Sunday

Starting the post before the weekend to get some chatter out on all the games. Initial leans for now

Tampa Bay +7 and +275

Backing the Bucs on the road w josh freeman still under center? I just might. NE has survived to date. Literally survived. And that against Buffalo and the Jets. Two bad football teams w less talent than the Bucs. Dangerous week for the Pats

New Orleans -7

Don't feel great about this but at some point everything will click for the Saints and they will rout a visiting opponent. The Cards off a win seems like it sets up nicely for that

Green Bay -3

Normally I'd be all over the Bengals catching 3 as a home pup, but the Cincy offense has looked amateur this far and I don't think it snaps out just yet

Indianapolis +10

Lots of talk about the Browns trade but what a get for the Colts. High powered offense just got more balance. This is a playoff team that is catching double digits. SF must be pissed off last weeks blowout right? Emotion doesn't score points

Buffalo +1 and +123

Don't see either QB being overly impactful. Defense and Ground game

Pittsburgh +2 and +118

More thoughts coming up later as I pour through more of the matchups. Appreciate any posts pro or con

Great spot for pitt.

Those are all losing plays.. I said it..

I like most of your picks. On the other side with TB. Just a gut feeling with NE having the extra time to prepare and TB still having many internal issues.
Flipping back and forth on that gb/Cinn game.

i feel bengals control the clock with law firm and bernard and keep gbay off the field and Green has a huge game sunday.  Bengals win 27-24

Saints are not the same team they used to be to blowing teams out. 2 close games so far lets make it 3. cards defense matches up well with them and cards offense will score pts

not sure about the Colts.  they let the Raiders hang around for almost 4 quarters and then lost to (a good) Miami squad last week (also at home).  SF is going to be out for blood and Harbaugh is a person. look at SF's margin of victories at homve vs. playoff teams (especially coming off a loss last season.  https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/teams/sfo/schedule/?season=2012

Harbaugh is a (rhymes with rick).

Utfootball - agreed. They'll need Ben and the defense to both show up. Think they do on a national stage.

Xanthax - NE certainly capable of blowing the doors off TB, but they didnt against Buffalo or the Jets and now face a team w more talent offensively and a defense that has actually been real good this year esp vs the run. Josh Freeman is the X factor here and I think Martin will give him time to make plays

Camby - hard to argue w your points on both games, but I think the Saints like has baked in them not being as explosive. The defense at home is much better and it's still Carson Palmer and Mendenhall, both prone to having terrible games here and there. I really like Cincy this year, surprised by the line so that might be fueling some ofy thoughts on this one

Mango - good stuff and supporting stats. Harbaugh and his bunch should be fired up after last week, but I see that outcome as more of potential issues with the Niners and not just am off game. I'm not sold on CKap being as good as he was last year and I think Gore is in decline. Team is still one f the best, but double digits to a solid Colts team seems like Vegas wants us to buy into the "bounce back"

SDS...

GL bro, against you on Buffalo tho.. Jets off extra days rest at home -1 faves are cash cows in the NFL

Spaz....I really like SF similar to Mangos remarks.

Phat - thanks buddy, good to see you

Wuss - hard to gauge these teams right now as their opponents this far are still tough to gauge. It's the 9 sacks allowed and 6 turnovers that have me leery of the Jets. Bills should control the line on both sides.

GL Spaz

Leaning Chi myself

Saints are my play of the week and I agree with you on the Colts. Like the over in that game as well FWIW.

Should mention I like the Bills as well and will probably be on the pack too.

Spaz - what do you think of Rams +3?  i heard some crazy stat that Dallas has only covered like 4 out of their past 20 as home favorites. 

its going to be a tough week......i guess they are all tough....my close games are: bills, bears, panthers, cinci.....how every it turns out, we'll all have good times, good food, good drink with good friends!!!! GL EVERYONE

SDS

your card looks great. very similar to mine.

I think the Steelers show up at home for sure. NE is going to get exposed. TB should be 2-0 and they have a top 5 defense. Freeman needs to be better but TB D is good enough for a cover.
right on the money with Cincy. Dalton looked awful last week. short week and Monday winner, Sunday loser theory. Rodgers will show him how its done. Cincy D is pretty good though but this offense will test them and their discipline.
Bills D is playing like they should. EJ has some much needed confidence and is smarter than Geno. R Woods and  CJ need to have some big plays but Jets O is gross, so not that many.
Saints O can't stay down for long.. bad spot for Zona. could get ugly quick

gl.

Hey Spaz, I'm not a huge fan of the 49ers pick. This is a sandwich game for them, coming out of SEA and taking on STL this Thursday.  Yes they are pissed and they will probably win, but I'm not sure about covering double digits.  Thoughts?

 

He picked Indianapolis. Did you even read his original post?