unplucked_gem

its not a victory lap, but a celebration for those with an open mind and  brave enough to take the journey.

+390 with virtual 0 handicapping.

38 isnt 52, but it's good enough.

@Yanasaur

"No idea if this has any merit though."

Of course it does.  Definitely agree on pricing. I would add the one thing that I have noticed but cannot correlate is the Running Clock.  I am convinced this plays a role in possessions / time of possession / etc but the stats aren't showing it.  So who knows.

@skoonr3

Flashscore is a solid resource.

Depending on league home teams win at a high %.  However, you can usually identify teams in good form with consistent goal differential.  In those instances where there's great value, it's worth it to minimally cover the tie (in my opinion).

Any way you dice it, 90+ goal is a bad beat.

Yet, we can't seea replay where the runner comes down on a close 3rd down.

They got their priorities crooked 

What say the powers at be?

https://www.foxnews.com/media/sinclair-preempt-jimmy-kimmels-show-despite-disney-ending-its-suspension

Like this great episode on how we have done a disservice financially to our youth.

https://youtu.be/G-4tNK6dfD4?si=qyoLn0o4vgtpKugB

@StumpTownStu

 #554

Notwithstanding if you go through the thread, I've posted about a dozen clips in direct opposition.

Wow.  How do you not make keeping the ball your #1 priority.  Big mistake from Detroit and a terrible and rushed 3rd down call.

Spectacular drive by Baltimore and pristine catch from Hopkins.

For the first time Aikman erks me with his overly obvious nonstop utterances.

Objectively, that 3rd down was a jersey grab hold all day and twice on the replay. 

The throw and catch was magical. 

"the New York Times reported, citing sources who were familiar with the case and spoke on the condition of anonymity."

Based on the information contained in the support you presented, it'd be the former.

But if it were true, I wouldn't be mad.  I'd probably refer the matter out to Elon and Big Balls for a DOGE review and potential congressional reconciliation.

https://www.covers.com/sport/football/nfl/matchup/359140/preview

"I'll say that probably the extra rest day, extra film, get a good feel for who we're playing against and go from there," Jackson told reporters Thursday of the success.

His Monday Night Stats are very impressive 

"Baltimore has beaten the Lions five straight times and six of seven overall."

@Brooklyncapper

 'When was america ever great?"

For me yeah.  I can't or wont speak on anyone else experiences either now or for the last 200 years.

I'll offer this probably everyone commenting in this forum could sign their paycheck and today they can't.  Additionally, probably no one in this forum needed to Klarna their Friday pizza order over four payments and today they do.  I am also certain my parents never put me on a leash in public.

I think it was your oracle who acknowledged America was in a decline and they were the one's to manage it, Trump just offered an alternative.  

Also kindly speak on the appearance of "Make America Great Again" in 1980 and 1992?

@joe pockets

 Shake down 1979

Let me say it a different way:

 Baltimore and Buffalo are 1/2 to win the superbowl at +500/+450

Eagles and Packers tied 3rd at +700

Detroit is tied for 4th with KC at +1400

So, you're getting +390 for less than a touchdown in a matchup of two top 5 teams.

Host this game in Detroit, it'd be the same valid question on the other side.

Ultimately just trying to stimulate thought on value vs. the typical right side / wrong side tunnel track we follow.

@garbagetime

 Very similar on the circa side 

@Brooklyncapper

1973 was pretty solid.

"Magas only believe in free speech if it has to do with them. They believe people that disagree with them shouldnt have free speech."

Interesting.  I believe that we should Make America Great Again and also believe people can say whatever they'd like.  

#Prove me wrong

#imploded theory

@Brooklyncapper

 Strange vantage.

@REDLINE

For what its worth and to your point last week's supercontest I spent 45 seconds and went on subjective handicapping and went 5-0.  This week I contemplated for hours and went 3-2.

@brn2loslive2win

I saw that and it's a great thread.

I hear you; it is a grind with 90 % of the work being done before the bet is placed and 10 % post bet diagnosis work.  Amazes me how much energy is spent on here talking about the one aspect no one can control (the game).

I am curious of the modeling you refer to is of your own creation or leased.  

NFL Favorites v Underdogs ATS Records - 2024

Last years numbers (the best I could find).  The way that I was taught, this isn't statistically significant and within the natural ebb and flow of things.  I have a few more questions, thoughts, ideas but do not want to be/sound preachy......well more preachy