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NCAA wk 10

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Posted: #101
Looks like we should have grabbed 8.5 Louisville.  Lines move so fast Sunday. Still had time for 6.5. Congrats to those who got it. Yes it's only halftime but L defense looking good 
 
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Posted: #102
thank you for your hard work Mega keep em coming 
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by rokisky:

good evening mega any thoughts on ecu they should crush temple but ecu has the biggest Halloween party in college  they r at temple not sure if the players just want to get a quick win and get back in time  their game is at noon thanks for all ur insight


Interesting to hear MEGALOCKS breakdown on this game and compare it to mine. :)
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #104
Urban - will check it out later today ! 

Utah St 3 Hawaii 41.5
mega line 4
sagarin 7

Imagine a world where you lose your starting QB,,,,,Then imagine a world where you lose your backup,,,,,,,unbelievable,,,,,,then you lose your 3rd string qb and are down to number 4 .....Well we dont know how good a true freshman qb - 4th string - playing for utah st can be - but we are gonna find out - Kent "Seth" Myers will get the call....Their D is still a brick wall so they still have a good shot - but not sure where their head is at when they had a good shot to do damage in the conf and now the players have to be a bit disheartened - compounded by trip to the island....hmmmmm....Hawaii D sneaky good only given up 30+ one game all yr.....Think this might be a good spot to look at the dog but still thinking about it - maybe get 3.5 ? ha - doubt it......Going under seems like a decent move but 41.5 does not leave you much buffer.

summary
strong lean hawaii +3 (may add later today or tomorrow am)
total - no leanage



 
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Posted: #105
urban one other factor weather in philly rain-showers temp in the 50's wind 18 mph
 
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Posted: #106
rokisky 


Fresno 13 Wyoming 61
mega line 10
sagarin 10/11

Lean to the fav here - they can still get to the title game - have 2 conf losses but beat one team with one loss (Sd st) and still play the other one (SJ).....off a bye - history of beating Wy...Issues? Starting a new QB now BB is benched and rs freshman gets the start - not sure how good he will be so too much risk esp when the line already juiced up a bit.....Wyoming pass D horrid but so is Fresno's....Wy lost top 2 RB and still had a great game from #3 and put up some points vs tough Col St ....leanage over but again - with new QB just dont know how efficient and exploisve he will be so cant go full unit

summary
side - no leanage
total - lean over 61

 
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Posted: #107
*** original lean to the fav now just like total a bit***
 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

Syracuse 3 NC ST (51)
mega line 3
sagarin 4

which nc st team is gonna show up? the team that went head to head with fla st - or the one that has lost next 3 by 101-32 ? mind you those were 3 decent teams - clemson bc and louisville....QB has 16 td and 3 int....Have not done enough digging to figure out why a bunch of guys are Q with suspension issues....Young QB for Cuse been ok - played some good Ds now gets a relatively weak one at home and we know cuse can run the ball....a bit worried about their pass eff D ranked in the 100s...They need this game probably for bowl eligibiity if you believe in that sort of thing only 3 wins so far - and finish at pitt and at bc......tough game to call....and to boot nc st off bye so in theory should get their best game

summary
no leanage


Robinson & Trudo out on Cuse OL...so it's Hockey
 
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Posted: #109
Oops...fat fingered that one!  
Meant to say, so it's Hickey and a rag tag bunch on the line protecting a freshman qb...what could go wrong? Could be tough sledding for an already struggling offense.
still hoping my Orange can claw out a w to keep bowl hopes alive!
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by rokisky:

urban one other factor weather in philly rain-showers temp in the 50's wind 18 mph


It is this type of information from members who made me make this my primary forum of this type.
Thank you and I hope you are able to take all your plays to the pay window this weekend, and throughout the rest of the season!
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #111
WV remains a strong play? now 3.5 
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by Temple71:


I know ..I was just kidding with you --However, it's prob. a bad play even at 7…Not Kidding with you!

 
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Posted: #113
Mega
You definitely get the iron balls award for backing the wolverines AND jay hawks after a 1-7-1 run
Why bother to pick good teams when filth like these are available???

BOL my man

I like the look of a few POSSIBLE Snot Bubbler/weather impacted games in the Midwest this week

ND/Navy--54 just seems like a lot considering Navy scoring more than 14 seems unlikely
Duke/Pitt--50----cold, rain, wind....
ga st./App st--69--there will be snow
Air force/army---should be a slow moving war
W.mich/Miami 55--poor weather again
BYU/MTSU--62--cougar offense just not the same without Hill



 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by Johnnynumbers:

Mega
You definitely get the iron balls award for backing the wolverines AND jay hawks after a 1-7-1 run
Why bother to pick good teams when filth like these are available???

BOL my man

I like the look of a few POSSIBLE Snot Bubbler/weather impacted games in the Midwest this week

ND/Navy--54 just seems like a lot considering Navy scoring more than 14 seems unlikely
Duke/Pitt--50----cold, rain, wind....
ga st./App st--69--there will be snow
Air force/army---should be a slow moving war
W.mich/Miami 55--poor weather again
BYU/MTSU--62--cougar offense just not the same without Hill




Mich. is a quality play…My #'s have them winning between 10-13--
also His Drunken-stooper play of the week  Kansas + A country mile is against a Very Over-rated Baylor team [jist is it's prob. a good call as well]..much better than taking the dog against A&M that's got Woodshed written all over it

Bottom Line - GL too you sir  & MEGA …stay regular and sober and keep calling' em!!

 
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Posted: #115
thanks guys 

slashot - great syracuse intel - appreciate your thoughts every wk !  still would not play against them they are scrappy but just gonna cheer for em not play em now

temple - keep cashing - nice work with fla st 

johnny  gotta pull for some filth this wk....Like your snot bubblers especially duke - only one not sure about is byu their D has fallen to pieces....GL man !
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by venezolanisimo:

WV remains a strong play? now 3.5 


not a strong lean now - just small potatoes if anything 3.5 minimum could not recommend any lower - FWIW - we missed the 6 so are not playing the game,...GL !
 
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Posted: #117

Games analyzed in the thread in this order for all you Sparkies out there

Thursday/Friday games
Big 12
SEC
ACC
Big 10
Rest of Mtn West and Temple/ECU up next 


Plays
Kansas +36.5  (not a typo WTF are we doing?)
UNC +15
Michigan -6.5
Air Force -2.5

Strong leans (lines when posted)
- Iowa St (want 17+)
- Florida +13
- Florida under 51.5
- Duke TT under - (waiting for 24)
- Purdue (waiting for 24)

Leans (line when posted)
- Ga Southern -24
- Miss St -10.5
- Vandy -7

I removed previously listed games where desired line did not hit or will likely not hit - Louisville (thank god) WV and GT


GL  mega
 
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Posted: #118
Mega - take it for what it is worth regarding Huskers and Purdue - I see this game the same as last week vs Rutgers - can easily see a back door cover - I do believe the Over is a good play with this game.  Good Luck with your plays - Go Huskers!!!
 
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Posted: #119
MEGALOCKS all request hotline .......A send out to rokisky providing solid international intel


EC 7.5 Temple 58.5
mega line 7
sagarin 7.5

Confirmed our initial suspicion that we do not have a good enough feel for this game at this number - 7 seems about right.......EC has not done anything wrong this yr - yes was close with UConn and gave up 300+ passing to a stiff - but they are just winning and with that loaded offense can go off at any time - weather probably not gonna help them but consider how much temple has been turning it over lately - and EC still has a stud RB and balanced run attack - trust EC a bit more - played 3 tough opp and won 2 SU - lost to SC and beat VT and UNC....Temple has beat Del St Conn Vandy and Tulsa....7 just does not get our juices going was hoping for DD in this one - think we saw a 9.5 briefly on sunday and remember thinking it would be nice at 10.5 but ship has sailed

summary
no leanage



up next on the megalocks all request line - Sting and Lady Gaga do a medley of Beastie Boys classics
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by Badger66:

Mega - take it for what it is worth regarding Huskers and Purdue - I see this game the same as last week vs Rutgers - can easily see a back door cover - I do believe the Over is a good play with this game.  Good Luck with your plays - Go Huskers!!!

thanks buddy !  also strong leanage to the over - think that Huskers look nasty this yr 
 
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Posted: #121
CRAP - doing too many things at once - forgot some stuff


Games analyzed in the thread in this order for all you Sparkies out there

Thursday/Friday games
Big 12
SEC
ACC
Big 10
Mtn West (part 1)
Temple/ECU
Rest of Mtn West up next 


Plays
Kansas +36.5  (not a typo WTF are we doing?)
UNC +15
Michigan -6.5
Air Force -2.5

Strong leans (lines when posted)
- Iowa St (want 17+)
- Florida +13
- Florida under 51.5
- Duke TT under - (waiting for 24)
- Purdue (waiting for 24)
- Hawaii +3 (considering)

Leans (line when posted)
- Ga Southern -24
- Miss St -10.5
- Vandy -7
- Fresno over 61

I removed previously listed games where desired line did not hit or will likely not hit - Louisville (thank god) WV and GT


GL  mega

 
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Posted: #122
UNLV 2 New Mex 62
mega line unlv 2
sagarin new mex 2

Spread and total look about perfect to us....UNLV recently beat fresno at home and have a more balanced offense - have won 5L6 SU....Problem is that they are traditionally a poor HF ATS and a ton of suspension/injuries on injury report did not dig further since gut feel is that this game is 50/50....New Mex plays a lot of close games- other than az st game - margin of victory in games 7 3 11 12 10 4 so you know this one is gonna be tighter than the virgin in Lunch Wagon Women 7.....Wish they would stick with dynamic qb jordan - makes more mistakes but fun to watch

summary
no leanage 


Nevada 3 SD St 51
mega line 7
sagarin 7

Think we may be a bit off in the rating as SD St finally after a long time get their entire stable of QBs healthy - Nevada has had a bit more success on the resume on the whole - lost close ones to boise and col st then beat byu on the road and hawaii which is never automatic on the road.....D not as tight as SD St but offense a bit more spicy.....Total tough as well - one team lights out D at times - SD st last 3 totals 37 38 30 and a bit lame on offense - Nevada D worse and game totals tend to be quite a bit higher - this game a puzzle wrapped up in an enigma thought we might play nevada but just do not know enough about these teams

summary
no leanage
 
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Posted: #123
Mega!  Thanks again for the intel, took me so long to comment on this thread because I was in Vegas last weekend and early this week.  Took a few of your plays which didn't pan out, but did cash your UNC bet, nice pick there.  I wish I also took ML on that one 


Like your analysis so far, let's shrug off the bad week and get back to winning   Thanks again for all of the hard work
 
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Posted: #124
Great read as always!  GL
 
 
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Posted: #125
Mega, BOL today
Everyday above ground is a good day - 83
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