papsmear

Thought there would already be a thread on this. Rigging pitches for prop bets. Enjoy.

https://www.reuters.com/sports/guardians-emmanuel-clase-luis-ortiz-indicted-alleged-betting-scheme--flm-2025-11-09/

Bulls will be burning so many teasers today

Jets actually need this loss so they can get the #1 pick and get their lousy coach fired. Therefore they probably win.

Jay's have no business winning this game at this point. And most of their good hitters aren't in the game anymore.

J Allen over pass yards D Henry anytime td

Just take the over. You won't see much defensive effort

Now they lose to subpar competition

Feels like two steps forward and three steps back with that atrocious loss. I agree that Philly is heating up. They won't overlook the Giants this time after getting beat so recently. Probably some giants pointing fingers now at coaches 

I like Philly as well. How often to get to go against a road team that has played 4 overtime games in a row and the last three on the road.

Just thought I'd share this after running the numbers. Here are the stats from all of Detroit's bounce back games since the 2022 losing streak. * in front means it's the home team. After that are the splits of points in 1st hf/2nd hf for each team followed by the differential between both teams at half time and full game. Also included the total.

11/6/22 *DET 8/7 GB 0/9 1st hf diff 8 FG diff 6 TOT 24
12/4/22 *DET 23/17 JAX 6/8 1st hf diff 17 FG diff 26 TOT 54
1/1/23 *DET 24/17 CHI 10/0 1st hf diff 14 FG diff 29 TOT 51
9/24/23 *DET 13/7 ATL 3/3 1st hf diff 10 FG diff 14 TOT 26
10/30/23 *DET 16/10 LV 7/7 1st hf diff 9 FG diff 12 TOT 40
12/3/23 DET 24/9 *NO 7/21 1st hf diff 17 FG diff 5 TOT 61
12/16/23 *DET 21/21 DEN 0/17 1st hf diff 21 FG diff 25 TOT 59
1/7/24 *DET 13/17 MIN 6/14 1st hf diff 7 FG diff 10 TOT 50
9/22/24 DET 20/0 *ARI 10/3 1st hf diff 10 FG diff 7 TOT 33
12/22/24 DET 27/7 *CHI 14/3 1st hf diff 13 FG diff 17 TOT 51
9/14/25 *DET 28/24 CHI 14/7 1st hf diff 14 FG diff 31 TOT 73

It is worth noting the most of Detroit's bounce backs were against sub par teams. TB may be the best they have faced in this position. That said, it appears every time Detroit jumped all over the opponent in the first half having at least a 7 point lead at half time in all 11 games and often a lot more. There does appear to be some slippage in the 2nd half on certain occasions. I personally find some merit in this trend and am playing DET 1st half. Main reason in sharing was to point out that if you are going to bet on Detroit, it looks like betting them 1st half is a stronger play in this spot. This way you can also avoid a Mayfield backdoor as well which could be possible with his receivers back and a weakened Detroit secondary.

Glad to have football back. Enjoy the day fellas. Let's get started

YTD 0-0

WV +8

CLEM +11

MIA -2.5

You really brought value by going 0-1 in this thread 

Be careful the home team might take a shit at you

Wish i had seen this before the game.  I usually auto fade anyone who says "finna" with high success

Once you touch Bambi it's over

Worse team favored.  Knicks 1-3 on b2b.  Knicks just struggled with a team losing 15 in a row, on the road, etc.

Playing defense doesn't pay $$$.  Is all about dropping 30 a night playing on a shitty team that pays the big bucks. Why waste time playing d.  

Correction was 23 points in the final minute of the okc game 11/25.  Still crazy

LeBron is not fixing games for thousand dollar bets get real.  College basketball is the most rigged American sport.  Hundreds of games a week and all these teenagers and wannabe refs can be bought.

Wasn't there a game last week or so where there was over 30 points in the final minute