Locked in:
Celtics +9.5
Celtics ML +400...quarter unit
Will likely be on Boston 1stQ and 1stH too when lines come out.
My play here is based on instinct and eyeball test...oddsmakers want people to still feel this is the same 76ers team who beatup on Miami...why they continue to discredit what Boston has been able to accomplish is beyond me...betting a home fav and needing them to win by DD is simply never a long term profitable expectation...this line is whack jack, and its looking more and more like Boston vs Cleveland rematch...how bizarre is that?
Locked in:
Celtics +9.5
Celtics ML +400...quarter unit
Will likely be on Boston 1stQ and 1stH too when lines come out.
My play here is based on instinct and eyeball test...oddsmakers want people to still feel this is the same 76ers team who beatup on Miami...why they continue to discredit what Boston has been able to accomplish is beyond me...betting a home fav and needing them to win by DD is simply never a long term profitable expectation...this line is whack jack, and its looking more and more like Boston vs Cleveland rematch...how bizarre is that?
The Peoples Champ
tip of the day:
Dont bet the Utah Houston game tonight....just let it play out as it shall and watch it for a proper read in game 4...the loser of game 3 should win game 4...this series is more and more feeling like that classic 7 game series where its tied 2-2, then each home team wins game 5 6 and 7....dont bother with spreads here as its literally impossible to predict pregame....Utah is not intimidated at all by Houston as they defend the 3 and the paint the best in the NBA...and thats exactly what Houston looks to do...i smell a Chris Paul choke coming up in this series, dont know how or when, but he will be exposed as a frauduelnt "elite" pg which the media wants to always call him...Harden is the man, and if he doesnt play at a Lebron level, Houston will be lucky to advance here...Guys like Gordon and Anderson cant be counted on, and theres just so much Capela can do...Jazz are live here folks, dont sleep on Coach Cokefield, his eyes and slick hair tells another story ![]()
The Peoples Champ
tip of the day:
Dont bet the Utah Houston game tonight....just let it play out as it shall and watch it for a proper read in game 4...the loser of game 3 should win game 4...this series is more and more feeling like that classic 7 game series where its tied 2-2, then each home team wins game 5 6 and 7....dont bother with spreads here as its literally impossible to predict pregame....Utah is not intimidated at all by Houston as they defend the 3 and the paint the best in the NBA...and thats exactly what Houston looks to do...i smell a Chris Paul choke coming up in this series, dont know how or when, but he will be exposed as a frauduelnt "elite" pg which the media wants to always call him...Harden is the man, and if he doesnt play at a Lebron level, Houston will be lucky to advance here...Guys like Gordon and Anderson cant be counted on, and theres just so much Capela can do...Jazz are live here folks, dont sleep on Coach Cokefield, his eyes and slick hair tells another story ![]()
Utah to win series right now is +475...as much as i want to bet this, i think Houston wins game 3 and Utah wins game 4...so i will wait until the series adjusted price comes out tomorrow and scoop up Utah likely around +800 for half a unit...if Utah wins tonight, oh well, i will look to take Houston ML in game 4 and reevaluate.
Utah to win series right now is +475...as much as i want to bet this, i think Houston wins game 3 and Utah wins game 4...so i will wait until the series adjusted price comes out tomorrow and scoop up Utah likely around +800 for half a unit...if Utah wins tonight, oh well, i will look to take Houston ML in game 4 and reevaluate.
Yes game 7 always favors the home team, but theres a lingering stench of choke puke from Harden Paul and D'Antoni which just cant be overlooked.
Yes game 7 always favors the home team, but theres a lingering stench of choke puke from Harden Paul and D'Antoni which just cant be overlooked.
Dru...if you look back at all the +/- 1 pt lines for international hoops, wouldn't you agree there are an unusual amounts of 1st half pump jobs by one team over the other? impossible to predict which team is the pitcher and which one becomes the catcher, but I have seen these crazy 20+ leads at half in so many pickem style pregame lines...these are always stay aways for me at halftime because like you said, the team down says fuk it so often that their continue to take it up the rump in the 3rd Q, and only in the 4th Q is it ever worth a shot to back the team down by 30+, however at that point, it's still just a gamble even if the team winning puts in their entire bench.
however, getting 20 pts of +EV is usually an autobet no matter what the circustances are, so if you took them, it's the right cap, especially them being the home team...if the rolls were reversed and the road team was down the 20+ at half, fuggetaboutit
Dru...if you look back at all the +/- 1 pt lines for international hoops, wouldn't you agree there are an unusual amounts of 1st half pump jobs by one team over the other? impossible to predict which team is the pitcher and which one becomes the catcher, but I have seen these crazy 20+ leads at half in so many pickem style pregame lines...these are always stay aways for me at halftime because like you said, the team down says fuk it so often that their continue to take it up the rump in the 3rd Q, and only in the 4th Q is it ever worth a shot to back the team down by 30+, however at that point, it's still just a gamble even if the team winning puts in their entire bench.
however, getting 20 pts of +EV is usually an autobet no matter what the circustances are, so if you took them, it's the right cap, especially them being the home team...if the rolls were reversed and the road team was down the 20+ at half, fuggetaboutit
wtf 24-17 at half? did the mob tell the scafatians if they score more than 35 total all their granmdas die? ![]()
wtf 24-17 at half? did the mob tell the scafatians if they score more than 35 total all their granmdas die? ![]()
Dru...if you look back at all the +/- 1 pt lines for international hoops, wouldn't you agree there are an unusual amounts of 1st half pump jobs by one team over the other? impossible to predict which team is the pitcher and which one becomes the catcher, but I have seen these crazy 20+ leads at half in so many pickem style pregame lines...these are always stay aways for me at halftime because like you said, the team down says fuk it so often that their continue to take it up the rump in the 3rd Q, and only in the 4th Q is it ever worth a shot to back the team down by 30+, however at that point, it's still just a gamble even if the team winning puts in their entire bench.
however, getting 20 pts of +EV is usually an autobet no matter what the circustances are, so if you took them, it's the right cap, especially them being the home team...if the rolls were reversed and the road team was down the 20+ at half, fuggetaboutit
Dru...if you look back at all the +/- 1 pt lines for international hoops, wouldn't you agree there are an unusual amounts of 1st half pump jobs by one team over the other? impossible to predict which team is the pitcher and which one becomes the catcher, but I have seen these crazy 20+ leads at half in so many pickem style pregame lines...these are always stay aways for me at halftime because like you said, the team down says fuk it so often that their continue to take it up the rump in the 3rd Q, and only in the 4th Q is it ever worth a shot to back the team down by 30+, however at that point, it's still just a gamble even if the team winning puts in their entire bench.
however, getting 20 pts of +EV is usually an autobet no matter what the circustances are, so if you took them, it's the right cap, especially them being the home team...if the rolls were reversed and the road team was down the 20+ at half, fuggetaboutit
those 4th Q bets take balls, but hit at something well over 65% regardless the game, situation, team, league....total moneymaker in the longrun...its our little secret, ok? don't tell anybody ![]()
those 4th Q bets take balls, but hit at something well over 65% regardless the game, situation, team, league....total moneymaker in the longrun...its our little secret, ok? don't tell anybody ![]()
even the discussion regarding a winning wager we don't place goes to reinforce our convictions and instincts for future spots that mimic this one
even the discussion regarding a winning wager we don't place goes to reinforce our convictions and instincts for future spots that mimic this one
Couldn't do it. Took the Jazz 1h. I think the Rockets are heartless front runners. Let's see whatvthey doo if Utah comes out hot and pops them in the mouth.
Couldn't do it. Took the Jazz 1h. I think the Rockets are heartless front runners. Let's see whatvthey doo if Utah comes out hot and pops them in the mouth.
Locked in:
Under 10.5 (+105) Yankees Indians...first road game for Cleve in a long time following an offensive explosion doubleheader yesterday against the StinkJays...rare mlb pick for me this early in the season...public smashed the over all day long so i like to side with the house on this one.
Locked in:
Under 10.5 (+105) Yankees Indians...first road game for Cleve in a long time following an offensive explosion doubleheader yesterday against the StinkJays...rare mlb pick for me this early in the season...public smashed the over all day long so i like to side with the house on this one.
Locked in:
Under 10.5 (+105) Yankees Indians...first road game for Cleve in a long time following an offensive explosion doubleheader yesterday against the StinkJays...rare mlb pick for me this early in the season...public smashed the over all day long so i like to side with the house on this one.
Locked in:
Under 10.5 (+105) Yankees Indians...first road game for Cleve in a long time following an offensive explosion doubleheader yesterday against the StinkJays...rare mlb pick for me this early in the season...public smashed the over all day long so i like to side with the house on this one.
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