TEN + 7.5 vs. DEN

@DogbiteWilliams

 You didn't cover despite the other team getting 4 turnovers...you realize that's the opposite of unlucky. Turnovers are a sign of variance. You had extreme variance in your favor, and still lost. You got totally outplayed. Even out the variance, you lost by 20. Besides, you lost because you bet a sh it line. 

Embarrassing takes like that deserve to be called out 

I'll stick with 86.1%.  You can have whatever confrontational take you like.

TEN +7.5 (1.0 U) L -1.08 U

TEN +315 (0.5 U) L -0.5 U

TEN +342 (0.5 U) L -0.5 U

0-3   Total loss = 2.08 U

Unfortunately  dog you did not get the best line.

The game was there for the win, best never to bet before lines move.

Watch a number of books and wait till you see lines move one way with a few books then you will know if lines are moving with you or against you.

@theclaw

Wise advice; thanks.  I still would have lost both ML bets.  Maybe next Sunday I'll turn on my computer one hour before the early games so I can at least look at the late lines.

I didn't watch the game, so I don't know if the six sacks occurred mostly because of DEN's strong DEF line or TEN's weak OFF line.  A 3-win team in a hostile environment covered the late line vs. a 10-win team, so I guess TEN has shown some progress.

Keep posting.  As far as I am concerned You provide valued info.  4 pages in this thread is telling. 

@BarrelledIn

 I hate to pile on but what you stated is correct. Without those turnovers he is losing by 30

I agree spottie.

Thanks for the kind words from my supporters.  It is somewhat depressing knowing I might have encouraged bettors to make bad decisions, especially considering they're probably risking more than $5 or $10.

@undermysac

Dog you are another good Caper here on covers always a must read l.There are a few others cappers that help with beating the books and now we lost Vanzack  in the mix due to some trolls not understanding having different books to take action at better value of numbers and vig.That Denver line kept going up you missed some value and cost you a win on the spread but the way the game was playing out they were a live dog practically the whole game.Lots of Survivor players were sweating it out me being one of them 

DBW: I bet you never thought this original post would produce 90 replies.....;-)

@jowchoo

 Sometimes my dysfunctional communication is for a purpose.  Like me or dislike me I don’t really care but  the benefits are on display.  I don’t care how much anyone bets or who tails.  Ones own accounting isn’t anyone’s concern. We all make choices deal with our own accountability and actions. 

Best wishes. 

Absolutely correct.

@ROCKON