Texans are the play here and there are multiple reasons why....
1. We are fading a public dog in the Denver Broncos. Fading public dogs has been 6-1 ATS this year I believe. Everyone recalls Denver beating the breaks off the Cowboys, and they recall that Houstons offense has been lack luster at best. The public likes the Broncos, coming off a big win where their defense looked dominant against the Cowboys. However, closer look shows us that the best CB in the league, Patrick Surtain, will not be playing
2. Patrick Surtain is out. Nico Collins is in. Who is going to stop Nico? Obviously they have other defensive backs but it is a huge, added bonus to have a CB that can basically shut down half of the field.
3. This line opened at PK, but now sits at Houston -2.5, despite > 50% of the tickets coming on Denver and now, it appears that 51% of the money is on Denver. So, more tickets/money on Denver, but the line Moves to Houston -2.5 from PK??
4. Texans play well at home. Stroud has looked better. The team is starting to look healthy and without Surtain, I do believe that Houston has the better defense and will make life very difficult for Bo Nix and company.
load the boat...
Houston Texans ML -130 - MAX PLAY
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