Week 5 YTD… 71-68 ATS

@spottie2935

 BEST OF LUCK this week

@spottie2935

I have my eye on Virginia too. The 'Noles will have their hands full with Chandler Morris. They also have Miami on deck. BOL Spottie!

Thx for stopping in 

best wishes 

@dcgmt

season and conference = B12 and C and A and line<-18 and week<13 and opS(W)>1 and 76>total>56

Deleted redundant. Below 

Here they are. I changed some bought some and sold off some

CFB Virginia +7-114

CFB Oregon State +14-118

CFB Bowling Green +10-111

CFB Liberty +17-109

CFB Florida Atlantic +14-117

CFB Northern Illinois +3-115

CFB TOTAL u64-106 (Notre Dame vrs Arkansas)

CFB Virginia Tech +10-105

CFB Indiana -8-110

CFB Wake Forest +13½-105

CFB Notre Dame -5-108

CFB UCLA +5½-104

CFB Utah State +22½-106

CFB Oklahoma State +20-107

CFB Colorado +7-115

CFB Virginia +7-114

CFB Oregon State +14-118

CFB Bowling Green +10-111

CFB Liberty +17-109

CFB Florida Atlantic +14-117

CFB Northern Illinois +3-115

CFB TOTAL u64-106 (Notre Dame vrs Arkansas)

CFB Virginia Tech +10-105

CFB Indiana -8-110

CFB Wake Forest +13½-105

CFB Notre Dame -5-108

CFB UCLA +5½-104

CFB Utah State +22½-106

CFB Oklahoma State +20-107

CFB Colorado +7-115

CFB UGA -3.5 -102 

https://youtube.com/shorts/fTcGl_bM8nk?si=17LSubZS_KkzNAdi

https://youtube.com/shorts/fTcGl_bM8nk?si=17LSubZS_KkzNAdi

GL this week Spottie 

@Buzzard311

 Let’s go Buzz 

I appreciate you stopping in

That oklahoma state line stood out. I have the line quite a bit lower, Gundy getting fired is actually a bonus - might get that new coach bounce. 

@kidd22

 I am evaluating current matchup lines, not past performance and projected game day performances. The lines maker is changing and shifting lines to help V.Tech because they are not coming close to their number recently.  V.Tech bad performances are against team trending very high over their recent history.  Old Dominion dominating at their level right now and so is Vandy. 

NC St is not dominating accounting to their current performances compared to their past performances.  Increasing the line this week Accordingly is what induce into.  If NC St has an outstanding performance that is telling against V.Tech. 

Maybe this season it fails but V.Tech has tremendous success against NC St at 8-4 straight up and 19-2 ATS. 

Increasing my opinion as I see it and the way I play vs a number vs the line setter this is quite an opportunity with better odds gs their season opponents so far against a team they they have had tremendous success against. 

if VTech can’t get this Covered that is very telling on Joe bad they are. The last few games are not good but the fist few weeks against good teams at worse odds are not as relevant to me or my strategy 

@Laroja

 The lines maker is marking them as terrible and is trying to help them cover the spread. 

They still have to show up and play better.  Most teams do.  The odds make this a good bet.  I don’t think many are flocking to bet this 20 point dog.  I’m riding with the bookies in this game. 

@kidd22

 UCLA playing Northwestern is much easier than other opponents face this season. The loss to New Mexico does make them look worse than they actually are.  The line has adjusted and Northwestern is not good either. This line is rare and set for a UCLA cover against another struggling team that should not be favored.  

Im betting UCLA on their previous poor line evaluations and thus as I see it is a much better line evaluation and opportunity to cover..  they are  in a better line and easier matchups. They still have to perform. 

People run to the hills after such a bad performance, while a new coach and motivation to improve still occurs. 

guys can’t give up because of NIL and transferring out.  They have to show film or they will get lost in the portal.  Against Northwestern brings them hope to step up.  We’ll see if they can. 

@spottie2935

 I like your thinking 

A lot of the teams I bet are bad, really bad or in good situations. 

Indy is good and no middle big 10 team can stop them.  Alabama is not that good so an away game only +3 isn’t enough. 

Im looking at lines, lines maker adjustments. Previous bad situations or matchups increase lines.  Current matchups are decent. 

sane thing last week when I had coastal Carolina and as a 16 point dog they win that game.  

early in the season teams snd players are motivated to improve.  Kate in the year that’s a different story. 

these players have to prove on film that they are good.  They can transfer out but only if their okay is better.  It’s their choice. 

Watch my list see if I’m correct on most of these.  I’m betting against the grain on some teams with no momentum but plenty of motivation to improve.  Most of these bad teams won’t stay this bad all season a few will though. 

I believe a lot of these teams are in better situations this week. That’s why I put them in my thread. 

Edit :

Maybe this season it fails but V.Tech has tremendous success against NC St at 8-4 straight up and 19-2 ATS. 

Not 19-2 

its 10-2 

@Boisestateand8

 The Nile’s are getting a top 10!ranking and over valuation on a win vs Alabama and 2 blowouts over nobodies. Let’s see if they can maintain this level on the road in a prime time spot against a team that should be ready.