone in the tech team could look into this when they have a moment? If this is not an issue and is working as intended, then please feel free to disregard this message. Thank you so much for your time and all your hard work! Best regards [ 2 urls below ] https://www.covers.com/forum/profile/lionsfan24-307721
https://contests.covers.com/survivor/contestant/701abf86-065e-e511-9e61-0024e8753722
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Vladieee | 3 |
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Hey Mollydog,
I hope you don't mind me taking a moment of your time. I've been reading through the threads, and I just have to say, your presence here is honestly humbling. To see someone operate at your level is like watching a grandmaster at work while the rest of us are just learning how the pieces move.
I was hoping you could shed a little light for a struggling amateur like myself. You've been so transparent about your process—watching offshore moves, getting in front of the "smart money" the moment it happens. My question is, how much time does that actually take you each day? To monitor that many games, across that many sources, and lock in plays before the value is gone... It sounds like a full-time job and then some. I can barely manage 20 picks without my head spinning.
Also, with College Basketball , I'm trying to learn from the best. I was wondering, do you have any favorite NCAAB College teams you just love to watch, regardless of the bet? Sometimes it helps to know which teams the pros enjoy following for the pure love of the game.
Best of luck, and I'll be watching and learning. |
Vladieee | 3 |
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Hey mollydog,
I hope you don't mind me taking a moment of your time. I've been reading through the threads, and I just have to say, your presence here is honestly humbling. To see someone operate at your level is like watching a grandmaster at work while the rest of us are just learning how the pieces move.
I was hoping you could shed a little light for a struggling amateur like myself. You've been so transparent about your process—watching offshore moves, getting in front of the "smart money" the moment it happens. My question is, how much time does that actually take you each day? To monitor that many games, across that many sources, and lock in plays before the value is gone... It sounds like a full-time job and then some. I can barely manage 20 picks without my head spinning.
Also, with College Basketball , I'm trying to learn from the best. I was wondering, do you have any favorite NCAAB College teams you just love to watch, regardless of the bet? Sometimes it helps to know which teams the pros enjoy following for the pure love of the game.
Best of luck, and I'll be watching and learning. |
Vladieee | 1 |
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Hey skunty4,
Just wanted to drop a quick note in here to say I am seriously impressed with your performance in the NCAA contest. You are absolutely running away with it while the rest of us are just trying to keep up! It’s been something to watch.
I have to ask, because whatever you're doing is clearly working on a different level—are you by any chance using "stale lines". |
Vladieee | 2 |
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Hey skunty4,
Just wanted to drop a quick note in here to say I am seriously impressed with your performance in the NCAA contest. You are absolutely running away with it while the rest of us are just trying to keep up! It’s been something to watch.
I have to ask, because whatever you're doing is clearly working on a different level—are you by any chance using "stale lines". |
Vladieee | 2 |
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I don’t know how mollydog does it, but this post by DeaconBlues2525, seems to have an idea. |
Vladieee | 4 |
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Hello Flynt,
Hope you're doing well. I wanted to bring a thoughtful concern to your attention regarding the King of Covers contest, something we've discussed in the past. I'm writing this with the utmost respect for the platform and the community.
We have a contestant who consistently posts an incredible level of success, which is commendable. However, the core of the issue lies in the specific lines and closing line value (CLV) they are able to secure for the contest. To illustrate, I've included URLs from the site's own line movement pages:
* **UNLV vs. Saint Joseph's:** The Over/Under is shown at 158.5 for their 10:00 PM game. * **AR-Pine Bluff vs. Marshall:** The Over/Under is shown at 167.5 for their 4:00 PM game.
The challenge is that these specific contest picks were reportedly secured between roughly 9:00 AM and 9:30 AM this morning. I want to be clear that this isn't about the sportsbooks—we all understand that by the time we see these numbers, they are long gone in the real world, and nobody is expecting to get them for actual wagers. The issue is strictly within the context of our NCAA Men's Basketball contest.
When one participant in the contest can consistently use a set of numbers that were never available to the rest of the contestant pool, it creates a significant disparity. It begins to feel less like a test of handicapping skill among peers and more like a competition where one person has a unique tool the rest of us lack. This can understandably discourage participation, as it creates a perception that the chance of a fair win within the contest is minimal from the start.
Flynt, I want to be perfectly clear that this is not a personal attack on the successful contestant. It is, rather, a polite and earnest appeal to you to consider this dynamic. The integrity and fun of the contest, which you work hard to maintain, rely on all participants having a fair and equal opportunity to succeed.
Thank you for your time and for considering this perspective. I truly appreciate all you do for the community.
https://contests.covers.com/kingofcovers/contestant/8bebc39b-291b-40ea-81c3-b383007deaee
https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/ncaab/linemovement/joes-at-unlv/370859
https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/ncaab/linemovement/arpb-at-mrsh/366770 |
Vladieee | 4 |
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Hi Flynt, I’m hoping you can help me clear something up regarding the Stanford vs. UL Lafayette game and the pick listed for the user “mollydog.” According to the pending picks page (I’ll include the URL), mollydog has Stanford -17.5 for tonight’s matchup. I reviewed the full line-movement history across multiple sportsbooks (I’ll include that URL as well), and here’s what the timestamps show:
Based on the line history, it doesn’t look like -17.5 was available anywhere in the market this morning, so I just wanted to ask if you could confirm whether the displayed line is accurate for the timestamp of the pick. I’ll attach the two URLs below:
contestant "mollydog" has some sort of advantage. Thank you very much for taking a look at this.
https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/ncaab/linemovement/ull-at-stan/365651
https://contests.covers.com/kingofcovers/contestant/pendingpicks/mollydog/ncaab
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Vladieee | 3 |
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@Flynt
Flynt, Thank you for looking into this. I want to clarify one important point regarding the Georgia State vs. Arizona State total that was posted. The last time any sportsbook showed 149.5 on this game was **Sunday**, as shown in the audited line history: Betano – O/U TonyBet – O/U bet365 – O/U BET99 – O/U However, the pick in question was not made until **Monday morning**, shortly after 8:00 AM ET. By that time, the 149.5 number had already been gone for many hours across every book. There was no sportsbook still showing that line when the pick timestamp indicates it was placed. This is why I believe it would have been impossible for that total to be legitimately selected at the time it was posted. I appreciate you taking another look at the timing and the line availability, as accurate and fair posting is essential for the integrity of the leaderboard. Thank you again for reviewing this.
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Vladieee | 5 |
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Vladieee | 3 |
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Vladieee | 3 |
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Vladieee | 5 |
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Vladieee | 2 |
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Dear Covers Team I want to raise a fairness concern regarding the Georgia State vs. Arizona State total posted by the user mollydog, specifically the Under 149.5 selection. That number was not available anywhere in the market at the time indicated by his pick timestamp. Based on archived line movement, 149.5 had been gone for many hours. Given the documented movement across every book, it would have been impossible for any bettor—including mollydog—to legitimately obtain 149.5 at the time his pick was recorded, yet the system still accepted it. Below is the essential market history across books, showing the actual totals available: Tooniebet – O/U Sports Interaction – O/U TonyBet – O/U bet365 – O/U Pinnacle – O/U Betano – O/U BET99 – O/U Caesars – O/U BetMGM – O/U BetRivers – O/U Betway – O/U Across all books, 149.5 disappeared late afternoon to early evening on Sun Nov 16. By the time his pick timestamp appears on Covers, every sportsbook was between 143.5 and 146.5. Not a single operator was offering 149.5, and none came close to returning to it. This makes the recorded pick number objectively unobtainable in any real market. This is not a personal complaint. It is a structural concern: if outdated numbers are selectable, intentionally or not, it creates an unfair environment for everyone else operating on actual, available lines. I am asking Covers to verify whether line selections are being validated correctly and whether users can still choose numbers after they have moved. Any clarification on how timestamps align with the actual market would help the entire community. The goal is simple: fairness.
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Vladieee | 1 |
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Dear Covers Team I want to raise a fairness concern regarding the Georgia State vs. Arizona State total posted by the user mollydog, specifically the Under 149.5 selection. That number was not available anywhere in the market at the time indicated by his pick timestamp. Based on archived line movement, 149.5 had been gone for many hours. Given the documented movement across every book, it would have been impossible for any bettor—including mollydog—to legitimately obtain 149.5 at the time his pick was recorded, yet the system still accepted it. Below is the essential market history across books, showing the actual totals available: Tooniebet – O/U Sports Interaction – O/U TonyBet – O/U bet365 – O/U Pinnacle – O/U Betano – O/U BET99 – O/U Caesars – O/U BetMGM – O/U BetRivers – O/U Betway – O/U Across all books, 149.5 disappeared late afternoon to early evening on Sun Nov 16. By the time his pick timestamp appears on Covers, every sportsbook was between 143.5 and 146.5. Not a single operator was offering 149.5, and none came close to returning to it. This makes the recorded pick number objectively unobtainable in any real market. This is not a personal complaint. It is a structural concern: if outdated numbers are selectable, intentionally or not, it creates an unfair environment for everyone else operating on actual, available lines. I am asking Covers to verify whether line selections are being validated correctly and whether users can still choose numbers after they have moved. Any clarification on how timestamps align with the actual market would help the entire community. The goal is simple: fairness.
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Unstoppable Force | 33 |
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Dear Flynt I want to raise a fairness concern regarding the Georgia State vs. Arizona State total posted by the user mollydog, specifically the Under 149.5 selection. That number was not available anywhere in the market at the time indicated by his pick timestamp. Based on archived line movement, 149.5 had been gone for many hours. Given the documented movement across every book, it would have been impossible for any bettor—including mollydog—to legitimately obtain 149.5 at the time his pick was recorded, yet the system still accepted it. Below is the essential market history across books, showing the actual totals available: Tooniebet – O/U Sports Interaction – O/U TonyBet – O/U bet365 – O/U Pinnacle – O/U Betano – O/U BET99 – O/U Caesars – O/U BetMGM – O/U BetRivers – O/U Betway – O/U Across all books, 149.5 disappeared late afternoon to early evening on Sun Nov 16. By the time his pick timestamp appears on Covers, every sportsbook was between 143.5 and 146.5. Not a single operator was offering 149.5, and none came close to returning to it. This makes the recorded pick number objectively unobtainable in any real market. This is not a personal complaint. It is a structural concern: if outdated numbers are selectable, intentionally or not, it creates an unfair environment for everyone else operating on actual, available lines. I am asking Covers to verify whether line selections are being validated correctly and whether users can still choose numbers after they have moved. Any clarification on how timestamps align with the actual market would help the entire community. The goal is simple: fairness.
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Flynt | 26 |
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Dear Covers Team I want to raise a fairness concern regarding the Georgia State vs. Arizona State total posted by the user mollydog, specifically the Under 149.5 selection. That number was not available anywhere in the market at the time indicated by his pick timestamp. Based on archived line movement, 149.5 had been gone for many hours. Given the documented movement across every book, it would have been impossible for any bettor—including mollydog—to legitimately obtain 149.5 at the time his pick was recorded, yet the system still accepted it. Below is the essential market history across books, showing the actual totals available: Tooniebet – O/U Sports Interaction – O/U TonyBet – O/U bet365 – O/U Pinnacle – O/U Betano – O/U BET99 – O/U Caesars – O/U BetMGM – O/U BetRivers – O/U Betway – O/U Across all books, 149.5 disappeared late afternoon to early evening on Sun Nov 16. By the time his pick timestamp appears on Covers, every sportsbook was between 143.5 and 146.5. Not a single operator was offering 149.5, and none came close to returning to it. This makes the recorded pick number objectively unobtainable in any real market. This is not a personal complaint. It is a structural concern: if outdated numbers are selectable, intentionally or not, it creates an unfair environment for everyone else operating on actual, available lines. I am asking Covers to verify whether line selections are being validated correctly and whether users can still choose numbers after they have moved. Any clarification on how timestamps align with the actual market would help the entire community. The goal is simple: fairness.
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OMREBEL02 | 31 |
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