takethecannolis

@takethecannolis

 Watch how the DB on Cincy attempts to bring down Loveland on the Bears final score….hysterical!

Hello Covers Community. Feel free to jump in…

Titans defeating the Cardinals in week 5

Broncos defeating the Giants in week 7

Bears defeating the Bengals yesterday

Any others?

I’m done.

@justliketoplay

 I hate, hate, laying points! Why are the Cheeseheads -13.5? Because the books want as much $$$ on Carolina as possible. 
This play is all on an angle. I sucked last week, so it’s back to the basics. 

Good luck all!

@takethecannolis

 A 5-1 winner and two seconds out of four picks. I bet conservatively on my top play and collected a nice place bet (at 5-2) to offset my win bet.

Hope you guys collected on a few plays!

@ProgPool

 I felt that way last week. Good luck, but there’s something going on in Foxborough. 

Hello Covers Community…looking to Keep It Simple Stupid this week…

A proven angle in my decades of handicapping is the one that tells you to…

Fade a road team, who failed to cover the spread in their previous game, that broke a three game or more ATS win.

Taking the Packers and Bengals this week, pointspreads, and looking to right the ship.

Good luck all!

@Midnight1

 Not I….but I did use him back and forth in exactas with Percy

Hello fellow plungers…stick with your intuitive picks and don’t let the odds take you off any play.

I just wanted to share a strong lean that I have for Saturday, along with some opinions. 

First off, I’m not someone who dwells on losses. But, after getting DQd in her prior race to the BC Juvy, Luan Machado did it again with his ride on Percy’s Bar today. I watched the replay 10x. In every replay, Machado ran Percy into the rail on the far turn. This is a 2 yr old! How she rallied for third was stupid good. Would she have won…I don’t know. But he probably cost me the place and exacta. Let’s move on…

Saturday…

race 5 Turf Sprint…Shisospicy

race 9 Classic…Sierra Leone

race 10 Mile…Sahlan

Finally, jumping in with both feet in race 6 Sprint…Imagination

Good luck all!

@Midnight1

 Gonna be a riders race. So….Money Mike may be in the catbirds seat? I’m not changing. I tell Luan, break well, make a left at the turns! The filly will do it from there

@Midnight1

 I have been on Percy’s Bar all year. Got taken down in her last race, and it was a deserved DQ. Playing the ponies for over four decades, Percy showed me in her first two starts that she can be special. I had gotten word on the ability of Tommy Jo before her maiden win. She’s good. But…

I am so surprised that Ben Colebrook is staying with Luan Machado here. I thought he panicked in the last race with Percy. Keeping Luan is telling me that Colebrook believes Luan fits this filly. I’m all in on Percy on Friday. She owes me nothing $$$ wise. Go, baby, go!

Good luck all!

Hello again Covers Community. My second post for the weekend to answer the “need for early action”…

Going to Foxborough (not Foxboro). The visitors have a solid defense. The Pats come into this tilt off 3 straight road wins. Cleveland has a bye coming up and will be firing on all cylinders this afternoon. That opinion comes from the respect I have for Stefanski. Two things that have me on the Brownies…I can’t get over the fact that NE has won four consecutive games and that the Patriots are laying 7. 

One thing I can’t see is laying 7. 

It’s gonna be an ugly game. Game time decision on taking:

Browns +7 or under 40.5

Good luck all!

Hello Covers Community. I called for psychiatric help in week 5 when I chose to back the Titans in Arizona. Well, the most improbable ending to that game (besides my Giants loss against Denver last week) gave me a W. This week, I am an absolute believer in karma striking twice…

Going to Indianapolis. The Horsies pummeled the Titans, in Tennessee, in week 3. Now they host the squad that they laid a 40 spot on. One thing is different here. Mike McCoy is now the head coach of Tennessee. He knows the Colts from the few years as a QB coach in Jacksonville, a divisional rival. He has head coaching experience. McCoy has the top pick from the draft under center. I do not see Cam Ward being restrained here. What do the visitors have to lose? I’m grabbing the 14.5 points and looking for Tennessee to have the home team Remember the Titans after Sunday’s game.

It’s a ho-hum week as far as I see it….but, good luck all!

@undermysac

 Ravens are -51.5 vs the spread and 1-5 SU ATS. They play their next two on the road. Gained 173 yds rushing vs Rams last week and controlled the clock…but only scored 3 points. Now, Jackson and his 24-3 record vs the NFC is back under center. I would lay 7.5 easily here. But.

I just really smell a scenario where Chicago might have the key to the back door…cover. Good luck with the Blackbirds. I’m passing, but I’ll be cheering you on.

Hello Covers Community. I really don’t see much this week, but I’m feeling pretty good with my leans…

Tell me why, I don’t like Mondays. Tell me why, I don’t like Mondays. Tell me why I don’t like Mondays….not. I believe I will love Monday.

Sam Darnold. No. Not me. I’m on the Texans coming off two games where they out scored their opponents 76-10. Now, they come off a bye week and play on a national stage. And, the visitors are getting 3 1/2. Sign me up.

In the other Monday night tilt, the Bucs visit the Motor City Kitty Kats. This is the most intuitive play I’ve had in recent memory. Have you all ever watched “ My Cousin Vinny”? Joe Pesci walks into a bar and says…”What if I were to kick the ever loving sh&t out of you”? That’s what I feel about what the Lions will do on Monday to the team from Florida. Not stats, no numbers, just gut feeling…which is not judgmental.

Good luck all!

@LineLord

 Best of luck! But remember, in the words of Bogi Yerra….”it’s never undah til it’s ovah”

@takethecannolis

And to add to my post that you need to win 70% of your plays….

Considering the vig, a win percentage of 67% means you break even. Have fun. Get some action. Strike when you’re going good. Listen to your gut. Pick your spots!
        
Good luck all!

@monkeebooger

Thanks!

Nobody…nobody is gonna be right on their picks more than 70% of the time. So I try to make it informative and, most importantly, entertaining.

Good luck!

@tjones1270

Regarding trends…

Old school angle is “go against any road team that did not cover their last game, breaking a minimum three game ATS win streak”

To kinda go with the Modelo Beer guy….tread carefully my friends!

Good luck!

Hello Covers Community. Week 6 of the NFL presented me with quite a few angle plays. But I had an angel on my one shoulder and a devil on the other. Translation…my usual strong leans are compromised by their futile play and strange point spreads. Here we go with one…
      
I’m going to stay in the Big Easy this week. The Pats visit as a 3.5 favorite. NE comes off an impressive nationally televised win versus their division rival Buffalo Bills. The Saints beat the NY Giants. Time for the crickets soundtrack….

I like Mike Vrabel. He has brought energy to the Patriots. But, stay with me here….

The DC of the Giants (last week’s opponent) and the DC of the Patriots, now, both spent time on Vrabel’s coaching staff in Tennessee. Spencer Rattler stated that the defensive scheme for the Giants last week was “predictable”. Also, are the visitors good enough now to come off a road victory against the Bills and double up with a win in New Orleans? Rattler played well last week and now the home team is integrating a game plan using Taysom Hill under center. 

Kellen Moore broke his cherry as a head coach last week. There’s something contagious after winning your first game. As a home dog on Sunday, I’m on the Saints. As we get closer to Sunday, I’ll need to decide on taking the points or money line.

And for you guys that are wondering….my other “non plays” would have been the Giants and Jaguars.

Good luck all!