takethecannolis

@phillies73

 This could be a pseudo Super Bowl for the Titans. The Chiefs are done for the first time in years. Nothing to play for, nothing to prove. Cam Ward and the coaching staff will play on Sunday. Not playing it, but it sure looks like the Titans will show up.

Hello Covers Community. My selection this week has two angles that lead me to this matchup. Here we go…

Heading to Baltimore and what should be a physical, Mano y Mano tilt. Close game. Not.

The Ravens have played three straight games versus divisional opponents. Angle number one…go against any team coming off three games against divisional opponents, especially if favored their next game, when playing an out of division team. Angle number two…go against any team coming off a shutout win. How much better can the defense play in their next game? Both angles lean towards, what we horse racing fans call, a bounce. A regression.

Wishing all the Community a very Merry Christmas. Enjoy. Bet with your head, not over it.

I’m on the Patriots. Probably $$$ line. Definitely with the points. Watching any line movements on both.

Good luck all. And as Tiny Tim said…” God bless us, everyone”.

@River_fish

 You are correct!

@fts1409

 I’ve said it for years on Covers. They are Idiots.

Yesterday on FOX, Gronk said the following about a game…

”If they can control the running game and not turn the ball over, they should win”

No sh&t Sherlock. Every pre game show is the same. And the “betting shows”? The on air talent never had to sweat at 6:45 EST Sunday night hoping to hit the second leg of their parlay. 

Hello Covers Community. The season moves into Monday night with a game that could have playoff implications for the home team.

Tua lost his virginity last week. The fact that he couldn’t win a game when the temperature was under 32* was shattered when the Fins overwhelmed the NY Nyets. The rest of the team really did great…6 sacks, TOP, rushing yards. A good performance. I’m not even gonna mention the QB for the home team. I believe Mason Rudolph will be under center at some point tonight.

Unless the voice inside my head tells me to play some of my winnings from yesterday, I’m watching tonight. But, if all my rowdy friends here on Monday night tell me to have action…it would be Miami +3 1/2.

Good luck all!

@Ktmike

 Close your eyes. You are a defensive player on the Colts. How effin stoked are you to play today? It’s not like the Colts are 3-10. They are in playoff contention. This is gonna be must see TV today. I will watch and hope Old Man Rivers plays to win, and not play not to lose.

Hello Covers Community. I have had a “dollar late and a dollar short” this season. My picks that don’t cover, get blown out, only to show up the following week with a stupid good performance. I loaded up on the Falcons last week. Ass kicked by Seattle. What happens next….the Birds beat the Bucs in Tampa. Let’s move on….

Focused on the matchup in LA. The visitors, I believe, are coming into a hornets nest Sunday. Long story short… a looong time angle I have is, stay with me here….

Take the home team that has three or more games this season where they have held all their opponents under 10 points AND are now favored by less than 7 points. I’m also considering that the Lions have played three consecutive home games. They could be flat, going on the road. This is also the first time Stafford faces his old squad outside of Detroit. I’m on the Rams.

Good luck all!

@FRANKtheBANKss

 Best of luck! The line of -5.5 really translates to -7 because of mathematics. Hope you cash….

@Scottyy411

 Is Cincy good enough to win two in a row on the road? I don’t have a dog in the fight here, but the Bills should use home field to their advantage

@takethecannolis

I’m still considering a money line play, so I’m doing a little digging. My angle refers to the point spread, and I’m in. The thing about Seattle that I’ve found is a possible regression today. They played an unbelievable game versus the Rams…won the TOP 38-11 minutes. Had a 26-12 edge in first downs. But they lost. The next week, they played the Titans and Tennessee covered. Last week they pitch a home shut out against Minnesota. Now the Seahawks fly across country to face Atlanta. Next week, back home to play Indy. As stated in my initial post…sandwich game?

Looking at the home team with the points and a few zoos at +280 to try to get the whole enchilada.

Good luck all!

@Gambit

 Point well taken.

@jflydaddy

 $$$ is tempting…

Will be a game time decision. Whenever I’m on a dog, I always believe they have a shot to win outright.

Hello Covers Community. This unpredictable NFL season moves on to week 14 with some contests that seem to be nail biter, down to the last play endings. The others seem to be one sided contests. Well, here goes nothing…

Focused on the game being played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The home team faces a tall order in playing the visiting Seahawks. Atlanta comes off a road loss against the Nyets, while the Ospreys come to Hotlanta off an ass kicking home shutout versus the Vikings. 

Seattle goes home to face the Colts and Rams in their next two. Sandwich game off their bagel last week? Atlanta has a decent pass rush, which could be a problem for Darnold Duck. The home team also has Bijan sitting on another big game.

But, but the choice here is based on my Thread Title. In my post last week, I put my confidence in the season long plus/ minus totals against the spread for teams up to this time of the season. I’ve stuck with this for decades. Seattle is waaay ahead as a plus to this point. Atlanta is far behind in the minus. Summation…go with the minus team here. Too many bettor’s will automatically think there’s easy $$$ with the favorite here. I could be wrong Sunday, but that’s why it’s called gambling.

I’m ready to put on my retro MC Hammer “You can’t touch this” pants on Sunday. I’m flying with the Falcons.

Good luck all!

@takethecannolis

 I’m getting too old for finishes like the one I just cashed on. Jeez.

Good luck all!

@tjones1270

 So much for Brian Flores

@Seahawks14

 Parlays and teasers….sucker bets

@FredLeonard

 Ouch

@SportsIntuition

I found an acorn as a blind squirrel when the Titans beat, and covered, against the Cardinals. But… jeez, how bad are they?

Hello Covers Community. Hope you all had a good Thanksgiving and possibly made some zoos going against the favorites. Now, let’s make some money for Christmas!

Try as I could, nothing stood out early for Sunday. I would have liked to have some action in the afternoon, but…nothing. But, there’s always Sunday night.

The Conference leading Broncos come into Washington as a -5.5 road favorite. The Commanders are staggering along at 3-8. This looks easy, right? Not in my eyes…

The Mile High Horsies come off two divisional games, with their last tilt, versus the Chiefs. The home team played a super game in a road loss in Miami in their last. They have lost 7 of their last 8. They have not covered their last 6. Both teams come off their bye week. Something has to give.

This is purely a situational play, with a lot..a lot of intuition. As a contrarian, I’m on the Commanders. The other stat I use at this time of the season is, the team’s plus/ minus against the point spread. Washington is a huge minus. Denver is a decent plus. Meaning, lean with the minus teams. The books want to entice bettors to take the favorites in the latter part of the year. Nope. Barking with the home dog. Also considering the +220 $$$ line. Definitely taking the points.

Good luck all!

@Raiders22

I respectfully disagree. The books know that the public, sitting around before dinner, want to put a few sheckles on the first game. They will bet the favorite. This is an intuitive bet. I wish you luck with your play(s) today. Enjoy!

I still believe the Packers step it up when playing on turf.

Good luck all!