L2Thirst Week 4 Musing and Picks

Thanks. I have the game on now....been watching the $ million races tonight in our local track.... and making some money there

TOP TEAMS

 - thinks became a lot clearer.... SEC is a power on offense but not so much on the other side of the ball. If they are strong on defense like Oklahoma or LSU, they are not superior on offense 

-Big 10 has a lot of team who play well on both sides of the ball including very potent offenses 

Presently: 

#1 Ohio State

#2 Penn St. 

#3 Oregon 

#4 Miami

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#5 LSU

#6 Texas Tech  .... #4/5 and #6 will work themselves out just like the TOP 4

#7 Indiana

#8 Georgia 

#9 Texas  << will stay in Top 10 only if Arch improves  with Offense/beats Sooners

#10 Oklahoma - Red River Shootout will settle who stays/who leaves Top 10 !

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#11 Tennessee  - if they get their defense going/Top 10 material for sure

#12 USC - unlimited ceiling so long as their Offensive line performs and defense gets even tighter

#13 Florida St - only here due to alpha win and we will know soon if push up continues 

#14 Texas AM - high ceiling potential also if defense improves 

#15 Alabama - lets face it, they are chameleons now who could be top 5 team or Top 20 where they are 

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#16 - 20 

sort these? > Ole Miss, TCU, Utah, Iowa St., Michigan

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#21 - 30 

Vandy, Illinois, Memphis, Auburn, Missouri, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Notre Dame, Arkansas and Washington

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Next tier: - who has the rising/improving offense with a good defense? 

-so many teams can fit here/ ones above from 21-30 either have the talent on offense or defense to win tough games to a winning record ....teams 31-50, they may have a strong game once in a while but they are inconsistent on one side of the bowl that they normally can count on 

-its now very obvious to me having analyzed 2024 and what works + seeing what is working in tough matches, its not solely defense in these middling teams....TOP 10 teams need to have defense....these teams from 21 - 40th need to turn on the offense to complete games in the 4th Q

Am I missing a team that should fit in the Top 20 that you see?

Results this week:

Play #1 - USC -16 x 1U - up by 14 at the half, if I get this its a perfect week  7 - 0 

 Play #2 Iowa -2.5 x 1U  

 Play #3  UNLV -2.5 (Bet365) x 2U   very sweet win!!

 Plays #4 /5 - Vanderbilt OVER 53.5 x1U  

 ........and Vanderbilt -27 x HALF U   

 Play #6 Maryland +10 x HALF U  

 Play #7  BYU-ECU -  UNDER 49.5 x 2U  

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6 - 0  (+7 U right now this week ) >> USC just scored to go up by 21 early in 3rd Q 

17 - 10 on the season (+ 3.5 U)