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🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

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Posted: #4026

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by SourSausage: With you on that live ML, I like it. Lets get it  OK!     However, no guarantees the better team will win...VA might get really lucky again... I suspect they have a 60% chance of tying the game before late 3rdQ...

And there it is....as predicted.

Va did get a 3rd LUCKY BREAK with a fortuitous catch off a deflection and rumble for 25 yds, to then set up a 25 yd run for their 3rd TD....

So VA is up one extra lucky break which led to their 3rd TD (all of them off lucky breaks)

 
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Posted: #4027

So will the "good guys/better team" win?.... or will Virginia? 

 

Entertaining game though, regardless! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #4028

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

So will the "good guys/better team" win?.... or will Virginia?    Entertaining game though, regardless!

Less than 10m to go and it's looking like the bad guys are going to pull off the upset...

 
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Posted: #4029

Virginia has out played fsu second half.   IMO 

 
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Posted: #4030

Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:

Virginia has out played fsu second half.   IMO

 

Yes.

 

But for the game, the stats are roughly even, except for that one extra lucky break (deflected pass/catch) that went to VA.... Entertaining game!! an_clap   And likewise for the TCU/ASU game!

 
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Posted: #4031

So it comes down to a turnover on downs after 2 bad play calls by FSU.....Now all Va needs to do is get a first down and they get the upset of the 8th ranked team...

 
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Posted: #4032

 Originally Posted by fubah2  Heavy lean to Houston tonight *BUT* not at the current spread or ML!  Even the alt-line is a bit heavy for this game, so I am going to lurk the game hoping to see good play by the Cougars but for the lines to drop, either as a result of no scoring in the 1Q or because OSU may score first.... either way the line would drop and hopefully into my range....but all VERY dependent on watching Houston otherwise playing well FIRST!!!  Even a much lower line is no good if Houston is having a bad game...[/Quote]   well very late start today so took houston -7-  (-143) 30% bonus (before i read this... may be looking for ways out ... middle .... or win win .... SMALL bet ... good luck this week (got super tiny win win fsu/virg) will try catch up reading later 

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #4033

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

So it comes down to a turnover on downs after 2 bad play calls by FSU.....Now all Va needs to do is get a first down and they get the upset of the 8th ranked team...

2 minute timeout.....bad guys lead the 8th ranked team...

FSU will fail to tie it though..... oh well

 
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Posted: #4034

So if a pass deflects off goal posts… and is caught in field of play… is it good….  I’m not sure.  

 
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Posted: #4035

Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:

So if a pass deflects off goal posts… and is caught in field of play… is it good….  I’m not sure.

 

Nope.  Can't touch any game equipment, including overhead cameras or speakers.

But it can bounce of a referee's head and still be a live ball ...  LOL

 
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Posted: #4036

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: So it comes down to a turnover on downs after 2 bad play calls by FSU.....Now all Va needs to do is get a first down and they get the upset of the 8th ranked team... 2 minute timeout.....bad guys lead the 8th ranked team... FSU will fail to tie it though..... oh well

I was wrong.....the 8th ranked team tied it.

But VA got lucky again with the coin toss.  They will LIKELY win now...

 
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Posted: #4037

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: So it comes down to a turnover on downs after 2 bad play calls by FSU.....Now all Va needs to do is get a first down and they get the upset of the 8th ranked team... 2 minute timeout.....bad guys lead the 8th ranked team... FSU will fail to tie it though..... oh well I was wrong.....the 8th ranked team tied it. But VA got lucky again with the coin toss.  They will LIKELY win now...

...and that is what happened.  Two extra lucky breaks in a one possession game.

 
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Posted: #4038

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Heavy lean to Houston tonight *BUT* not at the current spread or ML!  Even the alt-line is a bit heavy for this game, so I am going to lurk the game hoping to see good play by the Cougars but for the lines to drop, either as a result of no scoring in the 1Q or because OSU may score first.... either way the line would drop and hopefully into my range....an_light but all VERY dependent on watching Houston otherwise playing well FIRST!!!  Even a much lower line is no good if Houston is having a bad game...

an_speechless Houston *NOT* playing well at all....line plunged but no good unless Houston plays well - which they are not 

 
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Posted: #4039

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Heavy lean to Houston tonight *BUT* not at the current spread or ML!  Even the alt-line is a bit heavy for this game, so I am going to lurk the game hoping to see good play by the Cougars but for the lines to drop, either as a result of no scoring in the 1Q or because OSU may score first.... either way the line would drop and hopefully into my range.... but all VERY dependent on watching Houston otherwise playing well FIRST!!!  Even a much lower line is no good if Houston is having a bad game...  Houston *NOT* playing well at all....line plunged but no good unless Houston plays well - which they are not

Nice mid-2Q drive by Houston!....finally!

LIVE BET, Houston losing 0 - 14: Houston -115 ml *BB

 
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Posted: #4040

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Heavy lean to Houston tonight *BUT* not at the current spread or ML!  Even the alt-line is a bit heavy for this game, so I am going to lurk the game hoping to see good play by the Cougars but for the lines to drop, either as a result of no scoring in the 1Q or because OSU may score first.... either way the line would drop and hopefully into my range.... but all VERY dependent on watching Houston otherwise playing well FIRST!!!  Even a much lower line is no good if Houston is having a bad game...  Houston *NOT* playing well at all....line plunged but no good unless Houston plays well - which they are not Nice mid-2Q drive by Houston!....finally! LIVE BET, Houston losing 0 - 14: Houston -115 ml *BB

WOW!  They ultimately get a first down at the 2 and fail with a dropped TD pass...

14 - 3 for the lucky Beavers...

 
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Posted: #4041

I picked the wrong Friday night to bet on heavy road favs...

 
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Posted: #4042

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Heavy lean to Houston tonight *BUT* not at the current spread or ML!  Even the alt-line is a bit heavy for this game, so I am going to lurk the game hoping to see good play by the Cougars but for the lines to drop, either as a result of no scoring in the 1Q or because OSU may score first.... either way the line would drop and hopefully into my range.... but all VERY dependent on watching Houston otherwise playing well FIRST!!!  Even a much lower line is no good if Houston is having a bad game...  Houston *NOT* playing well at all....line plunged but no good unless Houston plays well - which they are not.

 

Nice mid-2Q drive by Houston!....finally!  LIVE BET, Houston losing 0 - 14: Houston -115 ml *BB

 

*Best Bet  WINNER!  an_2drinks

Got lucky in my 2nd bet to counter the bad luck from my FSU bet.

1 - 1  so far this week  [1 - 0 *Best Bets]

 
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Posted: #4043

Sacred Heart +6.5  (FCS)

 
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Posted: #4044

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Sacred Heart +6.5  (FCS)

LAMAR -210 (FCS)

 
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Posted: #4045

LEAN for possible LIVE bet on USC - only *IF* they come out playing well

 
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Posted: #4046

LEAN for possible LIVE ml bet on NorthWestern - only *IF* they come out playing well

 
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Posted: #4047

LIVE BET Ark opening drive: Arkansas +10.5 -275 alt-line *BB

 
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Posted: #4048

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET Ark opening drive: Arkansas +10.5 -275 alt-line *BB

Going for the middle...

LIVE BET: IRISH -210 @B365

 
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Posted: #4049

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET Ark opening drive: Arkansas +10.5 -275 alt-line *BB

 

This *BB looked good early but obviously now it will be a 

BIG FAT LOSER  an_smash

 

meaning my IRISH moneyline will be the su winner...

 
 
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Posted: #4050

What's up with Georgia Tech??

2 TD road fav is losing by 2 TDs at halftime an_lightening

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