Ih8coldweather

Truly pathetic and disgusting to watch. 

I’m on the Texans. There is zero reason to celebrate. We missed a FG, and failed to get two TDs from the red zone, and now out QB is out. This is complete BS.

@smellybunty

 Denver had a dominant performance against Dallas. We are fading a public dog. 

Texans are the play here and there are multiple reasons why....

1. We are fading a public dog in the Denver Broncos. Fading public dogs has been 6-1 ATS this year I believe. Everyone recalls Denver beating the breaks off the Cowboys, and they recall that Houstons offense has been lack luster at best. The public likes the Broncos, coming off a big win where their defense looked dominant against the Cowboys. However, closer look shows us that the best CB in the league, Patrick Surtain, will not be playing

2. Patrick Surtain is out. Nico Collins is in. Who is going to stop Nico? Obviously they have other defensive backs but it is a huge, added bonus to have a CB that can basically shut down half of the field.

3. This line opened at PK, but now sits at Houston -2.5, despite > 50% of the tickets coming on Denver and now, it appears that 51% of the money is on Denver. So, more tickets/money on Denver, but the line Moves to Houston -2.5 from PK??

4. Texans play well at home. Stroud has looked better. The team is starting to look healthy and without Surtain, I do believe that Houston has the better defense and will make life very difficult for Bo Nix and company.

load the boat...

Houston Texans ML -130 - MAX PLAY

@Wizerguy

 @Fuse

Texans are the play here and there are multiple reasons why....

1. We are fading a public dog in the Denver Broncos. Fading public dogs has been 6-1 ATS this year I believe. Everyone recalls Denver beating the breaks off the Cowboys, and they recall that Houstons offense has been lack luster at best. The public likes the Broncos, coming off a big win where their defense looked dominant against the Cowboys. However, closer look shows us that the best CB in the league, Patrick Surtain, will not be playing

2. Patrick Surtain is out. Nico Collins is in. Who is going to stop Nico? Obviously they have other defensive backs but it is a huge, added bonus to have a CB that can basically shut down half of the field.

3. This line opened at PK, but now sits at Houston -2.5, despite > 50% of the tickets coming on Denver and now, it appears that 51% of the money is on Denver. So, more tickets/money on Denver, but the line Moves to Houston -2.5 from PK??

4. Texans play well at home. Stroud has looked better. The team is starting to look healthy and without Surtain, I do believe that Houston has the better defense and will make life very difficult for Bo Nix and company.

load the boat...

Houston Texans ML -130 - MAX PLAY

Steelers +3.5

Texans -1.5 LARGE

Chiefs -2 LARGE

Seahawks -3

@Wizerguy

Texans my fav play on the board

Tale as old as time, the Bengals are hot garbage. Hendricks gets hurt, and the Jets offense looks like the greatest show on turf with the fields. 

….what an absolute joke.

@Wizerguy

 BOL THIS WEEK WIZER 

@UnrankedChamp

You don't have to tail/follow my guy, I just told you that despite what I got the number at, what number I would play it at. Don't be sour, just anticipate and beat the line moves. 

Line opened:

Denver at -3

Saints +4.5

Texans -1

These are not Draft Kings/Fanduel lines which aren’t available at my state, local book.

I would lay juice to take Denver -3, I would play Houston -2 or ML at -135. I would not play Saints below 4.

When the line opened I took Saints again, got good CLV

Sainte +4.5

Bengals -6 (-105)

Texans -1.5 (-105)

Browns +7.5 (-120)

6-point Teaser Falcons -1/Bills -1

Broncos -3 (-105)

Eagles defense is quite banged up. They have injuries to all of their edge rush guys, and Cam Jurgens, their starting center who is tasked with blocking Dexter Lawrence is out. The Eagles O-line has been shaky all year and with Jurgens out, could mean a lot of pressure on Hurts to operate from the pocket especially with AJ Brown out.

Texas has not looked impressive at all except for their defensive effort against OU

They are on the road against Miss St. after a tough game vs Kentucky....

7.5 points, getting the hook, just seems too easy. Entire forum seems to be on Miss St. what gives fellas??

@Wizerguy

Solid looking card

Feels like a ravens smash spot.

@richieporter

Thanks for this insight. Not sure if I fire here but strongly leaning horns.

Anyone like Texas in this spot. In theory could be a let down spot off a big win vs OU however, defense look great and I think Texas should be able to win by 2 TDs