Battalion74

Sean Payton teams do this all the time.  Not a single completion for Nix for like what, a quarter and a half?  It's like his cheat sheet for plays is just one giant prop card he wagers with...  Brutal to watch but the guy won so who am I to say...

I mean I’d love to see Flacco pull the upset over GB…

Books making a killing right now.  At this rate, nobody will have money for Black Friday or Cyber Monday…, never mind Christmas.  Joes have to start clawing back at some point in the next week or two.

They're missing somebody important...  And another guy too = They're tackling is atrocious.

@LineLord

Couldn't have said it any better...

Philly hasn't beaten anybody by more than 7 this year . Carter is out.  HUGE.  Tracey will suit up (awesome prop bet).

Dart is not good, don't kid yourself but he'll limit mistakes on the national stage.

Biggest clue is where the money is headed.  All Eagles.  Same deal as last week...  Nobody called SF to compete at this number (OK, they were 8.5 dogs) and won outright.  Joe's screaming THE FIX!  It's always about the money.  Don't lose sight of that and you can win a few more than you lose.

I'm on the G-Men and the points, that's all.  

GL.

Handle showing too much flowing PHI ways but we haven't moved off the +7.5.  Line is speaking dog.

Keep this simple, take the points.  People still singling about last year.  That's music to my ears...

Giants +7.5, easy.

GL All!

I’m here for the weekend, no picks (got the SF before I left).  Funny, found my way into a Steelers themed bar near Piazza Navona.  All PA stuff in there, no joke, the owner is a guy from Pitt.

Anybody ever hit this place up?  

Everybody in there was literally from Pittsburgh, stayed for a few drink…

GL with the games.

I’m here to jinx it so all you Rams bettors can maybe salvage teasers or your ML bets.

What do I know…

Daniel Jones and the Colts were +3.5 favorites last week in LA and they were unlucky not to cover.  Mac Jones is not a huge downgrade from Purdy for starters.  Two, are the Colts that much better than the 49ers?  Most PR will tell you they are very close.  Pearsall and Jennings are not worth a point swing in my universe, half if anything...

Same Rams teams playing effectively the same team two consecutive weeks at home, and tonight vs a team that knows them very well.  Shanahan has done well vs the Rams, right?  One player that's still in the lineup that can (and has proved) can torch any defense is CMC; he is not being talked about here.

We went from -3.5 vs the Colts last week to an open of -6.5 TNF, now -8.5.  What did the Rams do in 4 days to warrant all of this love? 

Books are badly exposed here.  All the handle, tickets and money very one sided.

Same thing SNF Dallas vs GB.  Rinse, repeat...

It's why Vegas is Vegas.  They know how to bait and they give the public what they want to see.

Do not be surprised in any way, shape or form a FG type game.  Teasers, ML still in play for the weekend so all is not lost on the public but when people say trap game, this one is the very definition.

Very easy here, SF +8.5.

I think GB runs up the score tonight an leaves Dallas begging for mercy.  Don't really care about the Parsons angle; it's a non starter for me.

Dallas covering with GB ML still cashes in teasers, parlays and lottery tickets.  Had some dogs win outright today (CHI, NYG, Jags), I don't think SNF is anything but a comfy cover for the visitors.

Likely a lot of winners today will give some of that back tomorrow, so I'll take the easy route here and play GB to win by a TD+1.

GL All!

Just a bit outside.

Got lucky today Mike.

Not to be rude here but this smells like a trap.  Handle on both the spread and ML and very much one sided on the Commanders, with the books shading the vig on the -2.5 and ATL...  Classic contrarian setup.

I like WAS on paper but the scales are too far tilted towards them.  It's a no play for me.

GL though.

but I see this as an absolute LOCK and can't see how this loses

you're probably right but many a folk have used these very words and never returned to this site...

@GriLo

 Russell Wilson in 2025 is not elite, in fact he's not even good anymore.  I'd be more afraid of Dart, even Winston today...

Going back to the same well here and backing the Cowboys for a second consecutive week.

I really like this spot for the Cowboys today at home and I think it's being overlooked.

I put out the question: How is NY is going to put up the 20 points (which lines up with the 44.5 total)?  Dallas pressured Jalen hurts last week to the tune of 42%, effectively putting the game in Hurts' hands.  Decent strategy, let the best player beat you.  Russel Wilson however is no Jalen Hurts.  The Commanders upped their pressure rate to 50% last week and, well we know how RW & Co. did...  Decision making, quick release, pocket mobility is not there.  We saw it last week...

I'm going on that.  I think Dak has a strong game, CeeDee somewhat redeems himself and the Dallas 'D' put enough pressure on Wilson to kill any charge the Giants are going to put forth on offense.  The total tells me 27-17 type game and a chunk of that 17 for NY comes in garbage time.  I don't see how Dallas doesn't beat these guys up today to the tune of 33-10.

And something very small to add; it's a really small sample size but Dak is 2-0 ATS following an early season (pre-thanksgiving) TNF game. 

Dallas -5.5

GL All!

@C-70Blues

 Visiting team on opening night; just happens to be the Boys this year.

Not that I like Dallas but specifically, the dog in the opening game.

Looking back a decade, the visiting team has kept this game within a score 9 times out of 10.  And it makes sense...

A lot of pomp and hoopla with the home team, raising the banner, etc.

The line has been creeping up the last two days and it's just a snowball rolling down a hill.  No substance to it IMO.

Give me the Cowboys, +8.5.

GL All!

Worth noting Sean Peyton is 0-2 SU in his two years as HC at Denver in week 1...