Bjorn_Borg

Lyon 2 challenger
Onclin +4.5 


Master

Musetti +4.5 + Heliövaara, Patten ML

Already locked in Pegula J 2-0 tomorrow, Paolini has been sick all week and nothing to play for. Pegula need a 2-0 win to secure the next semi.

4-1 H2H to Pegula, so won all her matches in two sets, only loss was in Billie Jean Cup.

Thoughts? 

@bringit it was a close one, Rybakina stepped up on key points, but didn't look to interested, if Alexandrova would have converted her chances in the first set, I wouldn't be surprised if she would have won in two. 

 
We seen Rybakina lose to Maria T in straight sets on grass this year already... 


Virtanen takes first set 6-1, I think he has good chance to win this tournament, but not sure what they have done with the draw, the #1 and #2 in Finland plays already in the second round...that should have been the final.

Nice easy win , hate it when doubles goes to distance 

Exactly and we saw her in Tokyo she withdraw from the semi final just to be fresh for this week

What do you think of Musetti 2-0 + Virtanen? 

Musetti can still reach the final only a few points behind Felix, so he need a deep run here in Athens. Not sure how Wawrinka won the last match, Only won 47% of the total points, only won 19% return of first serve vs 31% from VSZ, can't see him break Musetti, so he will have to win in TB, his 3 last loses have all been 2-0 as well.

Virtanen playing back in his hometown in Finland, Onclin with a 1/6 indoor record this year. Virtanen has 125/51 in total indoor record, 8/4 this year (23/4 last year) can't see him lose in the first round. 

I'm getting +200 now ML and +400 on 2-0 

I saw that, but haven't seen any odds drop on Alexandrova yet, but +182 sounds really good. 

She will get $250,000 to play the match as an alternative and will get another $350,000 if she wins, so very motivated here. Leads 3-2 in the h2h, think her to win 2-0 could be good as well, don't think Rybakina want to play 3 sets before a semi. 

Agree, Paolini has been sick all week. 

What do you think of Keys? I think she will cover +5.5, Rybakina already winner of the group, we saw last year both Sabalenka and Gouff did tank their 3rd match after winning the group. 

Elias Ymer to win 1 set

Live bet Mikael Ymer to win the match after he "lost" the first. 

Bol

I just came across you and been tailing the last two picks  

Thank you, and keep it up! 

Have to play Wong live as well. 

down 2-1 but up a break, still 4 in odds, if he serve this set out I would say it's 50/50 in the 5th..

Yesterday's picks

Krawietz / Puetz 2-0  
Mektic / Ram 2-0 

Bucsa C. / Melichar-Martinez N ML 


Ebden/Thompson 2–0  
Mektic / Ram, Krawietz / Puetz & Ebden/Thompson ML  



Lost two  play because of Ebden/Thompson.. it's the first time in the history of tennis that a reigning champion loses the first round agianst and alternative player.

some weird odds movement on that one, 1xbet opened at 11 in odds but was down to 7.80 on 2-0 on Drzewiecki, Willis before it started a 29% drop hmm.. 



Today 

De Minaur 3-0 
Bublik ML

Mektic / Ram 2-0 


Nice start at 1.97, saved 2 set points in the first set and was down 5-2 in the second but won in straight sets 

@BigDickHertzer 

Ebden/Thompson are not playing the Argentinians any longer they withdraw, but same play against the reserves. 

Mektic / Ram 2-0

Another new pair this year is Nikola Mektic and Rajeev Ram—two former world #1s—coming in with fine form after winning Cincinnati.

Ram has won the US Open three times in a row (2021–2023), while Mektic picked up the Auckland title earlier this year and has previous hard-court wins in Shanghai, Indian Wells, and Auckland. He’s also the 2021 Wimbledon champion.

They’re up against two clay-court players who have never played together before, which makes this look like a very tough matchup for the underdogs.


Mektic / Ram, Krawietz / Puetz & Ebden/Thompson ML