HandOfTheKing

@Cardoholic

 Thank you for the fade!!!  I literally come to the board looking for these plays.  A total scrub with no posted record saying stuff like 

Whats the angle for the Bengals guys?

The market opened Baltimore -5.5. We’re now sitting at Baltimore -7 (-120).   thats a full point above the key number of 6 and juiced toward 7.5. Id think that tells us a shitload.  Seems like Books are trying to push us away from Baltimore. 

It also looks like sharp money has been hammering the Ravens, not the Bengals, yet everyone here at covers is on Cinci.   what am I missing?  Even though theres tons of public interest in Cinci and  Joey B,  the market refuses to respect them.  Isn't this classic reverse line movement towards Balty? 

Injuries seem HUGE too!   Tee Higgins, Jermaine Burton, Trey Hendrickson gone!!  Downgrade the  cinci passing game. downgrade pass rush.

Balty -7 is the sharp side here right?

My answer is "B"

Having said that and as much as I cant stand teasers, this game has teaser written all over it.  I love the Hou side getting 11.5 here and over the total of 38.5.  It just makes sense.

I tailed the moment I saw the word "Lock."  What the hell can be more reliable than a freakin' LOCK baby!

@Ghostradamus

 Keep in mind.  Nobody cares you obtuse piece of flotsam.

@Jailbait7127

 I'm laying 7:5 that you're entirely full of shit .  Not a chance in the universe a clown like you has 3k to put on a game.  Not only that, you lost and are trying to pretend you won.  We all see that.  Now go away.

@badlands

Great capper but this is all already baked into the numbers.

NE 3rd road game, honeymoon game for TEN with a new coach. The science side of the art: Since 2010, teams that make an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season. Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010. Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games. When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game. On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).

No Pineapple please.  glgl

Patriots or Broncos?  Which one for survivor this week Shoes?  In other words, which one most likely to hit moneyline IYO?  Thanks brother!

Fwiw   

3rd road game, honeymoon game for TEN with a new coach.   teams that make an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season. Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010. Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games. When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game. On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).

I rank NE higher in every category, Ridley Questionable, and Vrabel revenge is what pushed me to Slam them in Survivor.  

But can't help but to be a little freaked.  Read yesterday that teams making an in-season coaching change have gone 17-16 SU and 20-13 ATS in the next game. The key seems to be making the coaching change early in the season. Interim coaches that took over prior to Week 13 are a shockingly good 11-4 SU and ATS since 2010. Teams playing their third consecutive road game are just 46-72 SU since 2003, regardless of the outcome of the first two games. When the team has won the first two games of a three-game trip, like the Patriots have here, they are just 15-27 SU and 16-24-2 ATS in the third game.

On the flip side, home dogs of 7 or more in the first half of the season (Week 9 or earlier) have been on an insane 20-2-2 ATS run the L3+ years (including the Giants’ outright win last week).

Patriots for survivor this week Japples?  Not a lot of future value and I'm Avoiding chalk KC.  Saving them for later.  Still 35k left in survivor.  Huge pool.  Already used Sea week 3 in a 44-13 win over N.O.  I know I'm overthinking the fact that this is the third road game in a row for pats and third road games usually SUCK for whoever that team is.  Right?

So who are the top 3-5 NFL cappers on the board at this moment then?

@Premian

The biggest similarity i see is people who think they know what they are doing losing money because of not really understanding the nuances of the game. You're just not good at this and you need to learn.

Not only that.  This shit isn't for people who whine about losses.  If you really dont get that we are ALL basically betting on coin flips while paying juice to do so, then you just don't get it.  Even the best in the universe might hit 60% or a little better this year.  The rest of the world?  Not so much.   THEN u gotta pay taxes on anything you DO win (which is never obviously) Good luck with all that kid.  Just Buy BTC and hold it and thank me later.  Been holding it since it was 5900$ and buying every month on top of that.  It's an unstoppable freight train 

That's the game bro.  This shit happens every week.  For years.  And years.  And years.  The sooner you realize most of us are basically betting our hard earned money on coin flips the better.  Then to make it more fun, you have to beat Vigorish and taxes. Having said that I love the Patriots tonight. ! Good luck!  

@meatwhistle

So hostile!  Did God teach you that you obtuse piece of flotsam?  No wonder this country is so full of hate!  Also, that’s quite a leap. You could win gold in the Olympics for mental gymnastics and ignorance at the same time! 

Gender Identity and gender expression are social, psychological, and biological matters.  ZEEEEERO to do with religion.  Read a book kid.   

Your views about them are shaped by your "cult" religion if thats what they teach you.  Since your faith traditions have long-established teachings about sex and gender roles that are made up by story tellers, whatever religion you belong to. 

Fact is, I didn’t say anything about gender issues. SO when you bring up Trans issues etc it makes me think you have some deep seeded love for them and you're trying to mask it by pretending not to be gay.  If thats the case it's fine.  But any psychiatrist will say the same thing.  Sounds like you have some soul searching to do there buddy.  Let’s stay on the topic

Im a republican.  Not MAGA.   What happened to Kirk is totally unacceptable.  The person who did it should fry.  Period.  Having said that, if you cant admit he also spread a lot of hate and religious trash then you're just not paying attention.  Both things can be true at the sane time.

@Anthony7Flores

 that makes no sense.  tons of people had the browns covering here.  including me.  its really not that big of a deal unless you are dumb enough to have bet huge $$$$ on the cheese heads moneyline.

Been doing this for 35 years.  I can't recall a more fucked up beat.  And I've had a cargo ship full of 'em.