Battalion74

@TheSquare

 total suggests a 22-19 type of game.  When it feels 'low', take the under.

Because Denver is the better team.  We don't need to worry about Surtain being out and Collins returning.  TBH, it's a non factor.  Payton is good enough a coach to offset that and the common bettor is simply going to look at this matchup and claim easy targets = TD's all afternoon.  In saying that, I think Kirk will have a big game on his return, not Collins (but that's for you prop junkies).

Going back to Denver, they still have a solid D and if you look at the teams Houston has beaten this year, it not a Denver type D they've won against.  Beat Titans, injury ravaged Ravens and 49ers.  Look at the Defenses they've lost to: Jags, Bucs, Sea Chickens, Rams.  Which of the two groups does Denver fit in to?  Now add the Payton factor and he'll plan a game to make Stroud's life miserable.

We're getting a gift from the books on this one.  Give me the superior coach and proven D against a team that has shown it can't handle the big boys.

DEN ML.

GL All! 

I'd trust his receiving yards more; he's only broken 79 yards once this year so far.  Can get an alt line receiving 60+ yds at +148.  I think that hits.

GL anyways.

Iowa St playing like a college frat boy in bed with a seasoned cougar (pun intended).  Fast start but can't keep up...  

@LineLord

 Chat GPT for ya...

@winoNV

 Will be hard since Ridley is ruled out today...

@HandOfTheKing

 Last season the mid season new coach was 1-2 ATS.

Great card today, let's go!

NE -7.  Vrabel revenge game.  Pats do enough to get to the qb and Ward is currently the most sacked qb in the league (4.5 per game).  NE ground D is solid too.

CLE -2.5.  Poor weather forecasted here, favors the home team.  Close down Achane and call it a day, Cle D up for it.  Might see this tick up to -3 by gametime.

NYJ ML.  Like the Jets D to hold down the fort.  How will they score?  Good question.  But CAR favored on the road... You can't be serious.

KC -12.5.  This should be north of 2 TS's but we all know Chiefs don't cover high spreads.  Vegas used up all their mojo last week.  Think LV two weeks ago vs Indy.

Best of Luck All!

Pinnacle has moved off of +7 (to +6.5 -112) 

Folks assuming new TEN coach, gonna play hard.  There's a flip side here: Vrabel.  I'm sure this game was circled on his calendar...

Play the number, not the team, right? 

I like your write up, good stuff but I'm on the other side here; perfectly fine with -7.  See this as a 24-17 type game.

GL.

@JassieJames

They were in BAL last last week.  Dulles to Heathrow is 7 hrs, 6hrs 30 if they had a favorable track and nice tail wind.  Not a huge difference when they travelled to BAL last week from LA.  Time zone is not a factor heading east to Europe if you don't drink and watch movies all night.  Sleep on the plane for a bit, sleep when you land, next day you're caught up.

LA will have zero issues today.

that's old news and didn't move the needle.  CIN will be methed up on D and play out of their minds.  Flacco has too much to work with not to keep it in the number.  I see Metcalf having a big game though...

@ChikFarm

Homeless people still cursing the Eagles from last week...

KC, NE come to mind.

I get it, purely a stat thing.  But, Flacco was clean last week having weapons at his disposal.  It makes sense.  Elite players running smarter routes and gaining separation just that split second quicker.  Flacco has been around the block so I'm sure he's wide eyed at the talent in front of him.

He had absolutely nothing in CLE, hence a lot of rainbows, prayers and triple coverage throws.

I'd say based on stats, an 80% chance he throws a pick.  If it's just one...

Giants are not good.  They lost to the Saints...  they win 2 games the rest of the year.

It's well documented (and known) that Tomlin is just terrible in these spots (road fave coming off a win).

Flacco has some more reps and he's got all Cincy's weapons at his disposal.  And Rodgers looks like he's doing just enough to win.  He's not going to shred that D either, this is not your big Brother's A-Rod.  And I bet he's got one eye on next week...  Watch for some last minute drive and the pumping of his ego begins early for next week...

Public is clamoring over the Steelers, handle at all the major books is taking the home dog at a 70+% clip.

I get the feeling that the Bengals still think they're in this race and most folk are down on them.  Play the number, not the team.

Bengals +5.5.  Not a lot on the card this week I like so my pension cheque this month is in play tonight.

GL All!

Sean Payton teams do this all the time.  Not a single completion for Nix for like what, a quarter and a half?  It's like his cheat sheet for plays is just one giant prop card he wagers with...  Brutal to watch but the guy won so who am I to say...

I mean I’d love to see Flacco pull the upset over GB…

Books making a killing right now.  At this rate, nobody will have money for Black Friday or Cyber Monday…, never mind Christmas.  Joes have to start clawing back at some point in the next week or two.

They're missing somebody important...  And another guy too = They're tackling is atrocious.